🏆 Competitions

UEFA Europa League

UEFA Europa League Betting Tips

Free daily UEFA Europa League tips powered by AI analysis. Posted every Thursday across all our channels.

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Market view

Kick-offMatchHomeDrawAwayOver 2.5
Thu 15 Oct 16:45Celje vs Omonia Nicosia39%27%34%53%
Thu 15 Oct 16:45Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen21%23%57%64%
Thu 15 Oct 16:45Lyon vs Crystal Palace41%26%33%57%
Thu 15 Oct 16:45Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad41%27%32%57%
Thu 15 Oct 16:45Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan23%25%53%59%
Thu 15 Oct 16:45Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom69%18%13%60%
Thu 15 Oct 16:45Torreense vs Sunderland15%19%66%64%
Thu 15 Oct 16:45AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva73%18%9%64%
Thu 15 Oct 19:00Rennes vs OFI74%17%9%62%
Thu 15 Oct 19:00NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia50%26%24%55%
Thu 15 Oct 19:00Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus44%26%31%57%
Thu 15 Oct 19:00Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia66%20%13%59%
Thu 15 Oct 19:001899 Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş49%24%27%66%
Thu 15 Oct 19:00Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen49%26%25%57%
Thu 15 Oct 19:00Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht48%27%25%53%
Thu 15 Oct 19:00Celta Vigo vs Juventus27%27%46%50%
Thu 15 Oct 19:00Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz79%13%7%70%
Thu 15 Oct 19:00Benfica vs Celtic75%16%9%66%

We don't publish picks for this competition. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market here, so this table shows the market's view instead. Probabilities from Bet365/Unibet odds with the bookmaker margin removed. Analytical view, not betting advice. UpcomingStarts soonLiveFinished

