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⚽ Today's Tips, Saturday, 17 October 2026

🔥 Best Bet of the Day
Germany, BundesligaUpcoming⏳ Pending
Kickoff: 13:30:00 UTC
Hamburger SV
vs
VfB Stuttgart
Our Pick
VfB Stuttgart Asian Handicap +0.25
@ 1.30
Market consensus puts this at 73.5% (bookmaker margin removed); the odds of 1.30 imply about 77% including margin. Selected by our fixed rules: top competitions only, enough data from this season, same criteria every day, no manual selection.
market 73% · odds imply 77%
▶ Model breakdown
ModelHomeDrawAwayPick
Poisson32%22%46%✈️
Dixon-Coles17%19%64%✈️
GradientBoosting20%30%50%✈️
Ensemble22%26%52%—
Most likely scores:
1-2 (9.5%)1-1 (8.3%)0-2 (8.1%)
Over 1.5: 86%Over 2.5: 58%Over 3.5: 46%BTTS: 65%
Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.38 - 2.13 goals)
01234
03.0%6.4%6.8%4.8%2.6%
14.1%8.8%9.4%6.7%3.5%
22.8%6.0%6.5%4.6%2.4%
31.3%2.8%3.0%2.1%1.1%
40.4%1.0%1.0%0.7%0.4%
Projected score: 1-2
Hamburger SV winDrawVfB Stuttgart win
Season stats
Hamburger SVVfB Stuttgart
5Goals scored8
15Goals conceded9
1W 0D 1LHome record1W 0D 2L
Head to head
  • VfB Stuttgart4 - 0Hamburger SV2026-04-12
  • Hamburger SV2 - 1VfB Stuttgart2025-11-30
  • Hamburger SV1 - 3VfB Stuttgart2023-06-05
  • VfB Stuttgart3 - 0Hamburger SV2023-06-01
  • VfB Stuttgart3 - 2Hamburger SV2020-08-26
Full match analysis
Germany, BundesligaUpcoming⏳ Pending
Kickoff: 13:30:00 UTC
Werder Bremen
vs
SC Paderborn 07
Our Pick
SC Paderborn 07 Asian Handicap +1.75
@ 1.30
Market consensus puts this at 73.4% (bookmaker margin removed); the odds of 1.30 imply about 77% including margin. Selected by our fixed rules: top competitions only, enough data from this season, same criteria every day, no manual selection.
market 73% · odds imply 77%
▶ Model breakdown
ModelHomeDrawAwayPick
Poisson50%33%17%🏠
GradientBoosting28%34%38%✈️
Ensemble33%34%32%—
Most likely scores:
1-0 (22.4%)0-0 (20.5%)2-0 (12.2%)
Over 1.5: 47%Over 2.5: 44%Over 3.5: 8%BTTS: 26%
Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.96 - 1.24 goals)
01234
04.1%5.0%3.1%1.3%0.4%
18.0%9.9%6.2%2.6%0.8%
27.8%9.7%6.0%2.5%0.8%
35.1%6.3%3.9%1.6%0.5%
42.5%3.1%1.9%0.8%0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Werder Bremen winDrawSC Paderborn 07 win
Season stats
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
10Goals scored3
10Goals conceded7
2W 0D 0LHome record0W 1D 1L
Head to head
  • Werder Bremen2 - 2SC Paderborn 072026-08-08
  • SC Paderborn 070 - 1Werder Bremen2024-10-30
  • SC Paderborn 072 - 2Werder Bremen2022-10-19
  • SC Paderborn 073 - 4Werder Bremen2022-01-22
  • Werder Bremen1 - 4SC Paderborn 072021-08-15
Full match analysis
Spain, La LigaUpcoming⏳ Pending
Kickoff: 12:00:00 UTC
Espanyol
vs
Atletico Madrid
Our Pick
Espanyol Asian Handicap +1.75
@ 1.30
Market consensus puts this at 73.4% (bookmaker margin removed); the odds of 1.30 imply about 77% including margin. Selected by our fixed rules: top competitions only, enough data from this season, same criteria every day, no manual selection.
market 73% · odds imply 77%
▶ Model breakdown
ModelHomeDrawAwayPick
Poisson29%27%44%✈️
Dixon-Coles23%24%53%✈️
GradientBoosting24%23%53%✈️
Ensemble25%24%51%—
Most likely scores:
1-1 (11.2%)0-1 (9.9%)1-2 (9.8%)
Over 1.5: 75%Over 2.5: 58%Over 3.5: 28%BTTS: 53%
Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 0.99 - 1.81 goals)
01234
06.1%11.1%10.0%6.0%2.7%
16.0%10.9%9.9%5.9%2.7%
23.0%5.4%4.9%2.9%1.3%
31.0%1.8%1.6%1.0%0.4%
40.2%0.4%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Projected score: 0-1
Espanyol winDrawAtletico Madrid win
Season stats
EspanyolAtletico Madrid
11Goals scored18
11Goals conceded8
1W 1D 2LHome record3W 0D 1L
Head to head
  • Atletico Madrid4 - 2Espanyol2026-02-21
  • Espanyol2 - 1Atletico Madrid2025-08-17
  • Espanyol1 - 1Atletico Madrid2025-03-29
  • Atletico Madrid0 - 0Espanyol2024-08-28
  • Espanyol3 - 3Atletico Madrid2023-05-24
Full match analysis

📌 Extra Picks

Bookmaker market probability (margin removed), odds 1.80 to 3.00, ranked by probability. Separate from the accumulator and not part of our official track record.

