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⚽ Major League Soccer

Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Thursday 29 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Nashville SC face Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Thursday 29 October 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Nashville SC have 4 wins from their last 5, while Philadelphia Union have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Philadelphia Union won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Nashville SC win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.9-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

BTTS Yes @ 1.50

67%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.90 – 1.55 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.2%	4.9%	3.8%	2.0%	0.8%
1	6.0%	9.3%	7.2%	3.7%	1.5%
2	5.7%	8.9%	6.9%	3.6%	1.4%
3	3.6%	5.6%	4.4%	2.3%	0.9%
4	1.7%	2.7%	2.1%	1.1%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

Nashville SC winDrawPhiladelphia Union win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is both teams to score at odds 1.50, with a 67% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Nashville SC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (67%).

📊 Key numbers

Nashville SC 48%Draw 23%Philadelphia Union 29%

48%23%29%

48%

Nashville SC Win

67%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Nashville SC and Philadelphia Union. Wins shown from Nashville SC’s perspective: 2 drawn · Philadelphia Union 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-02	Philadelphia Union	0 – 0	Nashville SC	D
2024-07-20	Philadelphia Union	3 – 0	Nashville SC	L
2024-04-07	Nashville SC	1 – 2	Philadelphia Union	L
2023-10-07	Philadelphia Union	0 – 0	Nashville SC	D
2023-07-13	Nashville SC	0 – 2	Philadelphia Union	L

📈 Recent form

Nashville SC

Nashville SC come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Sporting Kansas City. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WCF Montreal 0-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
DSan Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
WNashville SC 4-0 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
WAustin 1-4 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
WNashville SC 2-0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Chicago Fire. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to New England Revolution.

LPhiladelphia Union 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
DPhiladelphia Union 2-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
WChicago Fire 1-3 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
WPhiladelphia Union 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
WPhiladelphia Union 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Nashville SC at 48% to win and Philadelphia Union at 29%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Nashville SC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Nashville SC Win	48%	48%	@ 1.95
Philadelphia Union Win	29%	28%	@ 3.30
Draw	23%	24%	@ 3.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	83%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	67%	62%	@ 1.50
Under 3.5	55%	58%	@ 1.62
Over 3.5	45%	42%	@ 2.20
Under 2.5	33%	38%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	14%	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	67%	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	33%	38%	@ 2.50

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?

Our model's pick is both teams to score at odds 1.50, with a 67% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.

Who is the favourite for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?

Our model makes a Nashville SC win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.6 scoreline for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union.

What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.90 for Nashville SC and 1.55 for Philadelphia Union. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Nashville SC and Philadelphia Union play?

Kick-off is Thursday 29 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.