🏆 Competitions

UEFA Conference League

UEFA Conference League Betting Tips

Free daily Conference League tips powered by AI analysis. Posted every Thursday across all our channels.

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Market view

Kick-offMatchHomeDrawAwayOver 2.5
Thu 15 Oct 16:45Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland15%23%62%53%
Thu 15 Oct 16:45Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe31%28%41%42%
Thu 15 Oct 16:45Riga vs Kairat Almaty49%26%24%47%
Thu 15 Oct 16:45Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka73%18%10%60%
Thu 15 Oct 16:45Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes70%19%11%56%
Thu 15 Oct 16:45FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda34%28%38%55%
Thu 15 Oct 16:45KuPS vs Trabzonspor15%23%63%55%
Thu 15 Oct 16:45HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax18%20%62%60%
Thu 15 Oct 16:45Gent vs Aarhus58%23%19%51%
Thu 15 Oct 16:45CSKA Sofia vs Monaco15%21%64%55%
Thu 15 Oct 19:00Atalanta vs Pafos67%20%12%60%
Thu 15 Oct 19:00Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC81%12%6%70%
Thu 15 Oct 19:00Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris91%6%2%78%
Thu 15 Oct 19:00FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga41%28%31%49%
Thu 15 Oct 19:00SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec71%18%11%61%
Thu 15 Oct 19:00Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland32%26%42%61%
Thu 15 Oct 19:00St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 199970%17%13%60%
Thu 15 Oct 19:00Twente vs FC Thun77%13%10%72%

We don't publish picks for this competition. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market here, so this table shows the market's view instead. Probabilities from Bet365/Unibet odds with the bookmaker margin removed. Analytical view, not betting advice. UpcomingStarts soonLiveFinished