France, Ligue 1Upcoming⏳ Pending
15:15:00 UTC
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain
Pick
Paris Saint Germain Asian Handicap -1.25
@ 1.80
Market consensus puts this at 53.1% (bookmaker margin removed); the odds of 1.80 imply about 56% including margin. Selected by our fixed rules: top competitions only, enough data from this season, same criteria every day, no manual selection.ⓘOur model's probability is shown next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds. In our own testing the market is hard to beat, so treat any gap between the two with caution.
market 53% · odds imply 56%
Full match analysis
Italy, Serie AUpcoming⏳ Pending
18:45:00 UTC
AS Roma vs Genoa
Pick
Over 2.5
@ 1.80
Market consensus puts this at 52.4% (bookmaker margin removed); the odds of 1.80 imply about 56% including margin. Selected by our fixed rules: top competitions only, enough data from this season, same criteria every day, no manual selection.ⓘOur model's probability is shown next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds. In our own testing the market is hard to beat, so treat any gap between the two with caution.
market 52% · odds imply 56%
Full match analysis
Germany, BundesligaUpcoming⏳ Pending
13:30:00 UTC
SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg
Pick
SV Elversberg Asian Handicap +0.0
@ 1.85
Market consensus puts this at 52.3% (bookmaker margin removed); the odds of 1.85 imply about 54% including margin. Selected by our fixed rules: top competitions only, enough data from this season, same criteria every day, no manual selection.ⓘOur model's probability is shown next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds. In our own testing the market is hard to beat, so treat any gap between the two with caution.
market 52% · odds imply 54%
Full match analysis

🎯 Today's picks by probability

The most likely picks of the day: 70% chance or more, odds from 1.30.

MatchPickProbability Odd
New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire
USA, Major League Soccer
23:30		AH Chicago Fire +172.9%@ 1.31
Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras
Brazil, Serie A
22:30		AH Palmeiras +0.7572.9%@ 1.31
Orlando City SC vs DC United
USA, Major League Soccer
23:30		AH Orlando City SC 072.7%@ 1.31
Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc
Brazil, Serie A
21:00		AH Botafogo -0.572.5%@ 1.32
Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami
USA, Major League Soccer
23:30		Over 2.572.5%@ 1.30
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29
France, Ligue 1
18:45		AH Stade Brestois 29 +1.572.3%@ 1.32
Estac Troyes vs Lens
France, Ligue 1
18:45		AH Lens +0.2572.0%@ 1.33
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte
USA, Major League Soccer
18:30		Over 2.571.9%@ 1.33
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC
USA, Major League Soccer
23:30		AH New York Red Bulls +0.571.9%@ 1.33
Telstar vs Feyenoord
Netherlands, Eredivisie
18:00		Over 2.571.8%@ 1.33
Newcastle vs Aston Villa
England, Premier League
16:30		AH Aston Villa +171.5%@ 1.34
New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC
USA, Major League Soccer
23:30		AH Los Angeles FC +0.7571.3%@ 1.34
Valencia vs Athletic Club
Spain, La Liga
19:00		Over 1.570.2%@ 1.36

Sorted by market probability (highest first). For accumulator-style combination picks. Analytical view, not betting advice. UpcomingStarts soonLiveFinished

Odds from 1.45 to 1.75, the most likely picks in that range first. Higher odds, lower chance.

MatchPickProbability Odd
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29
France, Ligue 1
18:45		AH Lille 066.0%@ 1.45
New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire
USA, Major League Soccer
23:30		AH Chicago Fire +0.7565.8%@ 1.45
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II
Netherlands, Eredivisie
19:00		AH Sparta Rotterdam -0.2565.7%@ 1.45
Valencia vs Athletic Club
Spain, La Liga
19:00		AH Valencia +0.7565.4%@ 1.46
Real Betis vs Barcelona
Spain, La Liga
16:30		AH Barcelona -0.7565.2%@ 1.46
New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC
USA, Major League Soccer
23:30		AH Los Angeles FC +0.564.7%@ 1.48
Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc
Brazil, Serie A
21:00		AH Botafogo -164.7%@ 1.48
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC
USA, Major League Soccer
23:30		AH Toronto FC +164.2%@ 1.49
Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City
USA, Major League Soccer
20:30		Over 2.564.0%@ 1.48
Orlando City SC vs DC United
USA, Major League Soccer
23:30		AH Orlando City SC -0.2564.0%@ 1.49

Odds from 1.75 to 2.50, the most likely picks in that range first. Higher odds, lower chance.

