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⚽ Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Monday 26 October 2026, 01:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Los Angeles FC face Los Angeles Galaxy in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Monday 26 October 2026, 01:00 UTC. Recent form: Los Angeles FC have 1 win from their last 5, while Los Angeles Galaxy have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Los Angeles FC won 3, Los Angeles Galaxy won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.8-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.40

63%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.83 – 1.41 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.9%	5.5%	3.9%	1.8%	0.6%
1	7.2%	10.1%	7.1%	3.3%	1.2%
2	6.6%	9.2%	6.5%	3.1%	1.1%
3	4.0%	5.6%	4.0%	1.9%	0.7%
4	1.8%	2.6%	1.8%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Los Angeles FC winDrawLos Angeles Galaxy win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 63% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Los Angeles FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

📊 Key numbers

Los Angeles FC 42%Draw 23%Los Angeles Galaxy 36%

42%23%36%

42%

Los Angeles FC Win

63%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Los Angeles FC and Los Angeles Galaxy. Wins shown from Los Angeles FC’s perspective: Los Angeles FC 3 · Los Angeles Galaxy 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2024-09-15	Los Angeles Galaxy	4 – 2	Los Angeles FC	L
2024-07-05	Los Angeles Galaxy	1 – 2	Los Angeles FC	W
2024-04-06	Los Angeles FC	2 – 1	Los Angeles Galaxy	W
2023-09-17	Los Angeles FC	4 – 2	Los Angeles Galaxy	W
2023-07-05	Los Angeles Galaxy	2 – 1	Los Angeles FC	L

📈 Recent form

Los Angeles FC

Los Angeles FC come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Austin. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at FC Dallas.

DNew York City FC 1-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
WLos Angeles FC 3-1 AustinMajor League Soccer
DLos Angeles FC 1-1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
LFC Dallas 1-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
DSan Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy

Los Angeles Galaxy come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Portland Timbers. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-6 at St. Louis City.

DLos Angeles Galaxy 2-2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
WLos Angeles Galaxy 2-0 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
LSt. Louis City 6-2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
WLos Angeles Galaxy 3-2 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
WMinnesota United FC 2-3 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Los Angeles FC at 42% to win and Los Angeles Galaxy at 36%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Los Angeles FC Win	42%	61%	@ 1.53
Los Angeles Galaxy Win	36%	18%	@ 5.25
Draw	23%	21%	@ 4.33

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Los Angeles FC or Draw at 1.17 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Los Angeles FC or Draw	66%	82%	@ 1.17
Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw	60%	39%	@ 2.38

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	85%	@ 1.11
Over 2.5	63%	67%	@ 1.40
Under 3.5	59%	54%	@ 1.73
Over 3.5	41%	46%	@ 2.00
Under 2.5	37%	33%	@ 2.88
Under 1.5	17%	15%	@ 6.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	63%	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	37%	38%	@ 2.50

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 63% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.

Who is the favourite for Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Our model makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.4 scoreline for Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy.

What is the predicted score for Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.83 for Los Angeles FC and 1.41 for Los Angeles Galaxy. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Los Angeles FC and Los Angeles Galaxy play?

Kick-off is Monday 26 October 2026, 01:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.