Market Probabilities

MatchSourceHome%Draw%Away%O1.5U3.5BTTS
Tip: click a match row to see all betting markets. Every probability comes from the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed.
CSKA Sofia vs Monaco ▼
UEFA Europa Conference League
16:45		Market15%@6.0021%@4.3364%@1.4477%@1.2265%@1.4450%@1.83
DC X2
85%
@ 1.12
Over 1.5
77%
@ 1.22
Under 3.5
65%
@ 1.44
Away Win
64%
@ 1.44
Over 2.5
55%
@ 1.70
BTTS Yes
50%
@ 1.83
BTTS No
50%
@ 1.83
Under 2.5
45%
@ 2.10
DC 1X
36%
@ 2.62
Over 3.5
35%
@ 2.62
Under 1.5
23%
@ 4.00
Draw
21%
@ 4.33
Home Win
15%
@ 6.00
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland ▼
UEFA Europa Conference League
16:45		Market15%@6.0023%@4.1062%@1.5075%@1.2569%@1.3649%@1.91
DC X2
85%
@ 1.12
Over 1.5
75%
@ 1.25
Under 3.5
69%
@ 1.36
Away Win
62%
@ 1.50
Over 2.5
53%
@ 1.80
BTTS No
51%
@ 1.80
BTTS Yes
49%
@ 1.91
Under 2.5
47%
@ 2.00
DC 1X
38%
@ 2.50
Over 3.5
31%
@ 3.00
Under 1.5
25%
@ 3.75
Draw
23%
@ 4.10
Home Win
15%
@ 6.00
Gent vs Aarhus ▼
UEFA Europa Conference League
16:45		Market58%@1.6023%@4.0019%@4.7575%@1.2571%@1.3349%@1.91
DC 1X
81%
@ 1.18
Over 1.5
75%
@ 1.25
Under 3.5
71%
@ 1.33
Home Win
58%
@ 1.60
Over 2.5
51%
@ 1.85
BTTS No
51%
@ 1.80
Under 2.5
49%
@ 1.95
BTTS Yes
49%
@ 1.91
DC X2
42%
@ 2.30
Over 3.5
29%
@ 3.25
Under 1.5
25%
@ 3.75
Draw
23%
@ 4.00
Away Win
19%
@ 4.75
HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax ▼
UEFA Europa Conference League
16:45		Market18%@5.0020%@4.5062%@1.4881%@1.1761%@1.5356%@1.67
DC X2
82%
@ 1.14
Over 1.5
81%
@ 1.17
Away Win
62%
@ 1.48
Under 3.5
61%
@ 1.53
Over 2.5
60%
@ 1.57
BTTS Yes
56%
@ 1.67
BTTS No
44%
@ 2.10
Under 2.5
40%
@ 2.35
Over 3.5
39%
@ 2.38
DC 1X
38%
@ 2.50
Draw
20%
@ 4.50
Under 1.5
19%
@ 5.00
Home Win
18%
@ 5.00
KuPS vs Trabzonspor ▼
UEFA Europa Conference League
16:45		Market15%@6.2523%@4.0063%@1.4578%@1.2065%@1.4450%@1.83
DC X2
85%
@ 1.11
Over 1.5
78%
@ 1.20
Under 3.5
65%
@ 1.44
Away Win
63%
@ 1.45
Over 2.5
55%
@ 1.70
BTTS Yes
50%
@ 1.83
BTTS No
50%
@ 1.83
Under 2.5
45%
@ 2.10
DC 1X
37%
@ 2.50
Over 3.5
35%
@ 2.62
Draw
23%
@ 4.00
Under 1.5
22%
@ 4.33
Home Win
15%
@ 6.25
FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda ▼
UEFA Europa Conference League
16:45		Market34%@2.7028%@3.2538%@2.4078%@1.2065%@1.4459%@1.57
Over 1.5
78%
@ 1.20
DC X2
66%
@ 1.44
Under 3.5
65%
@ 1.44
DC 1X
62%
@ 1.53
BTTS Yes
59%
@ 1.57
Over 2.5
55%
@ 1.70
Under 2.5
45%
@ 2.10
BTTS No
41%
@ 2.25
Away Win
38%
@ 2.40
Over 3.5
35%
@ 2.62
Home Win
34%
@ 2.70
Draw
28%
@ 3.25
Under 1.5
22%
@ 4.33
Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes ▼
UEFA Europa Conference League
16:45		Market70%@1.3019%@4.7511%@8.0078%@1.2065%@1.4446%@2.00
DC 1X
89%
@ 1.07
Over 1.5
78%
@ 1.20
Home Win
70%
@ 1.30
Under 3.5
65%
@ 1.44
Over 2.5
56%
@ 1.67
BTTS No
54%
@ 1.73
BTTS Yes
46%
@ 2.00
Under 2.5
44%
@ 2.15
Over 3.5
35%
@ 2.62
DC X2
30%
@ 3.25
Under 1.5
22%
@ 4.33
Draw
19%
@ 4.75
Away Win
11%
@ 8.00
Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka ▼
UEFA Europa Conference League
16:45		Market73%@1.2718%@5.2510%@9.5081%@1.1761%@1.5349%@1.91
DC 1X
90%
@ 1.07
Over 1.5
81%
@ 1.17
Home Win
73%
@ 1.27
Under 3.5
61%
@ 1.53
Over 2.5
60%
@ 1.57
BTTS No
51%
@ 1.80
BTTS Yes
49%
@ 1.91
Under 2.5
40%
@ 2.35
Over 3.5
39%
@ 2.38
DC X2
27%
@ 3.40
Under 1.5
19%
@ 5.00
Draw
18%
@ 5.25
Away Win
10%
@ 9.50
Riga vs Kairat Almaty ▼
UEFA Europa Conference League
16:45		Market49%@1.8526%@3.5024%@3.7572%@1.3073%@1.2850%@1.83
DC 1X
76%
@ 1.25
Under 3.5
73%
@ 1.28
Over 1.5
72%
@ 1.30
Under 2.5
53%
@ 1.80
DC X2
51%
@ 1.91
BTTS Yes
50%
@ 1.83
BTTS No
50%
@ 1.83
Home Win
49%
@ 1.85
Over 2.5
47%
@ 2.00
Under 1.5
28%
@ 3.40
Over 3.5
27%
@ 3.50
Draw
26%
@ 3.50
Away Win
24%
@ 3.75
Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe ▼
UEFA Europa Conference League
