⚽ Major League Soccer
Sporting Kansas City vs Austin Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sporting Kansas City vs Austin in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 25 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.
Sporting Kansas City face Austin in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 25 October 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Sporting Kansas City have 1 win from their last 5, while Austin have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Sporting Kansas City won 3, Austin won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sporting Kansas City win the most likely result at 35%, projecting a 1.9-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sporting Kansas City vs Austin with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| 3 | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| 4 | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Austin comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Sporting Kansas City win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 35%. Goals lean over 2.5 (72%), both teams to score points yes (70%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Sporting Kansas City and Austin. Wins shown from Sporting Kansas City’s perspective: Sporting Kansas City 3 · Austin 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Austin | 1 – 2 | Sporting Kansas City | W |
| 2024-06-30 | Sporting Kansas City | 2 – 0 | Austin | W |
| 2024-05-19 | Austin | 3 – 2 | Sporting Kansas City | L |
| 2023-07-16 | Austin | 2 – 1 | Sporting Kansas City | L |
| 2023-06-11 | Sporting Kansas City | 4 – 1 | Austin | W |
📈 Recent form
Sporting Kansas City come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Houston Dynamo. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Real Salt Lake.
- LSporting Kansas City 1-3 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- LNashville SC 4-0 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- DSporting Kansas City 3-3 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- LSeattle Sounders 2-1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- WHouston Dynamo 0-2 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
Austin come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Vancouver Whitecaps.
- LAustin 1-2 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- LLos Angeles FC 3-1 AustinMajor League Soccer
- LAustin 1-4 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- DAustin 3-3 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- DFC Dallas 0-0 AustinMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- O. BlorianChest Injury
- Diego BorgesGroin Injury
- L. JohnsenHamstring Injury
- M. MosqueraHamstring Injury
- J. ReynoldsMuscle Injury
- O. WolffMuscle Injury
- Z. KolmanicThigh Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Sporting Kansas City at 35% to win and Austin at 34%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Sporting Kansas City win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City Win | 35% | 43% | @ 2.15 |
| Austin Win | 34% | 32% | @ 2.90 |
| Draw | 31% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sporting Kansas City or Draw at 1.40 (63% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City or Draw | 63% | 68% | @ 1.40 |
| Austin or Draw | 63% | 57% | @ 1.67 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 72% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| Over 3.5 | 51% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 3.5 | 49% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
| Under 1.5 | 11% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 70%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 70% | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 30% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Austin?
Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.
Who is the favourite for Sporting Kansas City vs Austin?
Our model makes a Sporting Kansas City win the most likely result at 35%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.9 scoreline for Sporting Kansas City vs Austin.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs Austin?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.89 for Sporting Kansas City and 1.85 for Austin. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Sporting Kansas City and Austin play?
Kick-off is Sunday 25 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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