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UEFA Europa League Betting Tips
Free daily UEFA Europa League tips powered by AI analysis. Posted every Thursday across all our channels.
Upcoming UEFA Europa League Fixtures
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Best Bets This Week (Accumulator picks)
Sorted by model probability (highest first). For accumulator-style combination picks. Analytical view, not betting advice. UpcomingStarts soonLiveFinished
Market Probabilities
| Match | Score ⓘ | Home% | Draw% | Away% | O1.5 | U3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tip: click a match row to see all betting markets. Markets are sorted by model value (positive value = model rates pick higher than bookmaker odds suggest). Markets without odds are shown last for reference. | |||||||
| Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden ▼ UEFA Europa League | 46 1/3 | 19%@1.88-34.2% | 65%@3.45+36% | 16%@4.00-9% | 77%@1.30+0.1% | 69%@1.23-12.3% | 55%@1.86+1.2% |
VALUE PICK Draw 65% @ 3.45 +36% value VALUE PICK St. Truiden +0.25 55% @ 2.16 +8.7% value VALUE PICK St. Truiden +0.5 62% @ 1.86 +8.2% value VALUE PICK DC X2 62% @ 1.82 +7.1% value VALUE PICK St. Truiden +0.75 67% @ 1.63 +5.5% value SAFE BET St. Truiden +1.5 83% @ 1.26 +3.8% value SAFE BET Over 2.5 53% @ 2.00 +3% value SAFE BET St. Truiden +1.25 78% @ 1.31 +1.7% value SAFE BET BTTS Yes 55% @ 1.86 +1.2% value SAFE BET St. Truiden +1.75 86% @ 1.17 +0.5% value SAFE BET Over 1.5 77% @ 1.30 +0.1% value SAFE BET St. Truiden +1 72% @ 1.39 +0.1% value LONGSHOT St. Truiden 0 49% @ 2.75 +12.6% value LONGSHOT St. Truiden -0.25 42% @ 3.20 +10.7% value LONGSHOT St. Truiden -0.5 35% @ 3.66 +7.7% value LONGSHOT St. Truiden -0.75 30% @ 4.40 +7.3% value Over 3.5 31% @ 3.65 +3.6% value AVOID St. Truiden +2 88% @ 1.11 -2.1% value AVOID Omonia Nicosia -2.0 12% @ 6.60 -3.2% value AVOID Omonia Nicosia -1.0 28% @ 2.97 -5.7% value AVOID Omonia Nicosia -1.75 14% @ 5.00 -6% value AVOID Omonia Nicosia -1.25 22% @ 3.42 -7.3% value AVOID Away Win 16% @ 4.00 -9% value AVOID Omonia Nicosia -0.75 33% @ 2.27 -11.2% value AVOID Omonia Nicosia +0.75 70% @ 1.20 -13.7% value AVOID Omonia Nicosia +0.5 65% @ 1.27 -13.7% value AVOID Omonia Nicosia -0.25 45% @ 1.69 -14.3% value AVOID Omonia Nicosia -0.5 38% @ 1.91 -14.5% value AVOID Omonia Nicosia +0.25 58% @ 1.34 -16.6% value AVOID Omonia Nicosia 0.0 51% @ 1.44 -18.4% value AVOID DC 1X 65% @ 1.19 -19% value AVOID Home Win 19% @ 1.88 -34.2% value | |||||||
| Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë ▼ UEFA Europa League | 44 1/3 | 20%@1.49-47.1% | 63%@4.10+38.6% | 17%@6.40+1.4% | 77%@1.21-5.6% | 69%@1.34-5.6% | 55%@1.87+1.5% |
