AI Model Statistics

Our machine learning model analyses every football match it can find — not just the 3 tips we publish daily. Below you find the full performance data of the AI across thousands of matches. This is how the model learns and improves over time.

9,520Matches Analysed
9,498Settled
61.1%Model Accuracy
5,803Correct Predictions

Outcome Distribution

Home Win
45% (4261)
Draw
24% (2288)
Away Win
31% (2949)

Over/Under 2.5 Distribution

Over 2.5
55% (5207)
Under 2.5
45% (4291)

O/U Model Accuracy: 53.9% (5123/9498 correct)

Asian Handicap Results

Home Covered
57% (5296)
Away Covered
76% (7026)
Push
10% (930)

AH Model Accuracy: 61.7% (5197/8425 correct, 856 push)

Accuracy by Competition

CompetitionMatchesCorrectAccuracy
UEFA Champions League731503
68.8%
UEFA Conference League1134765
67.5%
UEFA Europa League669434
64.9%
Primeira Liga866548
63.3%
Eredivisie898553
61.6%
Serie A1091642
58.8%
La Liga1060614
57.9%
Premier League1227708
57.7%
Bundesliga873500
57.3%
Ligue 1947529
55.9%
Second League6331
49.2%
2. Lig5024
48%
Super League5124
47.1%
Ligue 26631
47%
Segunda División8840
45.5%
League Two5826
44.8%
Primera Division5724
42.1%
First League5522
40%

Recent AI Predictions

DateMatch1X2ProbO/U 2.5AH LineActualResult
06 Apr 2026Primeira LigaCasa Pia vs BenficaAway Win83%Over 2.5 ❌+1.5 (Away) ❌Draw (1-1)
06 Apr 2026La LigaGirona vs VillarrealAway Win52%Over 2.5 ❌+0.5 (Away) ❌Home Win (1-0)
06 Apr 2026ChampionshipHull City vs CoventryDraw37%Over 2.5 ❌+0.0 (Away)Draw (0-0)
06 Apr 2026Ligue 2Le Mans vs PAUHome Win39%Over 2.5 ✅+0.0 (Away)Home Win (4-0)
06 Apr 2026Serie ANapoli vs AC MilanHome Win42%Over 2.5 ❌-0.5 (Home) ✅Home Win (1-0)
06 Apr 2026Segunda DivisiónSporting Gijon vs Real Sociedad IIAway Win64%Under 2.5 ✅-0.5 (Home) ✅Home Win (1-0)
06 Apr 2026Primeira LigaArouca vs EstorilDraw35%Under 2.5 ❌+0.0 (Away)Home Win (3-2)
06 Apr 2026Serie BCarrarese vs SpeziaHome Win39%Over 2.5 ✅+0.0 (Away)Home Win (3-1)
06 Apr 2026Segunda DivisiónCastellón vs Granada CFDraw41%Under 2.5 ❌+0.0 (Away)Home Win (3-2)
06 Apr 2026Jupiler Pro LeagueGent vs KV MechelenHome Win39%Over 2.5 ❌+0.0 (Away)Draw (1-1)
06 Apr 2026ChampionshipSwansea vs MiddlesbroughDraw40%Under 2.5 ❌+0.0 (Away)Draw (2-2)
06 Apr 2026Serie AJuventus vs GenoaHome Win65%Under 2.5 ✅-1.0 (Home) ✅Home Win (2-0)
06 Apr 2026Serie BSampdoria vs EmpoliHome Win39%Over 2.5 ❌+0.0 (Away)Home Win (1-0)
06 Apr 2026Jupiler Pro LeagueRAAL La Louvière vs DenderHome Win39%Over 2.5 ❌+0.0 (Away)Away Win (0-1)
06 Apr 2026League OnePeterborough vs CardiffHome Win39%Under 2.5 ✅+0.0 (Away)Draw (1-1)

Ensemble Model

37.8%Ensemble Accuracy
3,907Settled Matches

The ensemble model launched April 1, 2026 and is still building its track record. The GradientBoosting model underneath it scores 61.7% accuracy on 12,700+ historical matches. Ensemble accuracy will stabilise as more data accumulates.

29.6%When All Models Agree
1,399All Models Agreed

Ensemble Score Distribution & Accuracy

Score RangeMatchesAccuracy
0-9255
27.8%
10-191630
39.9%
20-29908
35.1%
30-39541
37.9%
40-49336
36.9%
50-59107
47.7%
60-6997
39.2%
70-7929
55.2%
80-894
25%

Model accuracy is calculated on settled matches only. The current model uses form, goals average and H2H data as input features. Accuracy improves as more live data is collected.

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