Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov
Sun 16 Aug1-4Finished
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala

⚽ Premier League

Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Result: Krylia Sovetov 1-4 Dinamo Makhachkala

Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala finished 1-4. Dinamo Makhachkala won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Krylia Sovetov face Dinamo Makhachkala in the Premier League, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Krylia Sovetov won 1, Dinamo Makhachkala won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Krylia Sovetov win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

πŸ”₯ Best Bet

Model pick
Over 1.5 @ 1.40
76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.57 – 1.16 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 6.5% 7.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
1 10.2% 11.9% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8%
2 8.0% 9.3% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6%
3 4.2% 4.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 1.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Krylia Sovetov winDrawDinamo Makhachkala win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Krylia Sovetov win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%).

πŸ“Š Key numbers

Krylia Sovetov 45%Draw 29%Dinamo Makhachkala 26%
45%29%26%
45%
Krylia Sovetov Win
51%
Over 2.5 goals

πŸ” Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Krylia Sovetov and Dinamo Makhachkala. Wins shown from Krylia Sovetov’s perspective: Krylia Sovetov 1 · Dinamo Makhachkala 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-08-16 Krylia Sovetov 1 – 4 Dinamo Makhachkala L
2026-08-04 Dinamo Makhachkala 1 – 2 Krylia Sovetov W

πŸ“ˆ Recent form

Krylia Sovetov

Krylia Sovetov come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Rodina Moskva.

  • DLokomotiv 1-1 Krylia SovetovPremier League
  • WKrylia Sovetov 2-1 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
  • DKrylia Sovetov 2-2 FC KrasnodarPremier League
  • DBaltika 0-0 Krylia SovetovCup
  • DAkhmat 3-3 Krylia SovetovPremier League
Dinamo Makhachkala

Dinamo Makhachkala come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Rodina Moskva. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to CSKA Moscow.

  • LDinamo Makhachkala 1-3 CSKA MoscowPremier League
  • LAkhmat 3-2 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
  • WDinamo Makhachkala 2-0 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
  • LZenit 3-0 Dinamo MakhachkalaCup
  • LRubin 3-1 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League

πŸ₯ Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 2 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Krylia Sovetov

No absentees reported.

Dinamo Makhachkala
  • I. ShumakhovKnee Injury
  • N. VoroninNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Krylia Sovetov at 45% to win and Dinamo Makhachkala at 26%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Krylia Sovetov win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Krylia Sovetov Win 45% 38% @ 2.57
Draw 29% 31% @ 3.14
Dinamo Makhachkala Win 26% 32% @ 3.03

πŸ“ˆ Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 76% 68% @ 1.40
Under 3.5 71% 78% @ 1.22
Over 2.5 51% 41% @ 2.32
Under 2.5 49% 59% @ 1.64
Over 3.5 29% 22% @ 4.40
Under 1.5 24% 32% @ 3.01

πŸ“ˆ How the market moved

27%34%42%08/1008/1108/1208/1308/1408/1508/16

Krylia Sovetov 38%Draw 31%Dinamo Makhachkala 32%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.

Who is the favourite for Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

Our model makes a Krylia Sovetov win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala.

What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.57 for Krylia Sovetov and 1.16 for Dinamo Makhachkala. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Krylia Sovetov and Dinamo Makhachkala play?

Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

Get free tips, every day

Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Or follow us

18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.