VALUE PICK Draw 63% @ 4.10 +38.6% value VALUE PICK Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.25 55% @ 3.29 +24.6% value VALUE PICK Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.75 67% @ 2.35 +24.4% value VALUE PICK Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.5 62% @ 2.58 +23.2% value VALUE PICK Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1 72% @ 2.02 +22.5% value VALUE PICK DC X2 62% @ 2.43 +20.8% value VALUE PICK Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.25 78% @ 1.74 +20.4% value VALUE PICK Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.5 83% @ 1.57 +19.2% value VALUE PICK Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.75 86% @ 1.42 +15.3% value VALUE PICK Egnatia Rrogozhinë +2 88% @ 1.27 +8.9% value SAFE BET BTTS Yes 55% @ 1.87 +1.5% value LONGSHOT Egnatia Rrogozhinë -0.25 42% @ 5.00 +22% value LONGSHOT Egnatia Rrogozhinë -0.5 36% @ 5.75 +18.6% value Away Win 17% @ 6.40 +1.4% value AVOID Over 3.5 31% @ 2.95 -2.9% value AVOID Over 2.5 53% @ 1.75 -4.1% value AVOID Over 1.5 77% @ 1.21 -5.6% value AVOID Lillestrom -2.0 12% @ 3.69 -15.1% value AVOID Lillestrom -1.75 14% @ 2.81 -21.7% value AVOID Lillestrom +0.5 64% @ 1.14 -23.7% value AVOID Lillestrom -1.5 17% @ 2.34 -25.7% value AVOID Lillestrom -1.25 22% @ 2.09 -26% value AVOID Lillestrom +0.25 58% @ 1.17 -27.5% value AVOID DC 1X 64% @ 1.09 -27.7% value AVOID Lillestrom -1.0 28% @ 1.79 -28% value AVOID Lillestrom -0.75 33% @ 1.59 -29.9% value AVOID Lillestrom -0.5 38% @ 1.47 -30% value AVOID Lillestrom -0.25 45% @ 1.33 -30.5% value AVOID Lillestrom 0.0 51% @ 1.18 -33.7% value AVOID Home Win 20% @ 1.49 -47.1% value | |||||||
| Ferencvarosi TC vs Trabzonspor ▼ UEFA Europa League | 39 2/3 | 51%@3.00+17.7% | 28%@3.35-1.9% | 22%@2.28-21.9% | 75%@1.27-3.7% | 72%@1.30-4.9% | 50%@1.68-9.5% |
VALUE PICK Ferencvarosi TC -0.25 58% @ 2.60 +19.5% value VALUE PICK Ferencvarosi TC 0.0 64% @ 2.18 +18.1% value VALUE PICK Ferencvarosi TC -0.5 52% @ 2.92 +17.8% value VALUE PICK Home Win 51% @ 3.00 +17.7% value VALUE PICK Ferencvarosi TC +0.25 71% @ 1.83 +16.2% value VALUE PICK Ferencvarosi TC +0.5 77% @ 1.61 +14.8% value VALUE PICK DC 1X 77% @ 1.55 +12.5% value VALUE PICK Ferencvarosi TC +0.75 80% @ 1.45 +11% value VALUE PICK Ferencvarosi TC +1.5 92% @ 1.18 +7.3% value VALUE PICK Ferencvarosi TC +1.25 88% @ 1.23 +6.4% value SAFE BET Ferencvarosi TC +1.0 84% @ 1.27 +4.9% value SAFE BET Ferencvarosi TC +1.75 93% @ 1.12 +3.7% value LONGSHOT Ferencvarosi TC -1.0 40% @ 5.25 +21% value LONGSHOT Ferencvarosi TC -0.75 46% @ 3.71 +19% value LONGSHOT Ferencvarosi TC -1.25 34% @ 5.75 +16.6% value LONGSHOT Ferencvarosi TC -1.5 28% @ 6.25 +12% value AVOID Draw 28% @ 3.35 -1.9% value AVOID Over 1.5 75% @ 1.27 -3.7% value AVOID Over 2.5 50% @ 1.86 -3.8% value AVOID Over 3.5 28% @ 3.10 -4.3% value AVOID Trabzonspor -1.75 7% @ 6.25 -9% value AVOID BTTS Yes 50% @ 1.68 -9.5% value AVOID Trabzonspor -1 16% @ 3.70 -11.1% value AVOID Trabzonspor -1.25 12% @ 4.16 -12.1% value AVOID Trabzonspor -1.5 8% @ 4.65 -13.5% value AVOID Trabzonspor -0.75 20% @ 2.73 -16.7% value AVOID Trabzonspor +1.5 72% @ 1.12 -17.3% value AVOID Trabzonspor -0.25 29% @ 2.00 -21.1% value AVOID Trabzonspor -0.5 23% @ 2.24 -21.6% value AVOID Trabzonspor +1.25 66% @ 1.14 -21.7% value AVOID Away Win 22% @ 2.28 -21.9% value AVOID Trabzonspor 0 36% @ 1.67 -24% value AVOID Trabzonspor +0.5 48% @ 1.38 -24.6% value AVOID Trabzonspor +0.75 54% @ 1.27 -25.1% value AVOID Trabzonspor +0.25 42% @ 1.49 -25.1% value AVOID Trabzonspor +1 60% @ 1.16 -26.2% value AVOID DC X2 48% @ 1.33 -27.2% value | |||||||
| Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty ▼ UEFA Europa League | 34 2/3 | 49%@1.34-25.6% | 33%@5.00+13% | 18%@8.50+6.2% | 83%@1.18-1.7% | 60%@1.40-11.4% | 62%@1.98+11.5% |
VALUE PICK Kairat Almaty +0.75 53% @ 2.60 +14.5% value VALUE PICK Kairat Almaty +1 59% @ 2.23 +14.2% value VALUE PICK Kairat Almaty +1.25 65% @ 1.95 +13.7% value VALUE PICK Kairat Almaty +1.5 71% @ 1.74 +13.6% value VALUE PICK BTTS Yes 62% @ 1.98 +11.5% value VALUE PICK Kairat Almaty +1.75 75% @ 1.54 +10.1% value VALUE PICK Kairat Almaty +2 79% @ 1.37 +6% value SAFE BET Over 2.5 63% @ 1.65 +2.4% value LONGSHOT Kairat Almaty +0.25 41% @ 3.61 +13.3% value LONGSHOT DC X2 47% @ 2.95 +13.1% value LONGSHOT Draw 33% @ 5.00 +13% value LONGSHOT Kairat Almaty +0.5 47% @ 2.93 +12.9% value LONGSHOT Kairat Almaty -0.5 22% @ 6.40 +6.4% value LONGSHOT Away Win 18% @ 8.50 +6.2% value Kairat Almaty -0.75 19% @ 6.25 +3% value Over 3.5 40% @ 2.70 +3% value AVOID Over 1.5 83% @ 1.18 -1.7% value AVOID Anderlecht +0.75 81% @ 1.12 -8.3% value AVOID Anderlecht +0.5 78% @ 1.12 -11.3% value AVOID Anderlecht -2.0 21% @ 3.05 -11.8% value AVOID Anderlecht +0.25 72% @ 1.17 -13.5% value AVOID Anderlecht -1.75 25% @ 2.43 -16.2% value AVOID DC 1X 78% @ 1.05 -17.2% value AVOID Anderlecht -1.25 35% @ 1.87 -18.5% value AVOID Anderlecht -0.25 59% @ 1.28 -19.4% value AVOID Anderlecht -0.5 53% @ 1.37 -20% value AVOID Anderlecht -1.0 41% @ 1.64 -20.1% value AVOID Anderlecht -0.75 47% @ 1.49 -20.1% value AVOID Anderlecht -1.5 29% @ 2.02 -20.4% value AVOID Anderlecht 0.0 65% @ 1.17 -20.8% value AVOID Home Win 49% @ 1.34 -25.6% value | |||||||
| Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş ▼ UEFA Europa League | 33 2/3 | 48%@8.00+35.5% | 32%@4.50+9.8% | 20%@1.40-51.4% | 73%@1.21-9.6% | 74%@1.35-0.1% | 51%@1.98+0.5% |
VALUE PICK Kauno Žalgiris 0.0 64% @ 6.00 +47.3% value VALUE PICK Kauno Žalgiris +0.25 70% @ 4.06 +45.3% value VALUE PICK Kauno Žalgiris +0.75 80% @ 2.76 +43.7% value VALUE PICK Kauno Žalgiris -0.25 58% @ 6.80 +43.3% value VALUE PICK Kauno Žalgiris +1.0 84% @ 2.32 +41% value VALUE PICK DC 1X 77% @ 2.70 +40% value VALUE PICK Kauno Žalgiris +1.25 88% @ 2.01 +38.1% value VALUE PICK Kauno Žalgiris -0.5 52% @ 7.00 +37.7% value VALUE PICK Kauno Žalgiris +1.5 92% @ 1.74 +34.5% value VALUE PICK Kauno Žalgiris +1.75 93% @ 1.57 +29.3% value VALUE PICK Kauno Žalgiris +2.0 95% @ 1.38 +22.5% value SAFE BET BTTS Yes 51% @ 1.98 +0.5% value LONGSHOT Home Win 48% @ 8.00 +35.5% value LONGSHOT Draw 32% @ 4.50 +9.8% value AVOID Over 3.5 26% @ 2.88 -8.7% value AVOID Over 1.5 73% @ 1.21 -9.6% value AVOID Over 2.5 47% @ 1.73 -10.8% value AVOID Beşiktaş -2 5% @ 2.97 -28.7% value AVOID Beşiktaş -1.75 7% @ 2.39 -34.8% value AVOID Beşiktaş -1.5 8% @ 2.03 -41.3% value AVOID Beşiktaş +0.5 48% @ 1.10 -42.9% value AVOID Beşiktaş -1.25 12% @ 1.82 -43.1% value AVOID DC X2 48% @ 1.06 -46.3% value AVOID Beşiktaş -1 16% @ 1.59 -47% value AVOID Beşiktaş +0.25 42% @ 1.10 -48.9% value AVOID Beşiktaş -0.75 20% @ 1.44 -49.4% value AVOID Beşiktaş -0.5 23% @ 1.35 -51.1% value AVOID Beşiktaş -0.25 30% @ 1.23 -51.3% value AVOID Away Win 20% @ 1.40 -51.4% value AVOID Beşiktaş 0 36% @ 1.12 -53.3% value | |||||||
| Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF ▼ UEFA Europa League | 33 1/3 | 21%@1.20-62.3% | 53%@6.10+36.6% | 26%@11.50+17.3% | 74%@1.13-14.5% | 73%@1.62+11.3% | 52%@1.98+1.5% |
VALUE PICK Mjallby AIF +1 75% @ 3.44 +45.9% value VALUE PICK Mjallby AIF +1.25 80% @ 2.59 +41.4% value VALUE PICK Mjallby AIF +0.25 59% @ 5.50 +40.8% value VALUE PICK Mjallby AIF +0.5 65% @ 4.00 +40% value VALUE PICK DC X2 65% @ 3.85 +39% value VALUE PICK Mjallby AIF +1.5 85% @ 2.17 +38.9% value VALUE PICK Mjallby AIF +1.75 88% @ 2.00 +37.9% value VALUE PICK Draw 53% @ 6.10 +36.6% value VALUE PICK Mjallby AIF +2 90% @ 1.74 +32.4% value SAFE BET BTTS Yes 52% @ 1.98 +1.5% value LONGSHOT Away Win 26% @ 11.50 +17.3% value AVOID Over 1.5 74% @ 1.13 -14.5% value AVOID Over 2.5 49% @ 1.45 -20% value AVOID Over 3.5 27% @ 2.12 -20.2% value AVOID DC 1X 61% @ 1.01 -38% value AVOID Red Bull Salzburg -2.0 10% @ 2.07 -38.3% value AVOID Red Bull Salzburg -1.75 12% @ 1.82 -43.1% value AVOID Red Bull Salzburg -1.5 15% @ 1.65 -45.6% value AVOID Red Bull Salzburg -0.25 41% @ 1.15 -46% value AVOID Red Bull Salzburg -0.5 35% @ 1.23 -46.3% value AVOID Red Bull Salzburg -1.25 20% @ 1.48 -47.6% value AVOID Red Bull Salzburg -0.75 30% @ 1.25 -50% value AVOID Red Bull Salzburg -1.0 25% @ 1.30 -51.9% value AVOID Home Win 21% @ 1.20 -62.3% value | |||||||
| Aarhus vs Benfica ▼ UEFA Europa League | 13 1/3 | 17%@6.40+1.4% | 39%@4.60+17.3% | 43%@1.40-28.4% | 56%@1.14-31.7% | 88%@1.58+24.7% | 37%@1.64-24% |
VALUE PICK Aarhus +1.0 61% @ 2.10 +13.3% value VALUE PICK Aarhus +1.25 67% @ 1.86 +13.2% value VALUE PICK Aarhus +1.5 73% @ 1.67 +13.1% value VALUE PICK Aarhus +0.75 55% @ 2.38 +13% value VALUE PICK Aarhus +1.75 77% @ 1.51 +10.8% value VALUE PICK Aarhus +2.0 81% @ 1.36 +7.5% value LONGSHOT Draw 39% @ 4.60 +17.3% value LONGSHOT Aarhus -0.25 31% @ 5.75 +13.6% value LONGSHOT Aarhus +0.25 43% @ 3.26 +12.3% value LONGSHOT Aarhus +0.5 49% @ 2.68 +11.7% value LONGSHOT DC 1X 49% @ 2.60 +10.5% value LONGSHOT Aarhus -0.5 24% @ 6.00 +7.3% value LONGSHOT Aarhus -0.75 21% @ 6.40 +5.4% value Home Win 17% @ 6.40 +1.4% value AVOID Benfica +0.75 79% @ 1.12 -10.3% value AVOID Benfica -2 19% @ 3.11 -13.2% value AVOID Benfica +0.5 76% @ 1.12 -13.3% value AVOID DC X2 76% @ 1.08 -16.6% value AVOID Benfica -1.75 23% @ 2.51 -16.9% value AVOID Benfica -1.25 33% @ 1.96 -18% value AVOID Benfica -0.25 57% @ 1.33 -18.2% value AVOID Benfica +0.25 69% @ 1.14 -18.7% value AVOID Benfica -0.5 51% @ 1.43 -18.8% value AVOID Benfica -0.75 45% @ 1.57 -18.9% value AVOID Benfica 0 63% @ 1.22 -19.3% value AVOID Benfica -1 39% @ 1.71 -19.4% value AVOID Benfica -1.5 27% @ 2.14 -19.7% value AVOID BTTS Yes 37% @ 1.64 -24% value AVOID Away Win 43% @ 1.40 -28.4% value AVOID Over 1.5 56% @ 1.14 -31.7% value AVOID Over 3.5 12% @ 2.18 -33.9% value AVOID Over 2.5 29% @ 1.48 -38.6% value | |||||||
| CSKA Sofia vs OFI ▼ UEFA Europa League | 13 1/3 | 42%@1.38-30.5% | 35%@4.75+13.9% | 23%@7.00+8.7% | 79%@1.17-6.5% | 66%@1.43-3.9% | 59%@1.86+5.2% |