MatchPickProbability Odd
Telstar vs Feyenoord
Netherlands, Eredivisie
18:00		AH Telstar +1.7554.3%@ 1.76
Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras
Brazil, Serie A
22:30		AH Palmeiras 054.0%@ 1.79
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte
USA, Major League Soccer
18:30		AH Philadelphia Union -154.0%@ 1.77
Real Betis vs Barcelona
Spain, La Liga
16:30		AH Barcelona -1.2553.9%@ 1.78
Estac Troyes vs Lens
France, Ligue 1
18:45		AH Estac Troyes +0.7553.9%@ 1.78
Orlando City SC vs DC United
USA, Major League Soccer
23:30		AH DC United +153.8%@ 1.78
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II
Netherlands, Eredivisie
19:00		AH Sparta Rotterdam -0.7553.8%@ 1.78
New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire
USA, Major League Soccer
23:30		AH Chicago Fire +0.2553.8%@ 1.78
Bayern München vs RB Leipzig
Germany, Bundesliga
16:30		AH Bayern München -253.8%@ 1.79
Atletico-MG vs Coritiba
Brazil, Serie A
21:30		Over 2.553.5%@ 1.75

🧮 Bankroll Planner

Plan today’s bets in one go. Set your budget and how much risk you want. The planner spreads it over singles and accumulators from today’s 16 matches, with honest odds-based chances and a one-click bet slip.

To play today
€10.00
Risk level
A balanced mix of singles and accumulators.Show my plan

