🏆 Competitions
Major League Soccer Betting Tips
Free daily MLS tips powered by AI analysis. Posted every morning across all our channels.
Upcoming Major League Soccer Fixtures
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Inter MiamivsNashville SC
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Columbus CrewvsNew York Red Bulls
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FC CincinnativsCharlotte
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Orlando City SCvsToronto FC
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DC UnitedvsAtlanta United FC
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Sporting Kansas CityvsLos Angeles FC
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FC DallasvsPortland Timbers
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St. Louis CityvsMinnesota United FC
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Real Salt LakevsNew York City FC
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Colorado RapidsvsCF Montreal
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Los Angeles GalaxyvsSeattle Sounders
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San Jose EarthquakesvsHouston Dynamo
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Chicago FirevsNew England Revolution
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Vancouver WhitecapsvsAustin
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San DiegovsPhiladelphia Union
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Best Bets This Week (Accumulator picks)
Sorted by model probability (highest first). For accumulator-style combination picks. Analytical view, not betting advice. UpcomingStarts soonLiveFinished
Value Bets This Week
Sorted by model value (highest expected edge first). Analytical view, not betting advice. UpcomingStarts soonLiveFinished
These picks overlap with the accumulator above: same matches, more aggressive lines. Do not count them as separate bets.
This table uses a different method than the accumulator: it looks for the biggest gap between our model and the bookmaker price. Over the last 90 days that approach returned -12.3%. We publish it because we test our methods in the open.
Market Probabilities
| Match | Score ⓘ | Home% | Draw% | Away% | O1.5 | U3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tip: click a match row to see all betting markets. Markets are sorted by model value (positive value = model rates pick higher than bookmaker odds suggest). Markets without odds are shown last for reference. | |||||||
| Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin ▼ USA, Major League Soccer | 50 3/3 | 55%@1.23-26.3% | 25%@6.25+9% | 21%@10.50+11.5% | 86%@1.08-6.6% | 55%@1.89+2.1% | 61%@1.70+2.2% |
SAFE BET BTTS Yes 61% @ 1.70 +2.2% value LONGSHOT DC X2 45% @ 3.90 +19.4% value LONGSHOT Away Win 21% @ 10.50 +11.5% value LONGSHOT Draw 25% @ 6.25 +9% value AVOID Over 1.5 86% @ 1.08 -6.6% value AVOID Over 2.5 67% @ 1.33 -8.2% value AVOID Over 3.5 45% @ 1.87 -8.5% value AVOID DC 1X 79% @ 1.04 -17.2% value AVOID Home Win 55% @ 1.23 -26.3% value | |||||||
| Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls ▼ USA, Major League Soccer | 46 3/3 | 52%@1.87-1.5% | 23%@4.10-1.4% | 25%@3.45-4% | 84%@1.10-6.9% | 58%@1.84+3.7% | 64%@1.35-10.1% |
AVOID Draw 23% @ 4.10 -1.4% value AVOID Home Win 52% @ 1.87 -1.5% value AVOID DC 1X 76% @ 1.29 -1.5% value AVOID Away Win 25% @ 3.45 -4% value AVOID DC X2 49% @ 1.88 -4.2% value AVOID Over 1.5 84% @ 1.10 -6.9% value AVOID Over 2.5 64% @ 1.36 -9.5% value AVOID Over 3.5 42% @ 1.93 -9.8% value AVOID BTTS Yes 64% @ 1.35 -10.1% value | |||||||
| Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC ▼ USA, Major League Soccer | 45 2/3 | 57%@1.86+3.2% | 20%@3.95-5.3% | 23%@3.55-5.2% | 82%@1.09-9.7% | 61%@1.80+5.4% | 58%@1.37-15% |
SAFE BET Home Win 57% @ 1.86 +3.2% value SAFE BET DC 1X 79% @ 1.28 +0.9% value AVOID Away Win 23% @ 3.55 -5.2% value AVOID Draw 20% @ 3.95 -5.3% value AVOID DC X2 45% @ 1.90 -7.6% value AVOID Over 1.5 82% @ 1.09 -9.7% value AVOID Over 2.5 61% @ 1.38 -11.5% value AVOID Over 3.5 39% @ 1.96 -12% value AVOID BTTS Yes 58% @ 1.37 -15% value | |||||||
| FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers ▼ USA, Major League Soccer | 41 3/3 | 46%@1.75-11.1% | 28%@4.10+3.6% | 26%@3.90+0.4% | 89%@1.09-2.7% | 48%@1.83-6.6% | 70%@1.36-3.5% |
SAFE BET DC X2 53% @ 2.02 +3.5% value Draw 28% @ 4.10 +3.6% value Away Win 26% @ 3.90 +0.4% value AVOID Over 3.5 52% @ 1.92 -0.1% value AVOID Over 2.5 73% @ 1.36 -0.5% value AVOID Over 1.5 89% @ 1.09 -2.7% value AVOID BTTS Yes 70% @ 1.36 -3.5% value AVOID DC 1X 73% @ 1.24 -7.6% value AVOID Home Win 46% @ 1.75 -11.1% value | |||||||
| Inter Miami vs Nashville SC ▼ USA, Major League Soccer | 41 2/3 | 52%@1.79-3.9% | 22%@4.00-3% | 26%@3.75-0.7% | 86%@1.08-6.6% | 55%@1.87+1.5% | 65%@1.36-8.5% |
AVOID Away Win 26% @ 3.75 -0.7% value AVOID DC X2 50% @ 1.97 -0.8% value AVOID Draw 22% @ 4.00 -3% value AVOID Home Win 52% @ 1.79 -3.9% value AVOID DC 1X 75% @ 1.25 -5% value AVOID Over 1.5 86% @ 1.08 -6.6% value AVOID Over 3.5 45% @ 1.89 -7.9% value AVOID Over 2.5 66% @ 1.35 -8.1% value AVOID BTTS Yes 65% @ 1.36 -8.5% value | |||||||
| Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC ▼ USA, Major League Soccer | 34 2/3 | 24%@5.10+4.4% | 27%@4.40+4.3% | 49%@1.54-15.9% | 80%@1.10-10.9% | 65%@1.74+7.5% | 57%@1.47-11% |
VALUE PICK DC 1X 50% @ 2.38 +8% value Home Win 24% @ 5.10 +4.4% value Draw 27% @ 4.40 +4.3% value AVOID Over 1.5 80% @ 1.10 -10.9% value AVOID BTTS Yes 57% @ 1.47 -11% value AVOID DC X2 75% @ 1.16 -11.2% value AVOID Over 2.5 58% @ 1.40 -13.4% value AVOID Over 3.5 35% @ 2.02 -14.5% value AVOID Away Win 49% @ 1.54 -15.9% value | |||||||
| Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC ▼ USA, Major League Soccer | 33 2/3 | 49%@1.98-1.5% | 28%@3.75+1.3% | 23%@3.35-6.9% | 77%@1.15-10% | 70%@1.55+5.5% | 56%@1.50-10.7% |
Draw 28% @ 3.75 +1.3% value AVOID DC 1X 76% @ 1.30 -0.9% value AVOID Home Win 49% @ 1.98 -1.5% value AVOID Away Win 23% @ 3.35 -6.9% value AVOID DC X2 49% @ 1.79 -6.9% value AVOID Over 1.5 77% @ 1.15 -10% value AVOID BTTS Yes 56% @ 1.50 -10.7% value AVOID Over 2.5 53% @ 1.55 -11.5% value AVOID Over 3.5 30% @ 2.35 -12.6% value | |||||||
| Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal ▼ USA, Major League Soccer | 31 3/3 | 43%@1.73-14.8% | 29%@3.90+3.4% | 28%@4.20+4.2% | 81%@1.16-5.2% | 63%@1.54-1.9% | 59%@1.55-5.5% |
VALUE PICK DC X2 56% @ 2.06 +7.5% value Away Win 28% @ 4.20 +4.2% value Draw 29% @ 3.90 +3.4% value AVOID Over 2.5 60% @ 1.56 -4.1% value AVOID Over 3.5 37% @ 2.43 -4.2% value AVOID Over 1.5 81% @ 1.16 -5.2% value AVOID BTTS Yes 59% @ 1.55 -5.5% value AVOID DC 1X 70% @ 1.21 -12.6% value AVOID Home Win 43% @ 1.73 -14.8% value | |||||||
| Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders ▼ USA, Major League Soccer | 31 3/3 | 43%@2.12-4.2% | 27%@3.70+-0% | 31%@3.05-1.8% | 78%@1.15-9% | 68%@1.57+4.3% | 58%@1.47-10% |