VALUE PICK OFI +0.75 59% @ 2.56 +19.9% value VALUE PICK OFI +1 65% @ 2.21 +19.7% value VALUE PICK OFI +1.25 71% @ 1.90 +18.4% value VALUE PICK OFI +0.5 53% @ 2.89 +18.4% value VALUE PICK OFI +1.5 76% @ 1.69 +16.7% value VALUE PICK DC X2 53% @ 2.75 +16.6% value VALUE PICK OFI +1.75 80% @ 1.52 +14.2% value VALUE PICK OFI +2 84% @ 1.35 +9.7% value VALUE PICK BTTS Yes 59% @ 1.86 +5.2% value LONGSHOT OFI 0 40% @ 5.19 +20.7% value LONGSHOT OFI +0.25 47% @ 3.68 +19.8% value LONGSHOT Draw 35% @ 4.75 +13.9% value LONGSHOT OFI -0.5 28% @ 6.00 +11.3% value LONGSHOT Away Win 23% @ 7.00 +8.7% value LONGSHOT OFI -0.75 23% @ 6.80 +8.3% value AVOID Over 3.5 34% @ 2.60 -4.5% value AVOID Over 2.5 56% @ 1.62 -5.7% value AVOID Over 1.5 79% @ 1.17 -6.5% value AVOID CSKA Sofia +0.75 77% @ 1.10 -13.9% value AVOID CSKA Sofia -2.0 17% @ 3.16 -14.6% value AVOID CSKA Sofia +0.5 72% @ 1.12 -17.3% value AVOID CSKA Sofia +0.25 66% @ 1.17 -19.8% value AVOID CSKA Sofia -1.75 20% @ 2.48 -20.3% value AVOID DC 1X 72% @ 1.07 -21.5% value AVOID CSKA Sofia -1.25 29% @ 1.92 -23.1% value AVOID CSKA Sofia -1.5 24% @ 2.10 -23.6% value AVOID CSKA Sofia -0.5 47% @ 1.38 -25.5% value AVOID CSKA Sofia -1.0 35% @ 1.65 -25.7% value AVOID CSKA Sofia -0.75 41% @ 1.50 -25.9% value AVOID CSKA Sofia -0.25 53% @ 1.27 -26.1% value AVOID CSKA Sofia 0.0 60% @ 1.16 -26.6% value AVOID Home Win 42% @ 1.38 -30.5% value | |||||||
| FC Thun vs Lech Poznan ▼ UEFA Europa League | 10 1/3 | 36%@2.88+1.3% | 24%@3.80-2.3% | 39%@2.17-7.1% | 77%@1.14-10.7% | 69%@1.52+3.2% | 55%@1.47-13% |
SAFE BET FC Thun +0.5 62% @ 1.69 +2.8% value SAFE BET FC Thun +1.5 83% @ 1.24 +2.4% value SAFE BET FC Thun +0.25 55% @ 1.84 +0.5% value SAFE BET FC Thun +0.75 67% @ 1.50 +0.1% value Home Win 36% @ 2.88 +1.3% value FC Thun 0.0 49% @ 2.07 +0.7% value FC Thun -0.25 42% @ 2.42 +0.6% value AVOID FC Thun -0.75 30% @ 3.32 -0.1% value AVOID FC Thun +1.75 85% @ 1.17 -0.5% value AVOID DC 1X 62% @ 1.60 -0.5% value AVOID Lech Poznan +1.5 85% @ 1.16 -1.2% value AVOID FC Thun -1.25 20% @ 4.65 -1.5% value AVOID FC Thun -1.75 13% @ 6.80 -1.7% value AVOID FC Thun +1.25 77% @ 1.27 -1.7% value AVOID FC Thun -0.5 35% @ 2.71 -1.9% value AVOID Lech Poznan -1 28% @ 3.32 -2.2% value AVOID Draw 24% @ 3.80 -2.3% value AVOID FC Thun +1.0 72% @ 1.32 -3.8% value AVOID Lech Poznan +1.75 87% @ 1.10 -3.9% value AVOID FC Thun -1.5 15% @ 5.25 -4% value AVOID Lech Poznan -1.25 23% @ 3.64 -4.5% value AVOID Lech Poznan +1.25 80% @ 1.18 -4.7% value AVOID Lech Poznan -1.75 15% @ 5.00 -5% value AVOID Lech Poznan -0.25 45% @ 1.99 -5.3% value AVOID Lech Poznan +0.5 65% @ 1.42 -5.3% value AVOID Lech Poznan +0.75 70% @ 1.32 -5.8% value AVOID Lech Poznan -0.75 33% @ 2.57 -6% value AVOID Lech Poznan +1 75% @ 1.23 -6.3% value AVOID Lech Poznan +0.25 58% @ 1.56 -6.3% value AVOID Lech Poznan 0 51% @ 1.73 -6.8% value AVOID Away Win 39% @ 2.17 -7.1% value AVOID Lech Poznan -1.5 17% @ 3.90 -8.6% value AVOID DC X2 65% @ 1.35 -9.1% value AVOID Lech Poznan -0.5 38% @ 2.12 -9.3% value AVOID Over 1.5 77% @ 1.14 -10.7% value AVOID Over 3.5 31% @ 2.33 -11.9% value AVOID Over 2.5 53% @ 1.52 -12.8% value AVOID BTTS Yes 55% @ 1.47 -13% value | |||||||
| Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda ▼ UEFA Europa League | 10 2/3 | 35%@1.98-15.5% | 30%@3.70+3% | 34%@3.40+4.6% | 46%@1.14-41.7% | 93%@1.50+26.3% | 25%@1.50-41.7% |
VALUE PICK FK Crvena Zvezda 0 50% @ 2.48 +9.6% value VALUE PICK FK Crvena Zvezda +0.25 56% @ 2.08 +7.8% value VALUE PICK FK Crvena Zvezda +0.5 63% @ 1.81 +7.7% value VALUE PICK FK Crvena Zvezda +0.75 68% @ 1.63 +6.7% value VALUE PICK FK Crvena Zvezda +1.5 83% @ 1.30 +6.1% value VALUE PICK DC X2 63% @ 1.74 +5.5% value SAFE BET FK Crvena Zvezda +1.25 78% @ 1.36 +4.2% value SAFE BET FK Crvena Zvezda +1.75 86% @ 1.22 +4% value SAFE BET FK Crvena Zvezda +1 73% @ 1.43 +3.1% value SAFE BET FK Crvena Zvezda +2 89% @ 1.13 +0.5% value LONGSHOT FK Crvena Zvezda -0.25 43% @ 2.98 +9.4% value LONGSHOT FK Crvena Zvezda -1 26% @ 5.90 +9.1% value LONGSHOT FK Crvena Zvezda -0.75 31% @ 4.09 +6.6% value LONGSHOT FK Crvena Zvezda -1.25 21% @ 6.40 +5.4% value LONGSHOT FK Crvena Zvezda -0.5 36% @ 3.24 +5.2% value Away Win 34% @ 3.40 +4.6% value Draw 30% @ 3.70 +3% value FK Crvena Zvezda -1.5 16% @ 6.80 +1.3% value AVOID Plzen +1.75 87% @ 1.12 -2.3% value AVOID FK Crvena Zvezda -1.75 13% @ 6.25 -3% value AVOID Plzen -2.0 11% @ 5.90 -5.9% value AVOID Plzen +1.5 84% @ 1.10 -6.9% value AVOID Plzen -1.0 27% @ 2.77 -9.2% value AVOID Plzen -1.75 14% @ 4.15 -10.1% value AVOID Plzen -1.25 22% @ 3.11 -10.2% value AVOID Plzen +1.25 79% @ 1.12 -10.3% value AVOID Plzen -1.5 17% @ 3.47 -11.9% value AVOID Plzen +0.5 64% @ 1.31 -12.2% value AVOID Plzen -0.75 32% @ 2.26 -12.3% value AVOID Plzen +0.75 69% @ 1.23 -12.6% value AVOID Plzen -0.25 44% @ 1.75 -13.3% value AVOID Plzen -0.5 37% @ 1.96 -14.2% value AVOID Plzen +1.0 74% @ 1.13 -14.5% value AVOID DC 1X 64% @ 1.27 -14.7% value AVOID Plzen +0.25 57% @ 1.39 -15.2% value AVOID Home Win 35% @ 1.98 -15.5% value AVOID Plzen 0.0 50% @ 1.52 -15.8% value AVOID Over 3.5 7% @ 2.35 -35.6% value AVOID BTTS Yes 25% @ 1.50 -41.7% value AVOID Over 1.5 46% @ 1.14 -41.7% value AVOID Over 2.5 20% @ 1.55 -44.5% value | |||||||
How to read the cards: Each card combines model probability (chance the pick wins) with value (edge vs bookmaker odds). VALUE PICK high probability (≥50%) with positive edge (≥+5%) - the best combination. LONGSHOT lower probability (<50%) but positive edge - higher risk, higher payout. SAFE BET high probability, modest edge (0-5%). AVOID bookmaker prices the outcome better than our model - negative expected value.
Important note: These categories reflect our model’s view versus bookmaker odds — they are analytical, not betting advice. Our historical backtest (Apr–May 2026, n=401 VALUE PICKs) shows that no category has consistently outperformed the bookmaker margin. Bookmakers price markets efficiently; use these signals to inform your thinking, not as guaranteed picks. Bet responsibly.
About the UEFA Europa League
The UEFA Europa League is Europe’s second-tier club competition and one of the most competitive tournaments in world football. It brings together strong sides that just missed out on the Champions League, clubs dropping down from the Champions League league phase, and the best teams from mid-ranking domestic leagues.
