Mon 26 Oct18:45Upcoming

⚽ Primeira Liga

Santa Clara vs Benfica Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Santa Clara vs Benfica in the Primeira Liga. Kick-off Monday 26 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Santa Clara face Benfica in the Primeira Liga, kicking off Monday 26 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Santa Clara have 3 wins from their last 5, while Benfica have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Benfica won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Benfica win the most likely result at 65%, projecting a 0.9-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Santa Clara vs Benfica with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.33

71%Bookmaker odds imply 71%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.89 – 1.60 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	13.3%	10.6%	5.7%	2.3%
1	7.4%	11.8%	9.4%	5.0%	2.0%
2	3.3%	5.3%	4.2%	2.2%	0.9%
3	1.0%	1.6%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Santa Clara winDrawBenfica win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Santa Clara vs Benfica comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Benfica win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 65%. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points no (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Santa Clara 14%Draw 20%Benfica 65%

14%20%65%

65%

Benfica Win

55%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Santa Clara and Benfica. Wins shown from Santa Clara’s perspective: 1 drawn · Benfica 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-13	Santa Clara	1 – 2	Benfica	L
2025-09-12	Benfica	1 – 1	Santa Clara	D
2025-02-15	Santa Clara	0 – 1	Benfica	L
2024-09-14	Benfica	4 – 1	Santa Clara	L

📈 Recent form

Santa Clara

Santa Clara come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Rio Ave.

DMafra 2-2 Santa ClaraTaça de Portugal
WCasa Pia 0-1 Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
DSanta Clara 0-0 SC BragaPrimeira Liga
WArouca 1-2 Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
WSanta Clara 4-0 Rio AvePrimeira Liga

Benfica

Benfica come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Celtic. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at FC Porto.

WBenfica 4-1 CelticUEFA Europa League
WBenfica 2-0 Vitória SCPrimeira Liga
LFC Porto 3-1 BenficaPrimeira Liga
WAC Milan 0-2 BenficaUEFA Europa League
WBenfica 3-1 Gil VicentePrimeira Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Santa Clara at 14% to win and Benfica at 65%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes a Benfica win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Benfica Win	65%	69%	@ 1.36
Draw	20%	21%	@ 4.50
Santa Clara Win	14%	10%	@ 9.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Benfica or Draw at 1.08 (86% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Benfica or Draw	86%	90%	@ 1.08
Santa Clara or Draw	35%	31%	@ 3.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	76%	71%	@ 1.33
Over 1.5	71%	75%	@ 1.25
Under 2.5	55%	49%	@ 1.95
Over 2.5	45%	51%	@ 1.85
Under 1.5	29%	25%	@ 3.75
Over 3.5	24%	29%	@ 3.25

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	54%	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS Yes	46%	42%	@ 2.20

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santa Clara vs Benfica?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Santa Clara vs Benfica?

Our model makes a Benfica win the most likely result at 65%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.6 scoreline for Santa Clara vs Benfica.

What is the predicted score for Santa Clara vs Benfica?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.89 for Santa Clara and 1.60 for Benfica. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Santa Clara and Benfica play?

Kick-off is Monday 26 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.