Thu 29 Oct00:30Upcoming

⚽ Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Thursday 29 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Chicago Fire face Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Thursday 29 October 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Chicago Fire have 3 wins from their last 5, while Orlando City SC have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Chicago Fire won 1, Orlando City SC won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Orlando City SC win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.9-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.30

73%Bookmaker odds imply 73%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.94 – 1.96 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.0%	4.0%	3.9%	2.5%	1.2%
1	3.9%	7.7%	7.5%	4.9%	2.4%
2	3.8%	7.5%	7.3%	4.8%	2.3%
3	2.5%	4.8%	4.7%	3.1%	1.5%
4	1.2%	2.3%	2.3%	1.5%	0.7%

Projected score: 1-1

Chicago Fire winDrawOrlando City SC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates an Orlando City SC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (75%), both teams to score points yes (73%).

📊 Key numbers

Chicago Fire 37%Draw 22%Orlando City SC 40%

37%22%40%

40%

Orlando City SC Win

75%

Over 2.5 goals

73%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Chicago Fire and Orlando City SC. Wins shown from Chicago Fire’s perspective: Chicago Fire 1 · 1 drawn · Orlando City SC 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-19	Orlando City SC	1 – 2	Chicago Fire	W
2024-06-22	Orlando City SC	4 – 2	Chicago Fire	L
2024-05-30	Chicago Fire	1 – 1	Orlando City SC	D
2023-08-21	Chicago Fire	1 – 3	Orlando City SC	L
2023-07-01	Orlando City SC	3 – 1	Chicago Fire	L

📈 Recent form

Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Vancouver Whitecaps. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at New England Revolution.

WAtlanta United FC 2-3 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
LNew England Revolution 1-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
LChicago Fire 1-3 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
WChicago Fire 2-1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
WChicago Fire 3-1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer

Orlando City SC

Orlando City SC come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 12. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to DC United. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-4 at Philadelphia Union.

DOrlando City SC 2-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
WOrlando City SC 4-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
DToronto FC 3-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
WOrlando City SC 3-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
LPhiladelphia Union 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Chicago Fire at 37% to win and Orlando City SC at 40%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes an Orlando City SC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Orlando City SC Win	40%	23%	@ 4.10
Chicago Fire Win	37%	56%	@ 1.67
Draw	22%	22%	@ 4.33

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Orlando City SC or Draw at 2.15 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Orlando City SC or Draw	65%	44%	@ 2.15
Chicago Fire or Draw	62%	77%	@ 1.22

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 75% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	90%	88%	@ 1.08
Over 2.5	75%	73%	@ 1.30
Over 3.5	55%	54%	@ 1.73
Under 3.5	45%	46%	@ 2.00
Under 2.5	25%	27%	@ 3.50
Under 1.5	10%	12%	@ 8.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 73%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	73%	69%	@ 1.36
BTTS No	27%	31%	@ 3.00

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC?

Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC?

Our model makes an Orlando City SC win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.9-2.0 scoreline for Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC.

What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.94 for Chicago Fire and 1.96 for Orlando City SC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Chicago Fire and Orlando City SC play?

Kick-off is Thursday 29 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.