For bettors, the Europa League offers a fascinating mix. Squad rotation is heavier than in the Champions League, motivation varies enormously depending on a club’s domestic situation, and the gap in quality between sides is often wider, all of which creates genuine value for those who do their homework.
Why we cover this competition
UEFA Europa League is one of the competitions where our AI model performs best. High-quality data and clear quality gaps between teams create exactly the conditions our ensemble model is built to exploit.
📈 Live competition numbers
Measured from our own settled results, not looked up.
2.69
goals per match on average
53.0%
of matches go over 2.5 goals
48.0%
of matches see both teams score
50.0%
home wins
Based on 298 settled matches since August 2025. Updated after every matchday.
Key Betting Facts: UEFA Europa League
Rotation creates value
Many clubs treat the Europa League as a secondary priority and rotate heavily, especially before big domestic fixtures. Reading team news correctly is the single biggest edge in this competition.
Goals flow in the league phase
The Europa League league phase is open and attacking, with over 2.5 goals landing in well over half of matches. Goals markets are a reliable starting point, particularly when a strong side meets weaker opposition.
Quality gaps are wider
The spread in quality is larger than in the Champions League. Favourites with European pedigree regularly overpower less experienced opponents, making Asian handicap markets attractive in mismatched ties.
Knockouts tighten up
Once the knockout rounds begin, motivation rises and matches become cagier and lower-scoring. We shift our models away from goals and towards result and handicap markets as the tournament progresses.
New to sports betting? Read our complete guide to betting, our guide to understanding odds and our Asian handicap explainer.
How We Bet on the UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League is a competition where context matters more than almost anywhere else. Here is the exact process we follow before placing any selection.
1
Read the rotation
We check whether each club is treating this fixture seriously or resting players for the weekend. A heavily rotated side changes the entire profile of the match.
2
Run our AI model on the fixture
Our ensemble combines ELO ratings, Poisson goal probability and Dixon-Coles simulation to price every scoreline, then we compare against the bookmaker to find genuine value.
3
Weigh motivation and context
A club fighting for European football domestically will approach the Europa League very differently from one already safe or chasing a Champions League place. We factor this into every selection.
4
Pick the strongest market
We lean on Asian handicap and match result in mismatched ties, and on goals markets in the open league phase. We only post a tip when the value is clear.
Our commitment
Every tip we post includes our full reasoning. We never just give you a pick without explaining exactly why we made it. You can read the logic behind every selection directly in the tip.