Market Probabilities

MatchSourceHome%Draw%Away%O1.5U3.5BTTS
Tip: click a match row to see all betting markets. Every probability comes from the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed.
AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva ▼
UEFA Europa League
16:45		Market73%@1.2818%@5.259%@10.0083%@1.1457%@1.6750%@1.91
DC 1X
91%
@ 1.06
Over 1.5
83%
@ 1.14
Home Win
73%
@ 1.28
Over 2.5
64%
@ 1.50
Under 3.5
57%
@ 1.67
BTTS Yes
50%
@ 1.91
BTTS No
50%
@ 1.91
Over 3.5
43%
@ 2.20
Under 2.5
36%
@ 2.62
DC X2
27%
@ 3.50
Draw
18%
@ 5.25
Under 1.5
17%
@ 5.50
Away Win
9%
@ 10.00
Celje vs Omonia Nicosia ▼
UEFA Europa League
16:45		Market39%@2.4027%@3.4034%@2.7076%@1.2570%@1.3656%@1.67
Over 1.5
76%
@ 1.25
Under 3.5
70%
@ 1.36
DC 1X
66%
@ 1.44
DC X2
61%
@ 1.53
BTTS Yes
56%
@ 1.67
Over 2.5
53%
@ 1.80
Under 2.5
47%
@ 2.00
BTTS No
44%
@ 2.10
Home Win
39%
@ 2.40
Away Win
34%
@ 2.70
Over 3.5
30%
@ 3.20
Draw
27%
@ 3.40
Under 1.5
24%
@ 4.00
Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen ▼
UEFA Europa League
16:45		Market21%@4.5023%@4.1057%@1.6283%@1.1457%@1.6761%@1.53
Over 1.5
83%
@ 1.14
DC X2
79%
@ 1.18
Over 2.5
64%
@ 1.50
BTTS Yes
61%
@ 1.53
Away Win
57%
@ 1.62
Under 3.5
57%
@ 1.67
DC 1X
43%
@ 2.25
Over 3.5
43%
@ 2.20
BTTS No
39%
@ 2.38
Under 2.5
36%
@ 2.62
Draw
23%
@ 4.10
Home Win
21%
@ 4.50
Under 1.5
17%
@ 5.50
Lyon vs Crystal Palace ▼
UEFA Europa League
16:45		Market41%@2.2526%@3.5033%@2.8078%@1.2266%@1.4459%@1.57
Over 1.5
78%
@ 1.22
DC 1X
67%
@ 1.40
Under 3.5
66%
@ 1.44
DC X2
59%
@ 1.62
BTTS Yes
59%
@ 1.57
Over 2.5
57%
@ 1.67
Under 2.5
43%
@ 2.20
Home Win
41%
@ 2.25
BTTS No
41%
@ 2.25
Over 3.5
34%
@ 2.75
Away Win
33%
@ 2.80
Draw
26%
@ 3.50
Under 1.5
22%
@ 4.33
Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad ▼
UEFA Europa League
16:45		Market41%@2.2527%@3.4032%@2.8878%@1.2266%@1.4459%@1.57
Over 1.5
78%
@ 1.22
DC 1X
68%
@ 1.40
Under 3.5
66%
@ 1.44
DC X2
59%
@ 1.62
BTTS Yes
59%
@ 1.57
Over 2.5
57%
@ 1.67
Under 2.5
43%
@ 2.20
Home Win
41%
@ 2.25
BTTS No
41%
@ 2.25
Over 3.5
34%
@ 2.75
Away Win
32%
@ 2.88
Draw
27%
@ 3.40
Under 1.5
22%
@ 4.33
Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan ▼
UEFA Europa League
16:45		Market23%@4.0025%@3.7553%@1.7579%@1.2064%@1.5058%@1.62
Over 1.5
79%
@ 1.20
DC X2
77%
@ 1.22
Under 3.5
64%
@ 1.50
Over 2.5
59%
@ 1.62
BTTS Yes
58%
@ 1.62
Away Win
53%
@ 1.75
DC 1X
47%
@ 2.00
BTTS No
42%
@ 2.20
Under 2.5
41%
@ 2.30
Over 3.5
36%
@ 2.62
Draw
25%
@ 3.75
Home Win
23%
@ 4.00
Under 1.5
21%
@ 4.50
Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom ▼
UEFA Europa League
16:45		Market69%@1.3318%@5.0013%@7.0081%@1.1760%@1.5750%@1.91
DC 1X
87%
@ 1.10
Over 1.5
81%
@ 1.17
Home Win
69%
@ 1.33
Over 2.5
60%
@ 1.57
Under 3.5
60%
@ 1.57
BTTS Yes
50%
@ 1.91
BTTS No
50%
@ 1.91
Over 3.5
40%
@ 2.38
Under 2.5
40%
@ 2.38
DC X2
31%
@ 3.25
Under 1.5
19%
@ 5.00
Draw
18%
@ 5.00
Away Win
13%
@ 7.00
Torreense vs Sunderland ▼
UEFA Europa League
16:45		Market15%@6.2519%@4.7566%@1.4081%@1.1759%@1.6255%@1.70
DC X2
85%
@ 1.12
Over 1.5
81%
@ 1.17
Away Win
66%
@ 1.40
Over 2.5
64%
@ 1.50
Under 3.5
59%
@ 1.62
BTTS Yes
55%
@ 1.70
BTTS No
45%
@ 2.05
Over 3.5
41%
@ 2.30
Under 2.5
36%
@ 2.62
DC 1X
34%
@ 2.75
Draw
19%
@ 4.75
Under 1.5
19%
@ 5.00
Home Win
15%
@ 6.25
Benfica vs Celtic ▼
UEFA Europa League
19:00		Market75%@1.2516%@6.009%@10.0083%@1.1455%@1.7350%@1.91
DC 1X
91%
@ 1.06
Over 1.5
83%
@ 1.14
Home Win
75%
@ 1.25
Over 2.5
66%
@ 1.44
Under 3.5
55%
@ 1.73
BTTS Yes
50%
@ 1.91
BTTS No
50%
@ 1.91
Over 3.5
45%
@ 2.10
Under 2.5
34%
@ 2.75
DC X2
25%
@ 3.75
Under 1.5
17%
@ 5.50
Draw
16%
@ 6.00
Away Win
9%
@ 10.00
Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz ▼
UEFA Europa League