📊 Market probabilities for every match

MatchSourceHome%Draw%Away%O1.5U3.5BTTS
Tip: click a match row to see all betting markets. Every probability comes from the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed.
Bologna vs Inter ▼
Italy, Serie A
16:00		Market16%@6.0023%@4.1061%@1.5579%@1.2064%@1.5055%@1.70
Inter +0.75
86%
@ 1.10
DC X2
84%
@ 1.12
Inter +0.5
83%
@ 1.14
Inter +0.25
81%
@ 1.17
Over 1.5
79%
@ 1.20
Bologna +2.0
75%
@ 1.27
Inter -0.25
69%
@ 1.38
Bologna +1.75
68%
@ 1.41
Under 3.5
64%
@ 1.50
Away Win
61%
@ 1.55
Inter -0.5
61%
@ 1.56
Bologna +1.5
61%
@ 1.56
Over 2.5
57%
@ 1.67
Bologna +1.25
57%
@ 1.69
Inter -0.75
56%
@ 1.70
BTTS Yes
55%
@ 1.70
Bologna +1.0
50%
@ 1.94
Inter -1
50%
@ 1.94
BTTS No
45%
@ 2.05
Bologna +0.75
44%
@ 2.20
Under 2.5
43%
@ 2.20
Inter -1.25
43%
@ 2.20
DC 1X
39%
@ 2.38
Bologna +0.5
39%
@ 2.47
Inter -1.5
39%
@ 2.47
Over 3.5
36%
@ 2.62
Inter -1.75
32%
@ 2.95
Bologna +0.25
31%
@ 3.10
Inter -2
25%
@ 3.88
Draw
23%
@ 4.10
Under 1.5
21%
@ 4.50
Bologna -0.25
19%
@ 5.00
Bologna -0.5
17%
@ 5.75
Home Win
16%
@ 6.00
Bologna -0.75
14%
@ 7.00
Inter 0
—
@ 1.21
Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor ▼
Turkey, Süper Lig
16:00		Market71%@1.2818%@5.0011%@8.5081%@1.1759%@1.5749%@1.91
DC 1X
89%
@ 1.07
Over 1.5
81%
@ 1.17
Home Win
71%
@ 1.28
Over 2.5
61%
@ 1.53
Under 3.5
59%
@ 1.57
BTTS No
51%
@ 1.80
BTTS Yes
49%
@ 1.91
Over 3.5
41%
@ 2.25
Under 2.5
39%
@ 2.40
DC X2
29%
@ 3.40
Under 1.5
19%
@ 5.00
Draw
18%
@ 5.00
Away Win
11%
@ 8.50
Newcastle vs Aston Villa ▼
England, Premier League
16:30		Market42%@2.2526%@3.6032%@3.0079%@1.2062%@1.5363%@1.50
Newcastle +1.5
84%
@ 1.13
Newcastle +1.25
83%
@ 1.15
Aston Villa +1.75
82%
@ 1.16
Newcastle +1.0
81%
@ 1.17
Over 1.5
79%
@ 1.20
Aston Villa +1.5
76%
@ 1.23
Aston Villa +1.25
74%
@ 1.28
Newcastle +0.75
74%
@ 1.29
Aston Villa +1
72%
@ 1.34
DC 1X
68%
@ 1.36
Newcastle +0.5
68%
@ 1.40
Aston Villa +0.75
64%
@ 1.50
Newcastle +0.25
64%
@ 1.51
BTTS Yes
63%
@ 1.50
Under 3.5
62%
@ 1.53
Over 2.5
59%
@ 1.62
DC X2
58%
@ 1.62
Aston Villa +0.5
57%
@ 1.67
Newcastle 0.0
57%
@ 1.67
Aston Villa +0.25
51%
@ 1.90
Newcastle -0.25
49%
@ 1.99
Newcastle -0.5
43%
@ 2.24
Aston Villa 0
43%
@ 2.24
Home Win
42%
@ 2.25
Under 2.5
41%
@ 2.30
Over 3.5
38%
@ 2.50
BTTS No
38%
@ 2.50
Newcastle -0.75
36%
@ 2.64
Aston Villa -0.25
36%
@ 2.63
Away Win
32%
@ 3.00
Aston Villa -0.5
32%
@ 3.02
Newcastle -1.0
28%
@ 3.36
Draw
26%
@ 3.60
Newcastle -1.25
26%
@ 3.69
Aston Villa -0.75
26%
@ 3.66
Newcastle -1.5
24%
@ 4.00
Under 1.5
21%
@ 4.50
Aston Villa -1
19%
@ 5.00
Newcastle -1.75
18%
@ 5.25
Aston Villa -1.25
17%
@ 5.50
Aston Villa -1.5
16%
@ 5.90
Real Betis vs Barcelona ▼
Spain, La Liga
16:30		Market15%@6.2516%@5.7568%@1.3890%@1.0640%@2.3871%@1.33
Over 1.5
90%
@ 1.06
Barcelona +0.75
86%
@ 1.10
DC X2
85%
@ 1.12
Barcelona +0.5
83%
@ 1.14
Barcelona +0.25
83%
@ 1.15
Barcelona 0
81%
@ 1.17
Over 2.5
79%
@ 1.20
Barcelona -0.25
74%
@ 1.27
BTTS Yes
71%
@ 1.33
Barcelona -0.5
69%
@ 1.39
Away Win
68%
@ 1.38
Barcelona -0.75
65%
@ 1.46
Real Betis +2.0
63%
@ 1.51
Barcelona -1
61%
@ 1.57
Over 3.5
60%
@ 1.57
Real Betis +1.75
57%
@ 1.67
Barcelona -1.25
54%
@ 1.78
Real Betis +1.5
52%
@ 1.87
Barcelona -1.5
48%
@ 2.01
Real Betis +1.25
46%
@ 2.08
Barcelona -1.75
43%
@ 2.23
Under 3.5
40%
@ 2.38
Real Betis +1.0
39%
@ 2.44
Barcelona -2
37%
@ 2.59
Real Betis +0.75
35%
@ 2.74
DC 1X
32%
@ 3.00
Real Betis +0.5
31%
@ 3.06
BTTS No
29%
@ 3.25
Real Betis +0.25
26%
@ 3.55
Under 2.5
21%
@ 4.50
Real Betis 0.0
19%
@ 5.00
Real Betis -0.5
17%
@ 5.75
Real Betis -0.25
17%
@ 5.50
Draw
16%
@ 5.75
Home Win
15%
@ 6.25
Real Betis -0.75
14%
@ 7.00
Under 1.5
10%
@ 10.00
Bayern München vs RB Leipzig ▼
Germany, Bundesliga