Our UEFA Europa League Betting Record
77.8% win rate
based on 18 published tips
View full AI statistics →
📅 27 Aug 2026⏳ Pending
Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty
Pick: Kairat Almaty Asian Handicap +0.75 @ 2.60
💡 Model gives 52.7% probability for this selection. At odds 2.60 this represents +37.0% expected value. Selected as extra value pick by our fixed rule system: same criteria every day, no manual selection.
📅 27 Aug 2026⏳ Pending
Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Pick: Egnatia Rrogozhinë Asian Handicap +1.75 @ 1.42
💡 Model gives 85.7% probability for this selection. At odds 1.42 this represents +21.2% expected value. Selected as main accumulator pick by our fixed rule system: same criteria every day, no manual selection.
📅 27 Aug 2026⏳ Pending
FC Iberia 1999 vs Jagiellonia
Pick: FC Iberia 1999 Asian Handicap +1.25 @ 1.34
💡 Model gives 84.5% probability for this selection. At odds 1.34 this represents +13.7% expected value. Selected as main accumulator pick by our fixed rule system: same criteria every day, no manual selection.
UEFA Europa League Standings
Final table, 2025/26 season
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  FC Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 17 | WLWWW |
| 5 |  FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 17 | WDWWD |
| 6 |  SC Braga | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 17 | DWWDL |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 17 | LWWDW |
| 8 |  AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 16 | DWWWW |
| 9 |  Genk | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 16 | WWLWW |
| 10 |  Bologna | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 15 | WDWWD |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 12 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 15 | LDWDW |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 14 |  Plzen | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 14 | WDDDD |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 16 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 13 | DWLLW |
| 17 |  PAOK | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 14 | +3 | 12 | LWDDW |
| 18 |  Lille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 12 | WLLWL |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 12 | DLWDD |
| 20 |  Panathinaikos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 12 | DDDWW |
| 21 |  Celtic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 | WDLWL |
| 22 |  Ludogorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 10 | WLDWL |
| 23 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 | LWLLL |
| 24 |  Brann | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | LDLDD |
| 25 |  BSC Young Boys | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 | LLWLL |
| 26 |  Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 | WLLLD |
| 27 |  FCSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 | DLWLL |
| 28 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 7 | DLLLL |
| 29 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 6 | LWLLL |
| 30 |  FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 31 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 32 |  Rangers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 33 |  Nice | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 34 |  Utrecht | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 1 | LLLLD |
| 35 |  Malmo FF | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 1 | LLLLL |
| 36 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 22 | -20 | 1 | LLLLL |
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation
Top Scorers
| # | Player | Goals | Team | Assists | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P | V. Pavlidis | 5 |  | 1 |
| 2 | R | Rafa | 2 | | 1 |
| 3 | K | O. Kökçü | 2 |  | 0 |
| 4 | Ž | A. Živković | 1 | | 1 |
| 5 | S | A. Schjelderup | 1 | | 1 |
| 6 | L | D. Lukebakio | 1 | | 1 |
| 7 | L | C. Lenglet | 1 | | 0 |
| 8 | D | J. Durán | 1 | | 0 |
| 9 | A | R. Almeyda | 1 |  | 0 |
| 10 | B | Pedro Bicalho | 1 | | 0 |
Top Assists
| # | Player | Assists | Team | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P | V. Pavlidis | 1 | |
| 2 | R | Rafa | 1 | |
| 3 | Ž | A. Živković | 1 | |
| 4 | S | A. Schjelderup | 1 | |
| 5 | L | D. Lukebakio | 1 | |
| 6 | K | J. Kamiński | 1 | |
| 7 | S | H. Sudakov | 1 | |
| 8 | B | L. Barreiro | 1 | |
| 9 | B | A. Bah | 1 | |
| 10 | P | Pastor | 1 |  |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often do you post Europa League tips?
We post Europa League tips on every matchday, usually Thursday evenings during the league phase and on knockout match days.
What makes Europa League betting different?
Squad rotation is heavier and motivation varies more than in the Champions League. Reading team news and a club’s domestic priorities is essential to finding value.
Are your Europa League tips free?
Yes, completely free. Follow us on Telegram to get tips delivered every matchday morning with no subscription required.
Which bookmakers offer the best Europa League odds?
We don’t promote any single bookmaker. Compare the odds across several licensed operators and always check that a bookmaker is licensed in your country before depositing. Our focus is the pick and the value, not the bookmaker.
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