19:00		Market79%@1.1813%@7.007%@13.0085%@1.1150%@1.9150%@1.91
DC 1X
93%
@ 1.04
Over 1.5
85%
@ 1.11
Home Win
79%
@ 1.18
Over 2.5
70%
@ 1.36
Over 3.5
50%
@ 1.91
Under 3.5
50%
@ 1.91
BTTS Yes
50%
@ 1.91
BTTS No
50%
@ 1.91
Under 2.5
30%
@ 3.20
DC X2
21%
@ 4.50
Under 1.5
15%
@ 6.50
Draw
13%
@ 7.00
Away Win
7%
@ 13.00
Celta Vigo vs Juventus ▼
UEFA Europa League
19:00		Market27%@3.4027%@3.4046%@2.0073%@1.3072%@1.3352%@1.80
DC X2
73%
@ 1.30
Over 1.5
73%
@ 1.30
Under 3.5
72%
@ 1.33
DC 1X
54%
@ 1.80
BTTS Yes
52%
@ 1.80
Over 2.5
50%
@ 1.91
Under 2.5
50%
@ 1.91
BTTS No
48%
@ 1.95
Away Win
46%
@ 2.00
Over 3.5
28%
@ 3.40
Home Win
27%
@ 3.40
Draw
27%
@ 3.40
Under 1.5
27%
@ 3.50
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht ▼
UEFA Europa League
19:00		Market48%@1.9127%@3.4025%@3.7076%@1.2568%@1.4056%@1.67
Over 1.5
76%
@ 1.25
DC 1X
75%
@ 1.28
Under 3.5
68%
@ 1.40
BTTS Yes
56%
@ 1.67
Over 2.5
53%
@ 1.80
DC X2
52%
@ 1.83
Home Win
48%
@ 1.91
Under 2.5
47%
@ 2.00
BTTS No
44%
@ 2.10
Over 3.5
32%
@ 3.00
Draw
27%
@ 3.40
Away Win
25%
@ 3.70
Under 1.5
24%
@ 4.00
Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen ▼
UEFA Europa League
19:00		Market49%@1.9026%@3.5025%@3.7079%@1.2064%@1.5059%@1.57
Over 1.5
79%
@ 1.20
DC 1X
75%
@ 1.28
Under 3.5
64%
@ 1.50
BTTS Yes
59%
@ 1.57
Over 2.5
57%
@ 1.67
DC X2
51%
@ 1.91
Home Win
49%
@ 1.90
Under 2.5
43%
@ 2.20
BTTS No
41%
@ 2.25
Over 3.5
36%
@ 2.62
Draw
26%
@ 3.50
Away Win
25%
@ 3.70
Under 1.5
21%
@ 4.50
1899 Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş ▼
UEFA Europa League
19:00		Market49%@1.9024%@3.9027%@3.4083%@1.1455%@1.7365%@1.44
Over 1.5
83%
@ 1.14
DC 1X
73%
@ 1.30
Over 2.5
66%
@ 1.44
BTTS Yes
65%
@ 1.44
Under 3.5
55%
@ 1.73
DC X2
51%
@ 1.91
Home Win
49%
@ 1.90
Over 3.5
45%
@ 2.10
BTTS No
35%
@ 2.62
Under 2.5
34%
@ 2.75
Away Win
27%
@ 3.40
Draw
24%
@ 3.90
Under 1.5
17%
@ 5.50
Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia ▼
UEFA Europa League
19:00		Market66%@1.3820%@4.5013%@7.0079%@1.2062%@1.5352%@1.80
DC 1X
87%
@ 1.10
Over 1.5
79%
@ 1.20
Home Win
66%
@ 1.38
Under 3.5
62%
@ 1.53
Over 2.5
59%
@ 1.62
BTTS Yes
52%
@ 1.80
BTTS No
48%
@ 1.95
Under 2.5
41%
@ 2.30
Over 3.5
38%
@ 2.50
DC X2
34%
@ 3.00
Under 1.5
21%
@ 4.50
Draw
20%
@ 4.50
Away Win
13%
@ 7.00
Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus ▼
UEFA Europa League
19:00		Market44%@2.1026%@3.6031%@3.0078%@1.2266%@1.4459%@1.57
Over 1.5
78%
@ 1.22
DC 1X
69%
@ 1.36
Under 3.5
66%
@ 1.44
BTTS Yes
59%
@ 1.57
Over 2.5
57%
@ 1.67
DC X2
56%
@ 1.70
Home Win
44%
@ 2.10
Under 2.5
43%
@ 2.20
BTTS No
41%
@ 2.25
Over 3.5
34%
@ 2.75
Away Win
31%
@ 3.00
Draw
26%
@ 3.60
Under 1.5
22%
@ 4.33
NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia ▼
UEFA Europa League
19:00		Market50%@1.8526%@3.6024%@3.8078%@1.2266%@1.4456%@1.67
Over 1.5
78%
@ 1.22
DC 1X
76%
@ 1.25
Under 3.5
66%
@ 1.44
BTTS Yes
56%
@ 1.67
Over 2.5
55%
@ 1.73
Home Win
50%
@ 1.85
DC X2
50%
@ 1.91
Under 2.5
45%
@ 2.10
BTTS No
44%
@ 2.10
Over 3.5
34%
@ 2.75
Draw
26%
@ 3.60
Away Win
24%
@ 3.80
Under 1.5
22%
@ 4.33
Rennes vs OFI ▼
UEFA Europa League
19:00		Market74%@1.2217%@5.509%@10.0081%@1.1760%@1.5747%@2.00
DC 1X
91%
@ 1.05
Over 1.5
81%
@ 1.17
Home Win
74%
@ 1.22
Over 2.5
62%
@ 1.53
Under 3.5
60%
@ 1.57
BTTS No
53%
@ 1.75
BTTS Yes
47%
@ 2.00
Over 3.5
40%
@ 2.38
Under 2.5
38%
@ 2.50
DC X2
26%
@ 3.75
Under 1.5
19%
@ 5.00
Draw
17%
@ 5.50
Away Win
9%
@ 10.00
How to read this table: For every match we show the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. We do not label any market as value or safe: in our own testing our model did not beat the market, so we show the numbers from the market itself. Analytical view, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.