16:45		Market31%@2.9028%@3.2541%@2.2566%@1.4078%@1.2046%@2.00
Under 3.5
78%
@ 1.20
DC X2
69%
@ 1.36
Over 1.5
66%
@ 1.40
DC 1X
59%
@ 1.53
Under 2.5
58%
@ 1.62
BTTS No
54%
@ 1.73
BTTS Yes
46%
@ 2.00
Over 2.5
42%
@ 2.25
Away Win
41%
@ 2.25
Under 1.5
34%
@ 2.75
Home Win
31%
@ 2.90
Draw
28%
@ 3.25
Over 3.5
22%
@ 4.33
Atalanta vs Pafos ▼
UEFA Europa Conference League
19:00		Market67%@1.3620%@4.5012%@7.5081%@1.1759%@1.5751%@1.80
DC 1X
88%
@ 1.10
Over 1.5
81%
@ 1.17
Home Win
67%
@ 1.36
Over 2.5
60%
@ 1.57
Under 3.5
59%
@ 1.57
BTTS Yes
51%
@ 1.80
BTTS No
49%
@ 1.91
Over 3.5
41%
@ 2.25
Under 2.5
40%
@ 2.35
DC X2
33%
@ 2.62
Draw
20%
@ 4.50
Under 1.5
19%
@ 5.00
Away Win
12%
@ 7.50
Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC ▼
UEFA Europa Conference League
19:00		Market81%@1.1412%@7.506%@15.0086%@1.1050%@1.8344%@2.10
DC 1X
94%
@ 1.03
Over 1.5
86%
@ 1.10
Home Win
81%
@ 1.14
Over 2.5
70%
@ 1.36
BTTS No
56%
@ 1.67
Over 3.5
50%
@ 1.83
Under 3.5
50%
@ 1.83
BTTS Yes
44%
@ 2.10
Under 2.5
30%
@ 3.10
DC X2
19%
@ 5.50
Under 1.5
14%
@ 7.00
Draw
12%
@ 7.50
Away Win
6%
@ 15.00
Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris ▼
UEFA Europa Conference League
19:00		Market91%@1.046%@15.002%@41.0091%@1.0538%@2.5034%@2.75
DC 1X
98%
@ 1.00
Home Win
91%
@ 1.04
Over 1.5
91%
@ 1.05
Over 2.5
78%
@ 1.20
BTTS No
66%
@ 1.40
Over 3.5
63%
@ 1.50
Under 3.5
38%
@ 2.50
BTTS Yes
34%
@ 2.75
Under 2.5
22%
@ 4.33
DC X2
9%
@ 13.00
Under 1.5
9%
@ 11.00
Draw
6%
@ 15.00
Away Win
2%
@ 41.00
FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga ▼
UEFA Europa Conference League
19:00		Market41%@2.2528%@3.3031%@3.0073%@1.2872%@1.3054%@1.73
Over 1.5
73%
@ 1.28
Under 3.5
72%
@ 1.30
DC 1X
69%
@ 1.36
DC X2
59%
@ 1.62
BTTS Yes
54%
@ 1.73
Under 2.5
51%
@ 1.85
Over 2.5
49%
@ 1.95
BTTS No
46%
@ 2.00
Home Win
41%
@ 2.25
Away Win
31%
@ 3.00
Draw
28%
@ 3.30
Over 3.5
28%
@ 3.40
Under 1.5
27%
@ 3.50
SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec ▼
UEFA Europa Conference League
19:00		Market71%@1.2818%@5.0011%@8.0081%@1.1759%@1.5750%@1.83
DC 1X
89%
@ 1.07
Over 1.5
81%
@ 1.17
Home Win
71%
@ 1.28
Over 2.5
61%
@ 1.53
Under 3.5
59%
@ 1.57
BTTS Yes
50%
@ 1.83
BTTS No
50%
@ 1.83
Over 3.5
41%
@ 2.25
Under 2.5
39%
@ 2.40
DC X2
29%
@ 3.40
Under 1.5
19%
@ 5.00
Draw
18%
@ 5.00
Away Win
11%
@ 8.00
Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland ▼
UEFA Europa Conference League
19:00		Market32%@2.9026%@3.6042%@2.2581%@1.1759%@1.5763%@1.50
Over 1.5
81%
@ 1.17
DC X2
68%
@ 1.40
BTTS Yes
63%
@ 1.50
Over 2.5
61%
@ 1.53
Under 3.5
59%
@ 1.57
DC 1X
58%
@ 1.62
Away Win
42%
@ 2.25
Over 3.5
41%
@ 2.25
Under 2.5
39%
@ 2.40
BTTS No
38%
@ 2.50
Home Win
32%
@ 2.90
Draw
26%
@ 3.60
Under 1.5
19%
@ 5.00
St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 ▼
UEFA Europa Conference League
19:00		Market70%@1.3017%@5.2513%@7.0081%@1.1761%@1.5349%@1.91
DC 1X
87%
@ 1.08
Over 1.5
81%
@ 1.17
Home Win
70%
@ 1.30
Under 3.5
61%
@ 1.53
Over 2.5
60%
@ 1.57
BTTS No
51%
@ 1.80
BTTS Yes
49%
@ 1.91
Under 2.5
40%
@ 2.35
Over 3.5
39%
@ 2.38
DC X2
30%
@ 3.25
Under 1.5
19%
@ 5.00
Draw
17%
@ 5.25
Away Win
13%
@ 7.00
Twente vs FC Thun ▼
UEFA Europa Conference League
19:00		Market77%@1.2013%@7.0010%@9.0086%@1.1050%@1.8351%@1.80
DC 1X
90%
@ 1.07
Over 1.5
86%
@ 1.10
Home Win
77%
@ 1.20
Over 2.5
72%
@ 1.33
BTTS Yes
51%
@ 1.80
Over 3.5
50%
@ 1.83
Under 3.5
50%
@ 1.83
BTTS No
49%
@ 1.91
Under 2.5
28%
@ 3.40
DC X2
23%
@ 4.33
Under 1.5
14%
@ 7.00
Draw
13%
@ 7.00
Away Win
10%
@ 9.00
How to read this table: For every match we show the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. We do not label any market as value or safe: in our own testing our model did not beat the market, so we show the numbers from the market itself. Analytical view, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.

