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⚽ Major League Soccer

San Diego vs Seattle Sounders Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for San Diego vs Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 25 October 2026, 02:30 UTC.

San Diego face Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 25 October 2026, 02:30 UTC. Recent form: San Diego have no wins from their last 5, while Seattle Sounders have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.5-2.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for San Diego vs Seattle Sounders with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.40
70%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.52 – 2.10 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 2.7% 5.6% 5.9% 4.1% 2.2%
1 4.1% 8.5% 9.0% 6.3% 3.3%
2 3.1% 6.5% 6.8% 4.8% 2.5%
3 1.6% 3.3% 3.5% 2.4% 1.3%
4 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5%
Projected score: 1-2
San Diego winDrawSeattle Sounders win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for San Diego vs Seattle Sounders comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 70% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Seattle Sounders win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (69%).

📊 Key numbers

San Diego 34%Draw 23%Seattle Sounders 43%
34%23%43%
43%
Seattle Sounders Win
70%
Over 2.5 goals
69%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

San Diego

San Diego come into this game with no wins and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 14. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at New York Red Bulls.

  • DLos Angeles Galaxy 2-2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
  • DSan Diego 3-3 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
  • LNew York Red Bulls 4-1 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
  • DAustin 3-3 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
  • DInter Miami 2-2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at New England Revolution. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at FC Dallas.

  • DSeattle Sounders 1-1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • LFC Dallas 1-0 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
  • WNew England Revolution 0-3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
  • WSeattle Sounders 2-1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
  • WSeattle Sounders 3-1 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

San Diego
  • O. SoeLower-Body Injury
  • K. SargeantInjury
Seattle Sounders
  • N. PetkovicKnee Injury
  • P. RothrockHamstring Injury
  • P. de La VegaCalf Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices San Diego at 34% to win and Seattle Sounders at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Seattle Sounders Win 43% 30% @ 3.10
San Diego Win 34% 45% @ 2.05
Draw 23% 25% @ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Seattle Sounders or Draw at 1.73 (68% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Seattle Sounders or Draw 68% 55% @ 1.73
San Diego or Draw 59% 70% @ 1.36

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-2.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 88% 86% @ 1.10
Over 2.5 70% 67% @ 1.40
Under 3.5 51% 51% @ 1.80
Over 3.5 49% 49% @ 1.91
Under 2.5 30% 33% @ 2.88
Under 1.5 12% 14% @ 7.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 69%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 69% 69% @ 1.36
BTTS No 31% 31% @ 3.00

📈 How the market moved

20%34%48%10/2010/2110/22

San Diego 44%Draw 24%Seattle Sounders 31%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Diego vs Seattle Sounders?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 70% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.

Who is the favourite for San Diego vs Seattle Sounders?

Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.5-2.1 scoreline for San Diego vs Seattle Sounders.

What is the predicted score for San Diego vs Seattle Sounders?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.52 for San Diego and 2.10 for Seattle Sounders. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do San Diego and Seattle Sounders play?

Kick-off is Sunday 25 October 2026, 02:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.