About the UEFA Europa League

The UEFA Europa League is Europe’s second-tier club competition and one of the most competitive tournaments in world football. It brings together strong sides that just missed out on the Champions League, clubs dropping down from the Champions League league phase, and the best teams from mid-ranking domestic leagues.

For bettors, the Europa League offers a fascinating mix. Squad rotation is heavier than in the Champions League, motivation varies enormously depending on a club’s domestic situation, and the gap in quality between sides is often wider, all of which makes results harder to predict.

Why we cover this competition
Every fixture gets a full analysis: model and market probabilities, a score heatmap and every betting market, updated every morning.

📈 Live competition numbers

Measured from our own settled results, not looked up.

2.70
goals per match on average
53.7%
of matches go over 2.5 goals
47.6%
of matches see both teams score
50.0%
home wins

Based on 328 settled matches since August 2025. Updated after every matchday.

Key Betting Facts: UEFA Europa League

⚽
Rotation creates value
Many clubs treat the Europa League as a secondary priority and rotate heavily, especially before big domestic fixtures. Reading team news correctly matters more in this competition than in most.
🏠
Goals flow in the league phase
The Europa League league phase is open and attacking, with over 2.5 goals landing in well over half of matches. Goals markets are a reliable starting point, particularly when a strong side meets weaker opposition.
🎯
Quality gaps are wider
The spread in quality is larger than in the Champions League. Favourites with European pedigree regularly overpower less experienced opponents, making Asian handicap markets attractive in mismatched ties.
🏆
Knockouts tighten up
Once the knockout rounds begin, motivation rises and matches become cagier and lower-scoring. We shift our models away from goals and towards result and handicap markets as the tournament progresses.

New to sports betting? Read our complete guide to betting, our guide to understanding odds and our Asian handicap explainer.

How our analysis works

We use the same method for every competition, so you can check it against the results.

1
Three models, one probability
A gradient-boosting model trained on form, expected goals and home/away strength, a Poisson goals model and a Dixon-Coles correction for low scores are combined into one probability for every outcome.
2
Next to the market
Every market shows our model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed, so you can see where they agree and where they don’t.
3
Fixed rules for picks
Picks come from 11 competitions only, need enough data from this season, and stay within 10 percentage points of the market at odds up to 4.00. In our own testing, chasing the biggest gap with the market lost money, so we stopped doing that.
4
Every result published
Every pick is published before kick-off and settled on our statistics page, wins and losses.
Our commitment
We show our working, not just a pick: every analysis explains the numbers behind it. Analytical view, not betting advice.