Draw 27% @ 3.70 +-0% value AVOID Away Win 31% @ 3.05 -1.8% value AVOID DC X2 57% @ 1.68 -2.5% value AVOID Home Win 43% @ 2.12 -4.2% value AVOID DC 1X 69% @ 1.36 -4.5% value AVOID Over 1.5 78% @ 1.15 -9% value AVOID BTTS Yes 58% @ 1.47 -10% value AVOID Over 3.5 32% @ 2.32 -11.1% value AVOID Over 2.5 54% @ 1.53 -11.4% value | |||||||
| FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte ▼ USA, Major League Soccer | 28 2/3 | 45%@1.75-12.1% | 24%@4.20+0.2% | 31%@3.80+4.7% | 91%@1.07-2.5% | 44%@1.95-7.3% | 71%@1.34-3.6% |
VALUE PICK DC X2 56% @ 2.02 +6.5% value SAFE BET Over 3.5 56% @ 1.82 +1.1% value SAFE BET Over 2.5 76% @ 1.32 +0.2% value Away Win 31% @ 3.80 +4.7% value Draw 24% @ 4.20 +0.2% value AVOID Over 1.5 91% @ 1.07 -2.5% value AVOID BTTS Yes 71% @ 1.34 -3.6% value AVOID DC 1X 70% @ 1.25 -10% value AVOID Home Win 45% @ 1.75 -12.1% value | |||||||
| San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo ▼ USA, Major League Soccer | 26 3/3 | 31%@2.48-9.3% | 29%@3.65+1.6% | 40%@2.55+0.8% | 78%@1.15-9% | 68%@1.55+3.5% | 58%@1.45-11% |
SAFE BET DC X2 67% @ 1.50 +0.3% value Draw 29% @ 3.65 +1.6% value Away Win 40% @ 2.55 +0.8% value AVOID DC 1X 59% @ 1.49 -8.1% value AVOID Over 1.5 78% @ 1.15 -9% value AVOID Home Win 31% @ 2.48 -9.3% value AVOID Over 3.5 32% @ 2.38 -10% value AVOID Over 2.5 54% @ 1.54 -10.9% value AVOID BTTS Yes 58% @ 1.45 -11% value | |||||||
| DC United vs Atlanta United FC ▼ USA, Major League Soccer | 25 3/3 | 40%@2.07-8.3% | 27%@3.60-0.8% | 33%@3.20+1.8% | 85%@1.17-0.5% | 56%@1.50-10.7% | 67%@1.50+0.3% |
SAFE BET Over 2.5 66% @ 1.60 +3.5% value SAFE BET DC X2 60% @ 1.72 +1.9% value SAFE BET BTTS Yes 67% @ 1.50 +0.3% value Over 3.5 44% @ 2.50 +4% value Away Win 33% @ 3.20 +1.8% value AVOID Over 1.5 85% @ 1.17 -0.5% value AVOID Draw 27% @ 3.60 -0.8% value AVOID DC 1X 67% @ 1.33 -8.2% value AVOID Home Win 40% @ 2.07 -8.3% value | |||||||
| St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC ▼ USA, Major League Soccer | 21 2/3 | 41%@1.98-9.5% | 24%@3.65-3.4% | 35%@3.40+5.6% | 87%@1.18+2.3% | 53%@1.49-14.1% | 68%@1.53+2.6% |
VALUE PICK Over 2.5 68% @ 1.60 +5.5% value VALUE PICK DC X2 61% @ 1.79 +5.1% value SAFE BET BTTS Yes 68% @ 1.53 +2.6% value SAFE BET Over 1.5 87% @ 1.18 +2.3% value LONGSHOT Over 3.5 47% @ 2.55 +7.8% value LONGSHOT Away Win 35% @ 3.40 +5.6% value AVOID Draw 24% @ 3.65 -3.4% value AVOID Home Win 41% @ 1.98 -9.5% value AVOID DC 1X 66% @ 1.29 -11.5% value | |||||||
| San Diego vs Philadelphia Union ▼ USA, Major League Soccer | 20 2/3 | 39%@2.60+0.5% | 26%@3.80-0.3% | 35%@2.35-7.6% | 94%@1.11+3.9% | 33%@1.73-24.8% | 81%@1.37+8% |
VALUE PICK Over 3.5 67% @ 2.05 +18.2% value VALUE PICK Over 2.5 83% @ 1.41 +12.1% value VALUE PICK BTTS Yes 81% @ 1.37 +8% value SAFE BET Over 1.5 94% @ 1.11 +3.9% value SAFE BET DC 1X 65% @ 1.56 +0.9% value Home Win 39% @ 2.60 +0.5% value AVOID Draw 26% @ 3.80 -0.3% value AVOID DC X2 61% @ 1.47 -7% value AVOID Away Win 35% @ 2.35 -7.6% value | |||||||
| Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution ▼ USA, Major League Soccer | 17 2/3 | 39%@1.67-20.9% | 26%@4.10+1.6% | 35%@4.40+12.3% | 82%@1.12-7.3% | 62%@1.65+1.4% | 62%@1.49-5.1% |
VALUE PICK DC X2 61% @ 2.15 +14.5% value LONGSHOT Away Win 35% @ 4.40 +12.3% value Draw 26% @ 4.10 +1.6% value AVOID BTTS Yes 62% @ 1.49 -5.1% value AVOID Over 1.5 82% @ 1.12 -7.3% value AVOID Over 2.5 61% @ 1.46 -7.5% value AVOID Over 3.5 38% @ 2.18 -7.9% value AVOID DC 1X 65% @ 1.20 -18.3% value AVOID Home Win 39% @ 1.67 -20.9% value | |||||||
