⚽ Major League Soccer
Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 25 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.
Real Salt Lake face St. Louis City in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 25 October 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Real Salt Lake have 2 wins from their last 5, while St. Louis City have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Real Salt Lake won 2, St. Louis City won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.7-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| 2 | 3.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| 3 | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Real Salt Lake or Draw at odds 1.44, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Real Salt Lake win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (68%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Real Salt Lake and St. Louis City. Wins shown from Real Salt Lake’s perspective: Real Salt Lake 2 · 1 drawn · St. Louis City 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-31 | Real Salt Lake | 3 – 1 | St. Louis City | W |
| 2024-02-25 | St. Louis City | 1 – 1 | Real Salt Lake | D |
| 2023-06-22 | St. Louis City | 1 – 3 | Real Salt Lake | W |
| 2023-03-26 | Real Salt Lake | 0 – 4 | St. Louis City | L |
📈 Recent form
Real Salt Lake come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to New England Revolution. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Philadelphia Union.
- WSporting Kansas City 1-3 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- DReal Salt Lake 1-1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- LPhiladelphia Union 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- WReal Salt Lake 3-0 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- LSeattle Sounders 2-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
St. Louis City come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 6-2 at home to Los Angeles Galaxy. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Minnesota United FC.
- LMinnesota United FC 3-2 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- DSt. Louis City 0-0 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- WSt. Louis City 6-2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- WNew York Red Bulls 0-3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- WSt. Louis City 3-1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. GladGroin Injury
- D. LunaKnee Injury
- J. J. AriasHamstring Injury
- G. DillonFoot Injury
- E. EneliKnee Injury
- L. EngelHamstring Injury
- Celio PompeuKnee Injury
- C. DurkinConcussion
- K. HiebertHip Injury
- C. WallemHead Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Real Salt Lake at 44% to win and St. Louis City at 28%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake Win | 44% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
| St. Louis City Win | 28% | 36% | @ 2.62 |
| Draw | 28% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Real Salt Lake or Draw at 1.44 (71% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake or Draw | 71% | 64% | @ 1.44 |
| St. Louis City or Draw | 55% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 83% | @ 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 | 51% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 | 49% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 12% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 68%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 68% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 32% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City?
Our model's pick is Real Salt Lake or Draw at odds 1.44, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.
Who is the favourite for Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City?
Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.7-2.0 scoreline for Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City.
What is the predicted score for Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.66 for Real Salt Lake and 1.98 for St. Louis City. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Real Salt Lake and St. Louis City play?
Kick-off is Sunday 25 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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