16:30		Market77%@1.2213%@7.5010%@9.5094%@1.0330%@3.2069%@1.36
Over 1.5
94%
@ 1.03
DC 1X
90%
@ 1.07
Over 2.5
83%
@ 1.14
Bayern München -0.25
83%
@ 1.14
Bayern München -0.5
78%
@ 1.21
Home Win
77%
@ 1.22
Bayern München -0.75
76%
@ 1.24
Bayern München -1.0
74%
@ 1.28
Over 3.5
70%
@ 1.36
BTTS Yes
69%
@ 1.36
Bayern München -1.25
68%
@ 1.40
Bayern München -1.5
62%
@ 1.53
Bayern München -1.75
58%
@ 1.64
Bayern München -2.0
54%
@ 1.79
RB Leipzig +2
46%
@ 2.08
RB Leipzig +1.75
42%
@ 2.30
RB Leipzig +1.5
38%
@ 2.49
RB Leipzig +1.25
32%
@ 2.94
BTTS No
31%
@ 3.00
Under 3.5
30%
@ 3.20
RB Leipzig +1
26%
@ 3.71
RB Leipzig +0.75
24%
@ 3.90
DC X2
23%
@ 4.00
RB Leipzig +0.5
22%
@ 4.25
Under 2.5
17%
@ 5.50
RB Leipzig +0.25
17%
@ 5.75
Draw
13%
@ 7.50
Away Win
10%
@ 9.50
Under 1.5
6%
@ 15.00
Telstar vs Feyenoord ▼
Netherlands, Eredivisie
18:00		Market12%@7.5017%@5.5070%@1.3388%@1.0849%@1.9161%@1.53
DC X2
88%
@ 1.10
Over 1.5
88%
@ 1.08
Feyenoord +0.5
86%
@ 1.10
Feyenoord +0.25
86%
@ 1.10
Feyenoord 0
86%
@ 1.11
Feyenoord -0.25
77%
@ 1.22
Over 2.5
72%
@ 1.33
Feyenoord -0.5
71%
@ 1.34
Away Win
70%
@ 1.33
Feyenoord -0.75
68%
@ 1.40
Feyenoord -1
64%
@ 1.49
BTTS Yes
61%
@ 1.53
Telstar +2.0
61%
@ 1.56
Feyenoord -1.25
57%
@ 1.68
Telstar +1.75
54%
@ 1.76
Feyenoord -1.5
52%
@ 1.86
Over 3.5
51%
@ 1.80
Under 3.5
49%
@ 1.91
Telstar +1.5
48%
@ 1.99
Feyenoord -1.75
46%
@ 2.09
Telstar +1.25
43%
@ 2.22
BTTS No
39%
@ 2.38
Feyenoord -2
39%
@ 2.45
Telstar +1.0
36%
@ 2.65
Telstar +0.75
32%
@ 3.01
DC 1X
30%
@ 3.25
Telstar +0.5
29%
@ 3.33
Under 2.5
28%
@ 3.40
Telstar +0.25
23%
@ 4.15
Draw
17%
@ 5.50
Telstar -0.5
14%
@ 6.80
Telstar -0.25
14%
@ 7.00
Telstar 0.0
14%
@ 6.60
Home Win
12%
@ 7.50
Under 1.5
12%
@ 8.00
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte ▼
USA, Major League Soccer
18:30		Market63%@1.5019%@5.0018%@5.2588%@1.0849%@1.9165%@1.44
Over 1.5
88%
@ 1.08
Philadelphia Union +0.75
86%
@ 1.10
DC 1X
82%
@ 1.17
Philadelphia Union +0.5
82%
@ 1.16
Philadelphia Union +0.25
79%
@ 1.19
Philadelphia Union 0.0
78%
@ 1.23
Over 2.5
72%
@ 1.33
Charlotte +2
70%
@ 1.36
Philadelphia Union -0.25
70%
@ 1.36
BTTS Yes
65%
@ 1.44
Philadelphia Union -0.5
64%
@ 1.50
Home Win
63%
@ 1.50
Charlotte +1.75
63%
@ 1.51
Philadelphia Union -0.75
59%
@ 1.61
Charlotte +1.5
57%
@ 1.66
Philadelphia Union -1.0
54%
@ 1.77
Charlotte +1.25
53%
@ 1.82
Over 3.5
51%
@ 1.80
Under 3.5
49%
@ 1.91
Philadelphia Union -1.25
47%
@ 2.03
Charlotte +1
46%
@ 2.08
Philadelphia Union -1.5
43%
@ 2.25
Charlotte +0.75
41%
@ 2.34
DC X2
37%
@ 2.50
Philadelphia Union -1.75
37%
@ 2.58
Charlotte +0.5
36%
@ 2.63
BTTS No
35%
@ 2.62
Philadelphia Union -2.0
30%
@ 3.19
Charlotte +0.25
30%
@ 3.17
Under 2.5
28%
@ 3.40
Charlotte 0
22%
@ 4.24
Charlotte -0.25
21%
@ 4.50
Draw
19%
@ 5.00
Away Win
18%
@ 5.25
Charlotte -0.5
18%
@ 5.25
Charlotte -0.75
14%
@ 6.80
Under 1.5
12%
@ 8.00
AS Roma vs Genoa ▼
Italy, Serie A
18:45		Market61%@1.5523%@4.1016%@6.0076%@1.2570%@1.3650%@1.91
DC 1X
84%
@ 1.12
AS Roma +0.5
84%
@ 1.13
AS Roma +0.25
82%
@ 1.16
AS Roma 0.0
79%
@ 1.20
Over 1.5
76%
@ 1.25
Genoa +2
76%
@ 1.25
Under 3.5
70%
@ 1.36
AS Roma -0.25
70%
@ 1.37
Genoa +1.75
69%
@ 1.39
Genoa +1.5
62%
@ 1.54
AS Roma -0.5
62%
@ 1.55
Home Win
61%
@ 1.55
Genoa +1.25
57%
@ 1.67
AS Roma -0.75
56%
@ 1.70
Over 2.5
53%
@ 1.80
Genoa +1
51%
@ 1.92
BTTS Yes
50%
@ 1.91
BTTS No
50%
@ 1.91
AS Roma -1.0
49%
@ 1.96
Under 2.5
47%
@ 2.00
Genoa +0.75
44%
@ 2.19
AS Roma -1.25
43%
@ 2.24
DC X2
39%
@ 2.38
AS Roma -1.5
38%
@ 2.50
Genoa +0.5
38%
@ 2.48
AS Roma -1.75
31%
@ 3.05
Over 3.5
30%
@ 3.20
Genoa +0.25
30%
@ 3.14
Under 1.5
24%
@ 4.00
AS Roma -2.0
24%
@ 4.04
Draw
23%
@ 4.10
Genoa 0
21%
@ 4.63
Genoa -0.25
18%
@ 5.25
Away Win
16%
@ 6.00
Genoa -0.5
16%
@ 5.90