How to read the cards: Each card combines model probability (chance the pick wins) with value (edge vs bookmaker odds). VALUE PICK high probability (≥50%) with positive edge (≥+5%) - the best combination. LONGSHOT lower probability (<50%) but positive edge - higher risk, higher payout. SAFE BET high probability, modest edge (0-5%). AVOID bookmaker prices the outcome better than our model - negative expected value.
Important note: These categories reflect our model’s view versus bookmaker odds — they are analytical, not betting advice. Our historical backtest (Apr–May 2026, n=401 VALUE PICKs) shows that no category has consistently outperformed the bookmaker margin. Bookmakers price markets efficiently; use these signals to inform your thinking, not as guaranteed picks. Bet responsibly.
Recent Major League Soccer Results
CF Montrealvs
CharlotteMajor League Soccer1-2
DC Unitedvs
Columbus CrewMajor League SoccerOver 3.5@ 2.602-1
Toronto FCvs
Nashville SCMajor League Soccer2-1
Atlanta United FCvs
Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer2-3
Philadelphia Unionvs
FC CincinnatiMajor League SoccerFC Cincinnati Asian Handicap +1.75@ 1.355-0
Portland Timbersvs
Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer5-4
Vancouver Whitecapsvs
St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer1-3
Los Angeles Galaxyvs
New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer2-1
Real Salt Lakevs
Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer2-2
Austinvs
San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer1-1About the Major League Soccer
Major League Soccer is the top division of the United States and Canada: 29 clubs split across Eastern and Western Conferences, playing a regular season from late February to October before the MLS Cup play-offs decide the champion. There is no relegation, and the league is among the most attacking in the world.
For bettors MLS offers a distinctive profile: high-scoring, open football, huge travel distances across two countries and several time zones, altitude factors in cities like Denver and Salt Lake City, and a designated-player system that concentrates talent. These quirks create patterns our models target.
Why we cover this competition
Major League Soccer is one of the competitions where our AI model performs best. High-quality data and clear quality gaps between teams create exactly the conditions our ensemble model is built to exploit.
📈 Live competition numbers
Measured from our own settled results, not looked up.
3.34
goals per match on average
63.8%
of matches go over 2.5 goals
67.9%
of matches see both teams score
43.9%
home wins
Based on 246 settled matches since August 2025. Updated after every matchday.
Key Betting Facts: Major League Soccer
One of the highest-scoring leagues
MLS averages close to 3 goals per game, with open, attacking football. Over 2.5 goals and both-teams-to-score are markets we lean on heavily.
Travel and time zones matter
Cross-country trips spanning multiple time zones tire visiting sides. We weight travel burden and rest days more in MLS than in any compact European league.
Altitude is a real edge
Clubs in Denver and Salt Lake City benefit from altitude that visitors struggle to adapt to, a measurable home edge we factor in.
No relegation changes motivation
With no drop, late-season motivation hinges on the play-off race. Teams out of contention behave very differently, context we track closely.