Our UEFA Europa League Betting Record

80.0% of our published tips won 25 settled tips in this competition
See all our published tips →
📅 17 Sep 2026❌ Loss
Beşiktaş vs Marseille
Pick: Marseille Asian Handicap +0.25 @ 2.42
💡 Model gives 54.1% probability for this selection. At odds 2.42 this represents +30.7% expected value. Selected as extra value pick by our fixed rule system: same criteria every day, no manual selection.
📅 17 Sep 2026✅ Win
Celtic vs Ferencvarosi TC
Pick: Ferencvarosi TC Asian Handicap +1.75 @ 1.30
💡 Model gives 88.2% probability for this selection. At odds 1.30 this represents +15.1% expected value. Selected as main accumulator pick by our fixed rule system: same criteria every day, no manual selection.
📅 17 Sep 2026✅ Win
OFI vs 1899 Hoffenheim
Pick: OFI Asian Handicap +2.0 @ 1.43
💡 Model gives 86.8% probability for this selection. At odds 1.43 this represents +23.7% expected value. Selected as main accumulator pick by our fixed rule system: same criteria every day, no manual selection.

All UEFA Europa League match analyses →

UEFA Europa League Standings

#ClubPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Juventus Juventus110050+53
W
2Crystal Palace Crystal Palace110040+43
W
3Sparta Praha Sparta Praha110041+33
W
4Beşiktaş Beşiktaş110041+33
W
5Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise110030+33
W
6Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC110031+23
W
7Benfica Benfica110020+23
W
8Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen110020+23
W
9OFI OFI110020+23
W
10Bournemouth Bournemouth110021+13
W
11Lyon Lyon110021+13
W
12Torreense Torreense110021+13
W
13Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus110021+13
W
14Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg110010+13
W
15Sunderland Sunderland110010+13
W
16Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia110010+13
W
17Sturm Graz Sturm Graz101000+01
D
18Rennes Rennes101000+01
D
19Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb101000+01
D
20Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva101000+01
D
21Jagiellonia Jagiellonia100112-10
L
22Real Sociedad Real Sociedad100112-10
L
23Anderlecht Anderlecht100112-10
L
24Lillestrom Lillestrom100112-10
L
25Celta Vigo Celta Vigo100101-10
L
26AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar100101-10
L
27Levski Sofia Levski Sofia100101-10
L
28Celtic Celtic100113-20
L
291899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim100102-20
L
30AC Milan AC Milan100102-20
L
31Celje Celje100102-20
L
32Marseille Marseille100114-30
L
33Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia100114-30
L
34Plzen Plzen100103-30
L
35Lech Poznan Lech Poznan100104-40
L
36NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen100105-50
L
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

Top Scorers

#PlayerGoalsTeamAssists
1
G
T. Guddal2
Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
0
2
Y
B. Yusuf1
Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC
2
3
Z
K. Zachariassen1
Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC
1
4
K
J. Kamiński1
BenficaBenfica
1
5
Ž
A. Živković1
PAOKPAOK
1
6
M
R. Kolo Muani1
JuventusJuventus
1
7
Č
V. Černý1
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
0
8
F
I. Fakili1
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
0
9
C
M. Cvetković1
AnderlechtAnderlecht
0
10
M
A. Murillo1
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
0

Top Assists

#PlayerAssistsTeam
1
Y
B. Yusuf2
Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC
2
O
J. Olaitan2
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
3
K
O. Kökçü2
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
4
Z
K. Zachariassen1
Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC
5
K
J. Kamiński1
BenficaBenfica
6
Ž
A. Živković1
PAOKPAOK
7
M
R. Kolo Muani1
JuventusJuventus
8
M
A. Maamar1
AnderlechtAnderlecht
9
P
N. Prelec1
JagielloniaJagiellonia
10
B
A. Bah1
BenficaBenfica

Frequently Asked Questions

How often do you post Europa League tips?

We post Europa League tips on every matchday, usually Thursday evenings during the league phase and on knockout match days.

What makes Europa League betting different?

Squad rotation is heavier and motivation varies more than in the Champions League. Reading team news and a club’s domestic priorities matters more here than in most leagues.

Are your Europa League tips free?

Yes, completely free. Follow us on Telegram to get tips delivered every matchday morning with no subscription required.

Which bookmakers offer the best Europa League odds?

We don’t promote any single bookmaker. Compare the odds across several licensed operators and always check that a bookmaker is licensed in your country before depositing.

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