⚽ Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Philadelphia Union face New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: Philadelphia Union have 4 wins from their last 5, while New England Revolution have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Philadelphia Union won 4, New England Revolution won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Philadelphia Union win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 2.1-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Philadelphia Union win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (65%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution. Wins shown from Philadelphia Union’s perspective: Philadelphia Union 4 · New England Revolution 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | New England Revolution | 2 – 1 | Philadelphia Union | L |
| 2024-07-17 | Philadelphia Union | 5 – 1 | New England Revolution | W |
| 2024-05-18 | New England Revolution | 0 – 3 | Philadelphia Union | W |
| 2023-11-09 | New England Revolution | 0 – 1 | Philadelphia Union | W |
| 2023-10-28 | Philadelphia Union | 3 – 1 | New England Revolution | W |
📈 Recent form
Philadelphia Union come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Chicago Fire. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DPhiladelphia Union 2-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- WChicago Fire 1-3 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- WPhiladelphia Union 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- WPhiladelphia Union 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- WSporting Kansas City 3-4 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
New England Revolution come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at home to Orlando City SC. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Seattle Sounders.
- WNew England Revolution 1-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- WFC Cincinnati 2-3 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- LNew England Revolution 0-3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- LReal Salt Lake 3-0 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- WNew England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Philadelphia Union at 44% to win and New England Revolution at 28%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Philadelphia Union win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union Win | 44% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| New England Revolution Win | 28% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Philadelphia Union or Draw at 1.17 (71% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union or Draw | 71% | 82% | @ 1.17 |
| New England Revolution or Draw | 55% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 | 54% | 54% | @ 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 46% | @ 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
| Under 1.5 | 14% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 35% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?
Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.
Who is the favourite for Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?
Our model makes a Philadelphia Union win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.4 scoreline for Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.13 for Philadelphia Union and 1.36 for New England Revolution. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution play?
Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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