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Today’s Tips — Thursday, 2026-04-09
Bologna
Aston Villa▶ Model breakdown
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poisson | 28% | 32% | 40% | ✈️ |
| Dixon-Coles | 35% | 32% | 33% | 🏠 |
| GradientBoosting | 32% | 26% | 41% | ✈️ |
| Ensemble | 32% | 29% | 39% | — |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19.0% | 15.5% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 13.1% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 21 | Goals scored | 17 |
| 11 | Goals conceded | 6 |
| 2W 4D 0L | Home record | 4W 0D 1L |
- Aston Villa1 - 0Bologna2025-09-25
- Aston Villa2 - 0Bologna2024-10-22
SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo▶ Model breakdown
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poisson | 58% | 23% | 19% | 🏠 |
| Dixon-Coles | 41% | 28% | 31% | 🏠 |
| GradientBoosting | 50% | 23% | 28% | 🏠 |
| Ensemble | 50% | 24% | 27% | — |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.1% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 13.4% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 15 | Goals scored | 21 |
| 6 | Goals conceded | 13 |
| 5W 0D 0L | Home record | 3W 1D 2L |
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina▶ Model breakdown
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poisson | 38% | 29% | 33% | 🏠 |
| Dixon-Coles | 44% | 23% | 33% | 🏠 |
| GradientBoosting | 31% | 25% | 44% | ✈️ |
| Ensemble | 35% | 26% | 40% | — |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 0 | Goals scored | 0 |
| 0 | Goals conceded | 0 |
| 0W 0D 0L | Home record | 0W 0D 0L |
Today's Parlay
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📋 Yesterday's Results
Wednesday, 08 April
Stats based on settled tips only. ROI calculated per unit staked.
Latest Analysis
In-depth breakdowns of our daily picks. Find out why we selected each bet.
Bologna vs Aston Villa@ 1.44SC Freiburg vs Celta Vigo@ 1.47
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid@ 1.53SC Braga vs Real Betis@ 1.56
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