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29 ▼
France, Ligue 1
18:45		Market51%@1.8525%@3.7524%@4.0078%@1.2266%@1.4458%@1.62
Stade Brestois 29 +2
83%
@ 1.14
Lille +0.75
81%
@ 1.17
Over 1.5
78%
@ 1.22
DC 1X
76%
@ 1.25
Stade Brestois 29 +1.75
76%
@ 1.23
Lille +0.5
74%
@ 1.28
Stade Brestois 29 +1.5
72%
@ 1.32
Lille +0.25
71%
@ 1.34
Stade Brestois 29 +1.25
69%
@ 1.39
Under 3.5
66%
@ 1.44
Lille 0.0
66%
@ 1.45
Stade Brestois 29 +1
64%
@ 1.49
BTTS Yes
58%
@ 1.62
Lille -0.25
57%
@ 1.68
Stade Brestois 29 +0.75
56%
@ 1.70
Over 2.5
55%
@ 1.73
Home Win
51%
@ 1.85
Lille -0.5
50%
@ 1.93
Stade Brestois 29 +0.5
50%
@ 1.95
DC X2
49%
@ 1.91
Under 2.5
45%
@ 2.10
Lille -0.75
44%
@ 2.19
Stade Brestois 29 +0.25
43%
@ 2.22
BTTS No
42%
@ 2.20
Lille -1.0
36%
@ 2.67
Over 3.5
34%
@ 2.75
Stade Brestois 29 0
34%
@ 2.81
Lille -1.25
31%
@ 3.03
Stade Brestois 29 -0.25
29%
@ 3.34
Lille -1.5
28%
@ 3.45
Stade Brestois 29 -0.5
26%
@ 3.74
Draw
25%
@ 3.75
Away Win
24%
@ 4.00
Lille -1.75
24%
@ 4.00
Under 1.5
22%
@ 4.33
Stade Brestois 29 -0.75
19%
@ 5.00
Lille -2.0
17%
@ 5.75
Estac Troyes vs Lens ▼
France, Ligue 1
18:45		Market25%@3.8024%@4.0051%@1.8581%@1.1760%@1.5761%@1.53
Lens +1
86%
@ 1.10
Estac Troyes +2.0
83%
@ 1.15
Over 1.5
81%
@ 1.17
Lens +0.75
80%
@ 1.18
DC X2
75%
@ 1.25
Lens +0.5
75%
@ 1.27
Estac Troyes +1.75
75%
@ 1.25
Lens +0.25
72%
@ 1.33
Estac Troyes +1.5
70%
@ 1.37
Lens 0
68%
@ 1.41
Estac Troyes +1.25
66%
@ 1.44
Estac Troyes +1.0
62%
@ 1.55
BTTS Yes
61%
@ 1.53
Over 2.5
60%
@ 1.57
Under 3.5
60%
@ 1.57
Lens -0.25
59%
@ 1.63
Estac Troyes +0.75
54%
@ 1.78
Lens -0.5
52%
@ 1.86
Away Win
51%
@ 1.85
DC 1X
49%
@ 1.91
Estac Troyes +0.5
48%
@ 2.02
Lens -0.75
46%
@ 2.08
Estac Troyes +0.25
41%
@ 2.32
Over 3.5
40%
@ 2.38
Under 2.5
40%
@ 2.38
BTTS No
39%
@ 2.38
Lens -1
38%
@ 2.47
Lens -1.25
34%
@ 2.81
Estac Troyes 0.0
32%
@ 2.96
Lens -1.5
30%
@ 3.16
Estac Troyes -0.25
28%
@ 3.41
Home Win
25%
@ 3.80
Estac Troyes -0.5
25%
@ 3.83
Lens -1.75
25%
@ 3.80
Draw
24%
@ 4.00
Estac Troyes -0.75
20%
@ 4.65
Under 1.5
19%
@ 5.00
Lens -2
17%
@ 5.50
Estac Troyes -1.0
14%
@ 7.00
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II ▼
Netherlands, Eredivisie
19:00		Market58%@1.6222%@4.3320%@4.7584%@1.1256%@1.6761%@1.53
Over 1.5
84%
@ 1.12
Sparta Rotterdam +0.75
84%
@ 1.12
DC 1X
80%
@ 1.18
Sparta Rotterdam +0.5
79%
@ 1.19
Sparta Rotterdam +0.25
77%
@ 1.22
Willem II +2
76%
@ 1.26
Sparta Rotterdam 0.0
74%
@ 1.28
Willem II +1.75
69%
@ 1.39
Sparta Rotterdam -0.25
66%
@ 1.45
Over 2.5
64%
@ 1.48
Willem II +1.5
63%
@ 1.52
BTTS Yes
61%
@ 1.53
Sparta Rotterdam -0.5
59%
@ 1.62
Home Win
58%
@ 1.62
Willem II +1.25
58%
@ 1.64
Under 3.5
56%
@ 1.67
Sparta Rotterdam -0.75
54%
@ 1.78
Willem II +1
53%
@ 1.82
Sparta Rotterdam -1.0
47%
@ 2.03
Willem II +0.75
46%
@ 2.07
Over 3.5
44%
@ 2.10
DC X2
42%
@ 2.25
Sparta Rotterdam -1.25
42%
@ 2.30
Willem II +0.5
41%
@ 2.32
BTTS No
39%
@ 2.38
Sparta Rotterdam -1.5
37%
@ 2.57
Under 2.5
36%
@ 2.60
Willem II +0.25
34%
@ 2.77
Sparta Rotterdam -1.75
31%
@ 3.07
Willem II 0
26%
@ 3.71
Sparta Rotterdam -2.0
24%
@ 3.95
Willem II -0.25
23%
@ 4.15
Draw
22%
@ 4.33
Willem II -0.5
21%
@ 4.50
Away Win
20%
@ 4.75
Under 1.5
16%
@ 6.00
Willem II -0.75
16%
@ 6.00
Dundee vs Rangers ▼
Scotland, Premiership
19:00		Market14%@7.0019%@5.0068%@1.4081%@1.1759%@1.6253%@1.75
DC X2
86%
@ 1.10
Over 1.5
81%
@ 1.17
Away Win
68%
@ 1.40
Over 2.5
62%
@ 1.53
Under 3.5
59%
@ 1.62
BTTS Yes
53%
@ 1.75
BTTS No
47%
@ 2.00
Over 3.5
41%
@ 2.30
Under 2.5
38%
@ 2.50
DC 1X
32%
@ 2.75
Draw
19%
@ 5.00
Under 1.5
19%
@ 5.00
Home Win
14%
@ 7.00
Valencia vs Athletic Club ▼
Spain, La Liga
19:00		Market30%@3.2029%@3.2541%@2.3070%@1.3676%@1.2552%@1.80
Athletic Club +1.5
86%
@ 1.10
Athletic Club +1.25