About the UEFA Conference League

The UEFA Conference League is Europe’s third-tier club competition, launched in 2021. It gives clubs from smaller leagues a genuine shot at European glory, and features some of the most unpredictable and entertaining football of any European competition.

For bettors, the Conference League is a goldmine. The quality gap between clubs is significant, bookmakers often underestimate stronger sides, and the motivation factor plays a bigger role here than in any other European competition. The difference between clubs genuinely competing for the trophy and those just happy to be in Europe makes motivation an important factor.

Why we cover this competition
Every fixture gets a full analysis: model and market probabilities, a score heatmap and every betting market, updated every morning.

📈 Live competition numbers

Measured from our own settled results, not looked up.

2.72
goals per match on average
52.6%
of matches go over 2.5 goals
48.6%
of matches see both teams score
47.4%
home wins

Based on 506 settled matches since August 2025. Updated after every matchday.

Key Betting Facts: UEFA Conference League

⚽
Quality gaps create value
The Conference League features clubs from across Europe with very different quality levels. When a strong domestic side faces a club from a smaller league, bookmakers frequently underestimate the margin of victory.
🏠
Home advantage matters more
Unlike the Champions League where away teams punch above their weight, Conference League home sides win at a higher rate. Home comfort and crowd support play a bigger role when quality gaps exist.
🎯
Motivation is decisive
Some clubs treat the Conference League as their primary European target. Others rotate heavily. Which manager genuinely values the competition matters a lot, so team news is worth checking before every match.
🏆
Smaller leagues, bigger gaps
Clubs from Portugal, Netherlands, Belgium and Scotland regularly reach Conference League knockout rounds and are frequently underestimated by bookmakers familiar mainly with Premier League and La Liga clubs.

New to sports betting? Read our complete guide to betting, our guide to understanding odds and our Asian handicap explainer.

How our analysis works

We use the same method for every competition, so you can check it against the results.

1
Three models, one probability
A gradient-boosting model trained on form, expected goals and home/away strength, a Poisson goals model and a Dixon-Coles correction for low scores are combined into one probability for every outcome.
2
Next to the market
Every market shows our model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed, so you can see where they agree and where they don’t.
3
Fixed rules for picks
Picks come from 11 competitions only, need enough data from this season, and stay within 10 percentage points of the market at odds up to 4.00. In our own testing, chasing the biggest gap with the market lost money, so we stopped doing that.
4
Every result published
Every pick is published before kick-off and settled on our statistics page, wins and losses.
Our commitment
We show our working, not just a pick: every analysis explains the numbers behind it. Analytical view, not betting advice.

