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⚽ La Liga

Sevilla vs Osasuna Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sevilla vs Osasuna in the La Liga. Kick-off Monday 26 October 2026, 20:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Sevilla face Osasuna in the La Liga, kicking off Monday 26 October 2026, 20:00 UTC. Recent form: Sevilla have 2 wins from their last 5, while Osasuna have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Sevilla won 1, Osasuna won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sevilla win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sevilla vs Osasuna with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.36

77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.58 – 1.22 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	7.4%	4.5%	1.8%	0.6%
1	9.6%	11.7%	7.2%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.6%	9.3%	5.6%	2.3%	0.7%
3	4.0%	4.9%	3.0%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.6%	1.9%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Sevilla winDrawOsasuna win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Sevilla vs Osasuna comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Sevilla win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Sevilla 37%Draw 32%Osasuna 31%

37%32%31%

37%

Sevilla Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Sevilla and Osasuna. Wins shown from Sevilla’s perspective: Sevilla 1 · 2 drawn · Osasuna 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-26	Osasuna	2 – 1	Sevilla	L
2025-11-08	Sevilla	1 – 0	Osasuna	W
2025-04-24	Osasuna	1 – 0	Sevilla	L
2024-12-02	Sevilla	1 – 1	Osasuna	D
2024-01-28	Sevilla	1 – 1	Osasuna	D

📈 Recent form

Sevilla

Sevilla come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Deportivo La Coruña. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Real Madrid.

LReal Madrid 4-1 SevillaLa Liga
DLevante 3-3 SevillaLa Liga
LSevilla 1-3 Aston VillaFriendlies Clubs
LSevilla 1-3 BarcelonaLa Liga
WDeportivo La Coruña 0-1 SevillaLa Liga

Osasuna

Osasuna come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Racing Santander. Their most recent defeat was 2-5 at Real Betis.

WOsasuna 2-0 Racing SantanderLa Liga
LReal Betis 5-2 OsasunaLa Liga
DOsasuna 1-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
LAtlético Madrid 4-0 OsasunaLa Liga
LOsasuna 0-2 EspanyolLa Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Sevilla at 37% to win and Osasuna at 31%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a Sevilla win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sevilla Win	37%	49%	@ 1.95
Draw	32%	29%	@ 3.30
Osasuna Win	31%	23%	@ 4.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sevilla or Draw at 1.22 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sevilla or Draw	66%	77%	@ 1.22
Osasuna or Draw	60%	51%	@ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	70%	@ 1.36
Under 3.5	69%	76%	@ 1.25
Over 2.5	53%	43%	@ 2.20
Under 2.5	47%	57%	@ 1.67
Over 3.5	31%	24%	@ 4.00
Under 1.5	23%	30%	@ 3.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	48%	@ 1.95
BTTS No	44%	52%	@ 1.80

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sevilla vs Osasuna?

Our model's pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Sevilla vs Osasuna?

Our model makes a Sevilla win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Sevilla vs Osasuna.

What is the predicted score for Sevilla vs Osasuna?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.58 for Sevilla and 1.22 for Osasuna. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sevilla and Osasuna play?

Kick-off is Monday 26 October 2026, 20:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.