85%
@ 1.12
Valencia +1.75
85%
@ 1.12
Athletic Club +1
84%
@ 1.13
Valencia +1.5
79%
@ 1.19
Valencia +1.25
78%
@ 1.23
Under 3.5
76%
@ 1.25
Athletic Club +0.75
76%
@ 1.25
Valencia +1.0
75%
@ 1.28
DC X2
70%
@ 1.33
Over 1.5
70%
@ 1.36
Athletic Club +0.5
70%
@ 1.37
Athletic Club +0.25
65%
@ 1.48
Valencia +0.75
65%
@ 1.46
DC 1X
59%
@ 1.57
Valencia +0.5
59%
@ 1.63
Athletic Club 0
58%
@ 1.65
Under 2.5
55%
@ 1.73
BTTS Yes
52%
@ 1.80
Valencia +0.25
52%
@ 1.87
BTTS No
48%
@ 1.95
Athletic Club -0.25
48%
@ 2.02
Over 2.5
45%
@ 2.10
Valencia 0.0
42%
@ 2.28
Away Win
41%
@ 2.30
Athletic Club -0.5
41%
@ 2.33
Valencia -0.25
35%
@ 2.72
Athletic Club -0.75
35%
@ 2.76
Home Win
30%
@ 3.20
Under 1.5
30%
@ 3.20
Valencia -0.5
30%
@ 3.15
Draw
29%
@ 3.25
Athletic Club -1
25%
@ 3.77
Over 3.5
24%
@ 4.00
Valencia -0.75
24%
@ 4.01
Athletic Club -1.25
22%
@ 4.25
Athletic Club -1.5
21%
@ 4.50
Valencia -1.0
16%
@ 5.90
Valencia -1.25
15%
@ 6.40
Athletic Club -1.75
15%
@ 6.25
Valencia -1.5
14%
@ 7.00
Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City ▼
USA, Major League Soccer
20:30		Market38%@2.5025%@3.7537%@2.6084%@1.1256%@1.6765%@1.44
Minnesota United FC +1.75
86%
@ 1.11
Over 1.5
84%
@ 1.12
St. Louis City +1.75
83%
@ 1.14
Minnesota United FC +1.5
81%
@ 1.17
Minnesota United FC +1.25
79%
@ 1.19
St. Louis City +1.5
78%
@ 1.21
Minnesota United FC +1.0
77%
@ 1.24
St. Louis City +1.25
75%
@ 1.26
St. Louis City +1
74%
@ 1.28
Minnesota United FC +0.75
69%
@ 1.38
St. Louis City +0.75
67%
@ 1.42
BTTS Yes
65%
@ 1.44
Over 2.5
64%
@ 1.48
Minnesota United FC +0.5
64%
@ 1.50
DC 1X
63%
@ 1.50
DC X2
62%
@ 1.50
St. Louis City +0.5
61%
@ 1.58
Minnesota United FC +0.25
59%
@ 1.63
Under 3.5
56%
@ 1.67
St. Louis City +0.25
55%
@ 1.72
Minnesota United FC 0.0
51%
@ 1.90
St. Louis City 0
49%
@ 1.95
Minnesota United FC -0.25
45%
@ 2.15
Over 3.5
44%
@ 2.10
St. Louis City -0.25
41%
@ 2.31
Minnesota United FC -0.5
39%
@ 2.43
Home Win
38%
@ 2.50
Away Win
37%
@ 2.60
Under 2.5
36%
@ 2.60
St. Louis City -0.5
36%
@ 2.63
BTTS No
35%
@ 2.62
Minnesota United FC -0.75
33%
@ 2.86
St. Louis City -0.75
31%
@ 3.09
Minnesota United FC -1.0
26%
@ 3.71
Draw
25%
@ 3.75
Minnesota United FC -1.25
25%
@ 3.84
St. Louis City -1
23%
@ 4.12
Minnesota United FC -1.5
22%
@ 4.25
St. Louis City -1.25
21%
@ 4.50
St. Louis City -1.5
19%
@ 5.00
Minnesota United FC -1.75
17%
@ 5.75
Under 1.5
16%
@ 6.00
St. Louis City -1.75
14%
@ 6.60
Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc ▼
Brazil, Serie A
21:00		Market71%@1.3319%@5.0010%@9.5083%@1.1457%@1.6752%@1.80
DC 1X
90%
@ 1.07
Botafogo 0.0
86%
@ 1.10
Botafogo +0.25
86%
@ 1.10
Over 1.5
83%
@ 1.14
Botafogo -0.25
79%
@ 1.20
Botafogo -0.5
72%
@ 1.32
Home Win
71%
@ 1.33
Botafogo -0.75
69%
@ 1.38
Botafogo -1.0
65%
@ 1.48
Over 2.5
63%
@ 1.50
Chapecoense-sc +2
63%
@ 1.51
Under 3.5
57%
@ 1.67
Botafogo -1.25
57%
@ 1.69
Chapecoense-sc +1.75
56%
@ 1.71
BTTS Yes
52%
@ 1.80
Botafogo -1.5
50%
@ 1.93
Chapecoense-sc +1.5
50%
@ 1.93
BTTS No
48%
@ 1.95
Botafogo -1.75
44%
@ 2.14
Over 3.5
43%
@ 2.20
Chapecoense-sc +1.25
43%
@ 2.19
Under 2.5
38%
@ 2.50
Botafogo -2.0
37%
@ 2.57
Chapecoense-sc +1
35%
@ 2.70
Chapecoense-sc +0.75
31%
@ 3.11
DC X2
29%
@ 3.25
Chapecoense-sc +0.5
28%
@ 3.47
Chapecoense-sc +0.25
21%
@ 4.40
Draw
19%
@ 5.00
Under 1.5
17%
@ 5.50
Chapecoense-sc 0
14%
@ 7.00
Chapecoense-sc -0.25
14%
@ 7.00
Away Win
10%
@ 9.50
How to read this table: For every match we show the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. We do not label any market as value or safe: in our own testing our model did not beat the market, so we show the numbers from the market itself. Analytical view, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.
🎯