Our UEFA Conference League Betting Record

75.0% of our published tips won 28 settled tips in this competition
See all our published tips →
📅 27 Aug 2026❌ Loss
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta
Pick: Hapoel Tel Aviv DC 1X @ 2.17
💡 Model gives 63.0% probability for this selection. At odds 2.17 this represents +36.7% expected value. Selected as extra value pick by our fixed rule system: same criteria every day, no manual selection.
📅 27 Aug 2026✅ Win
Riga vs KI Klaksvik
Pick: KI Klaksvik Asian Handicap +2.0 @ 1.37
💡 Model gives 86.8% probability for this selection. At odds 1.37 this represents +18.9% expected value. Selected as main accumulator pick by our fixed rule system: same criteria every day, no manual selection.
📅 20 Aug 2026✅ Win
KI Klaksvik vs Riga
Pick: KI Klaksvik Asian Handicap +1.5 @ 1.31
💡 Model gives 89.5% probability for this selection. At odds 1.31 this represents +17.4% expected value. Selected as main accumulator pick by our fixed rule system: same criteria every day, no manual selection.

All UEFA Conference League match analyses →

UEFA Conference League Standings

Final table, 2025/26 season

#ClubPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Strasbourg Strasbourg6510115+616
WWWWD
2Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa642092+714
WWWDD
3AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC6411147+713
WWWDW
4Sparta Praha Sparta Praha6411103+713
WWWDL
5Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano6411137+613
WWLWD
6Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk6411105+513
DWWWL
7FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05641173+413
WDLWW
8AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca633071+612
WDDDW
9Lausanne Lausanne632163+311
WDLDW
10Crystal Palace Crystal Palace6312116+510
DWLWL
11Lech Poznan Lech Poznan6312128+410
WDWLL
12Samsunspor Samsunspor6312106+410
LLDWW
13Celje Celje631287+110
DLLWW
14AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar631277+010
DWWLW
15Fiorentina Fiorentina630385+39
LWLLW
16HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka623152+39
DWDDW
17Jagiellonia Jagiellonia623154+19
DLWDD
18Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia622254+18
LWWDD
19FC Noah FC Noah622267-18
LWDLD
20Drita Drita622248-48
LLWWD
21KuPS KuPS614165+17
DDLWD
22Shkendija Shkendija621345-17
LWLDW
23Zrinjski Zrinjski6213810-27
DLWLL
24Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc621379-27
LLWWD
25Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova621368-27
LLWWD
26Lincoln Red Imps FC Lincoln Red Imps FC6213715-87
LWLDW
27Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv620499+06
WLLWL
28Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa620488+06
WLLLW
29Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava620459-46
WLWLL
30Breidablik Breidablik6123611-55
LWDLD
31Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers6114713-64
WLLDL
32BK Hacken BK Hacken603358-33
LDLLD
33Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans6105411-73
LLWLL
34Shelbourne Shelbourne602407-72
DLLLL
35Aberdeen Aberdeen6024314-112
LLDDL
36Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna6015314-111
DLLLL
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

Top Scorers

#PlayerGoalsTeamAssists
1
M
Winsley Boteli Mokango7
FC SionFC Sion
1
2
B
K. Behrens6
FC LuganoFC Lugano
1
3
R
Robert4
FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
1
4
P
M. Pjaca4
TwenteTwente
1
5
K
E. Kara4
Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna
1
6
G
O. Gloukh4
AjaxAjax
0
7
K
D. Klaassen4
AjaxAjax
0
8
C
A. Cornelius3
FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
2
9
H
Ricardo Horta3
SC BragaSC Braga
2
10
H
Moulaye Haïdara3
Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna
1

Top Assists

#PlayerAssistsTeam
1
E
M. Elyounoussi3
FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
2
N
R. Nivokazi3
FC SionFC Sion
3
C
Y. Cimignani3
FC LuganoFC Lugano
4
B
S. Berghuis3
AjaxAjax
5
W
D. Weidmann3
TwenteTwente
6
B
B. Bolla3
Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna
7
Z
M. Zanotti3
FC LuganoFC Lugano
8
O
A. Ouazane3
AjaxAjax
9
Ø
S. Ørjasæter3
TwenteTwente
10
C
A. Cornelius2
FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen

Frequently Asked Questions

How often do you post Conference League tips?

We post Conference League tips on every matchday, typically Thursday evenings during the group phase and knockout rounds.

What makes Conference League betting different?

The quality gaps between clubs are larger than in the Champions League or Europa League, so favourites win more often, though bookmakers reflect that in shorter odds.

Are your Conference League tips free?

Yes, completely free. Follow us on Telegram to receive tips every morning on matchdays.

Which bookmakers are best for Conference League?

We don’t promote any single bookmaker. Compare the odds across several licensed operators and always check that a bookmaker is licensed in your country before depositing.

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