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⚽ Major League Soccer

New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Wednesday 28 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

New England Revolution face New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Wednesday 28 October 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: New England Revolution have 3 wins from their last 5, while New York Red Bulls have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, New England Revolution won 2, New York Red Bulls won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a New England Revolution win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.80

70%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.55 – 1.20 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.4%	7.7%	4.6%	1.8%	0.6%
1	9.9%	11.9%	7.1%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.7%	9.2%	5.5%	2.2%	0.7%
3	4.0%	4.8%	2.9%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.5%	1.8%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

New England Revolution winDrawNew York Red Bulls win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.80, with a 70% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a New England Revolution win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

📊 Key numbers

New England Revolution 41%Draw 32%New York Red Bulls 28%

41%32%28%

41%

New England Revolution Win

52%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between New England Revolution and New York Red Bulls. Wins shown from New England Revolution’s perspective: New England Revolution 2 · New York Red Bulls 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2024-06-08	New England Revolution	1 – 0	New York Red Bulls	W
2024-05-11	New York Red Bulls	4 – 2	New England Revolution	L
2023-08-30	New England Revolution	1 – 0	New York Red Bulls	W
2023-07-08	New York Red Bulls	2 – 1	New England Revolution	L

📈 Recent form

New England Revolution

New England Revolution come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Philadelphia Union. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Seattle Sounders.

WPhiladelphia Union 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
WNew England Revolution 1-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
WFC Cincinnati 2-3 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
LNew England Revolution 0-3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
LReal Salt Lake 3-0 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer

New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to San Diego. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Toronto FC.

WNew York Red Bulls 2-0 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
LNew York Red Bulls 0-2 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
LDC United 2-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
WNew York Red Bulls 4-1 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
LNew York Red Bulls 0-3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices New England Revolution at 41% to win and New York Red Bulls at 28%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a New England Revolution win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
New England Revolution Win	41%	50%	@ 1.85
Draw	32%	23%	@ 4.00
New York Red Bulls Win	28%	27%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is New England Revolution or Draw at 1.22 (69% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
New England Revolution or Draw	69%	73%	@ 1.22
New York Red Bulls or Draw	57%	50%	@ 2.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	76%	86%	@ 1.10
Under 3.5	70%	51%	@ 1.80
Over 2.5	52%	67%	@ 1.40
Under 2.5	48%	33%	@ 2.88
Over 3.5	30%	49%	@ 1.91
Under 1.5	24%	14%	@ 7.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	55%	66%	@ 1.40
BTTS No	45%	34%	@ 2.75

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.80, with a 70% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 51%.

Who is the favourite for New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?

Our model makes a New England Revolution win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls.

What is the predicted score for New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.55 for New England Revolution and 1.20 for New York Red Bulls. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do New England Revolution and New York Red Bulls play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 28 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.