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⚽ Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers vs Charlotte Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 25 October 2026, 02:30 UTC.

Portland Timbers face Charlotte in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 25 October 2026, 02:30 UTC. Recent form: Portland Timbers have no wins from their last 5, while Charlotte have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Portland Timbers win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.7-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.36
71%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.74 – 1.91 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 2.6% 5.0% 4.7% 3.0% 1.4%
1 4.5% 8.6% 8.2% 5.3% 2.5%
2 3.9% 7.5% 7.2% 4.6% 2.2%
3 2.3% 4.4% 4.2% 2.7% 1.3%
4 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6%
Projected score: 1-1
Portland Timbers winDrawCharlotte win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Portland Timbers win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (71%), both teams to score points yes (69%).

📊 Key numbers

Portland Timbers 37%Draw 33%Charlotte 30%
37%33%30%
37%
Portland Timbers Win
71%
Over 2.5 goals
69%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Los Angeles Galaxy.

  • DPortland Timbers 0-0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
  • LLos Angeles Galaxy 2-0 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
  • DSporting Kansas City 3-3 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
  • LSan Jose Earthquakes 3-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
  • LPortland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
Charlotte

Charlotte come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to FC Dallas. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Columbus Crew.

  • DPhiladelphia Union 2-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
  • LColumbus Crew 3-1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
  • WCharlotte 3-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
  • LCharlotte 0-1 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
  • WDC United 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Portland Timbers
  • A. BonetigShoulder Injury
  • B. ByeLeg Injury
  • Z. McGrawBack Injury
  • J. MosqueraFoot Injury
  • AntonyKnee Injury
  • H. SulteLower-Body Injury
  • F. SurmanKnee Injury
Charlotte
  • N. BerchimasFoot Injury
  • A. GoodwinFoot Injury
  • A. JohnShoulder Injury
  • A. DoucoureNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Portland Timbers at 37% to win and Charlotte at 30%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes a Portland Timbers win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Portland Timbers Win 37% 48% @ 1.91
Draw 33% 24% @ 3.90
Charlotte Win 30% 28% @ 3.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Portland Timbers or Draw at 1.33 (67% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Portland Timbers or Draw 67% 72% @ 1.33
Charlotte or Draw 60% 52% @ 1.83

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 71% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 88% 86% @ 1.10
Over 2.5 71% 70% @ 1.36
Under 3.5 50% 50% @ 1.83
Over 3.5 50% 50% @ 1.83
Under 2.5 29% 30% @ 3.10
Under 1.5 12% 14% @ 7.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 69%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 69% 71% @ 1.33
BTTS No 31% 29% @ 3.25

📈 How the market moved

19%36%53%10/2010/2110/22

Portland Timbers 48%Draw 23%Charlotte 29%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte?

Our model makes a Portland Timbers win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.9 scoreline for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte.

What is the predicted score for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.74 for Portland Timbers and 1.91 for Charlotte. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Portland Timbers and Charlotte play?

Kick-off is Sunday 25 October 2026, 02:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.