Today's Accumulator

Combine all 3 picks into one bet

Combined Odds @ 2.20
1 Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart Asian Handicap +0.25 @ 1.30
2 Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 Asian Handicap +1.75 @ 1.30
3 Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid Espanyol Asian Handicap +1.75 @ 1.30
💰 Quick Examples
€10 in → €21.97
€25 in → €54.93
€50 in → €109.85
€
Potential return €21.97 profit: €11.97

⚠️ Bet responsibly. 18+ only.


📋 Yesterday's Results

Friday, 16 October

✅ 3W❌ 0L
🔥 Perfect day! All main picks won. The accumulator would have paid @ 2.40
Main picks 3W 0L
✅
Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt Asian Handicap +0.5 @ 1.31
Score: 1-0
✅
Frosinone vs Sassuolo
Frosinone Asian Handicap +0.75 @ 1.38
Score: 4-2
✅
Mirassol vs Internacional
Under 3.5 @ 1.33
Score: 2-0
Extra picks 1W 0LNot included in our official track record.
✅
Heerenveen vs Excelsior
Heerenveen Asian Handicap -0.75 @ 1.80
Score: 4-0

📈 Our track record

Every published tip, tracked and settled since May 11, 2026.

340Total Tips
235Won
75Lost
73%Win Rate
+2%ROI

Stats based on settled tips only. ROI calculated per unit staked.

View full statistics
🔥
10 Win Streak
23 Best streak
Last 12 settled main picks WinHalf winVoidHalf lossLoss


🔍 Latest Analysis

In-depth breakdowns of our daily picks. Find out why we selected each bet.

EspanyolEspanyolvsAtletico MadridAtletico MadridLa LigaEspanyol Asian Handicap +1.75@ 1.3012:00Werder BremenWerder BremenvsSC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07BundesligaSC Paderborn 07 Asian Handicap +1.75@ 1.3013:30Hamburger SVHamburger SVvsVfB StuttgartVfB StuttgartBundesligaVfB Stuttgart Asian Handicap +0.25@ 1.3013:30EvertonEvertonvsChelseaChelseaPremier League11:30VillarrealVillarrealvsElcheElcheLa Liga14:15VeneziaVeneziavsNapoliNapoliSerie A13:00Union BerlinUnion BerlinvsBorussia DortmundBorussia DortmundBundesliga13:30StrasbourgStrasbourgvsParis Saint GermainParis Saint GermainLigue 115:15ADO Den HaagADO Den HaagvsPSV EindhovenPSV EindhovenEredivisie14:30MiddlesbroughMiddlesbroughvsCardiffCardiffChampionship11:30Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia UnionvsCharlotteCharlotteMajor League Soccer18:30BotafogoBotafogovsChapecoense-scChapecoense-scBrazilian Série A21:00
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