New to sports betting? Read our complete guide to betting, our guide to understanding odds and our Asian handicap explainer.
How We Bet on the Major League Soccer
Major League Soccer is a competition where context matters more than almost anywhere else. Here is the exact process we follow before placing any selection.
1
Lean into goals markets
MLS’s attacking style makes over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score our strongest markets when the model agrees.
2
Weight travel and rest
We adjust for long cross-country trips and short rest, which hit visiting sides harder in MLS than anywhere else we cover.
3
Factor altitude venues
Matches in Colorado and Real Salt Lake receive a specific home adjustment for altitude.
4
Read the play-off race
From late summer we assess which clubs are fighting for play-off spots and which have nothing left to play for.
Our commitment
Every tip we post includes our full reasoning. We never just give you a pick without explaining exactly why we made it. You can read the logic behind every selection directly in the tip.
Our Major League Soccer Betting Record
52.6% of our published tips won
19 settled tips in this competition
See all our published tips →
📅 09 Sep 2026❌ Loss
DC United vs Columbus Crew
Pick: Over 3.5 @ 2.60
💡 Model gives 53.7% probability for this selection. At odds 2.60 this represents +39.5% expected value. Selected as extra value pick by our fixed rule system: same criteria every day, no manual selection.
📅 09 Sep 2026❌ Loss
Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati
Pick: FC Cincinnati Asian Handicap +1.75 @ 1.35
💡 Model gives 85.5% probability for this selection. At odds 1.35 this represents +15.9% expected value. Selected as main accumulator pick by our fixed rule system: same criteria every day, no manual selection.
📅 05 Sep 2026↩️ Void
Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal
Pick: CF Montreal Asian Handicap +2.0 @ 1.39
💡 Model gives 84.0% probability for this selection. At odds 1.39 this represents +16.4% expected value. Selected as main accumulator pick by our fixed rule system: same criteria every day, no manual selection.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 52 | 21 | +31 | 46 | WLWWL |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 27 | +5 | 43 | WDDLW |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 24 | +16 | 40 | WDDDL |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 41 | +6 | 40 | WWDLW |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 36 | +7 | 38 | WDDLL |
| 6 | St. Louis City | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 33 | +5 | 38 | DWDWD |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 32 | +0 | 32 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 46 | 45 | +1 | 32 | DWLDW |
| 9 | San Diego | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 42 | 37 | +5 | 30 | LLWWL |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 37 | 37 | +0 | 29 | LDLLL |
| 11 | Minnesota United FC | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 29 | LLDWL |
| 12 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 29 | LWLDW |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 27 | DDDLL |
| 14 | Austin | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 26 | DDWDW |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 15 | LLLDL |
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation
Top Scorers
| # | Player | Goals | Team | Assists | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M | L. Messi | 18 | | 11 |
| 2 | M | P. Musa | 18 | | 4 |
| 3 | W | B. White | 14 | | 2 |
| 4 | M | N. Fernández Mercau | 14 | | 4 |
| 5 | B | T. Baribo | 14 | | 0 |
| 6 | G | Guilherme | 13 | | 6 |
| 7 | C | H. Cuypers | 13 | | 0 |
| 8 | S | S. Surridge | 13 | | 0 |
| 9 | O | P. Owusu | 13 | | 6 |
| 10 | J | P. Judd | 12 | | 2 |
Top Assists
| # | Player | Assists | Team | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M | L. Messi | 11 | |
| 2 | D | A. Dreyer | 10 | |
| 3 | H | Son Heung-Min | 9 | |
| 4 | P | J. Pereyra | 9 | |
| 5 | E | C. Espinoza | 9 | |
| 6 | E | Evander | 8 | |
| 7 | Z | P. Zinckernagel | 8 | |
| 8 | S | T. Segovia | 8 | |
| 9 | V | J. Valiente | 8 | |
| 10 | C | David Pereira da Costa | 7 | |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often do you post MLS tips?
We cover MLS matchdays throughout the season, which runs from late February to the MLS Cup play-offs in autumn.
Why is MLS good for goals betting?
MLS is one of the most attacking leagues in the world, averaging close to 3 goals per game, which makes over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score reliable markets.
Are your MLS tips free?
Yes, completely free. Follow us on Telegram to get every tip delivered each morning.
What bet types work best in MLS?
Goals markets (over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score) are our strongest, with travel- and altitude-adjusted home sides also offering value.
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