Akhmat

Sat 22 Aug4-1Finished

FC Rostov

⚽ Premier League

Akhmat vs FC Rostov Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Akhmat vs FC Rostov in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Akhmat 4-1 FC Rostov

Akhmat vs FC Rostov finished 4-1. Akhmat won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Akhmat face FC Rostov in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 15:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Rostov win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 0.8-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Akhmat vs FC Rostov with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 2.5 @ 1.67

68%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.84 – 1.13 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.9%	15.8%	8.9%	3.4%	0.9%
1	11.7%	13.2%	7.5%	2.8%	0.8%
2	4.9%	5.6%	3.1%	1.2%	0.3%
3	1.4%	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

Akhmat winDrawFC Rostov win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Akhmat vs FC Rostov comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.67, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Rostov win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (68%).

📊 Key numbers

Akhmat 25%Draw 35%FC Rostov 40%

25%35%40%

40%

FC Rostov Win

68%

Under 2.5 goals

📈 Recent form

Akhmat

Akhmat come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Dinamo Makhachkala. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Akron.

LAkron 2-0 AkhmatPremier League
WAkhmat 3-2 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
DRubin 1-1 AkhmatPremier League
LDynamo 3-0 AkhmatCup
DAkhmat 3-3 Krylia SovetovPremier League

FC Rostov

FC Rostov come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Fakel. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Dynamo.

LFC Rostov 0-3 DynamoPremier League
LSpartak Moscow 3-0 FC RostovPremier League
WFC Rostov 3-1 FakelPremier League
WFC Rostov 2-0 CSKA MoscowCup
LFC Krasnodar 1-0 FC RostovPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Akhmat

No absentees reported.

FC Rostov

D. ChistyakovKnock

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Akhmat at 25% to win and FC Rostov at 40%, with the draw at 35%. Our model makes a FC Rostov win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Rostov Win	40%	31%	@ 3.12
Draw	35%	30%	@ 3.17
Akhmat Win	25%	39%	@ 2.49

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.8-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	86%	77%	@ 1.24
Under 2.5	68%	58%	@ 1.67
Over 1.5	59%	69%	@ 1.39
Under 1.5	41%	31%	@ 3.05
Over 2.5	32%	42%	@ 2.26
Over 3.5	14%	23%	@ 4.16

📈 How the market moved

Akhmat 39%Draw 30%FC Rostov 31%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Akhmat vs FC Rostov?

Our model's main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.67, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 58%.

Who is the favourite for Akhmat vs FC Rostov?

Our model makes a FC Rostov win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 0.8-1.1 scoreline for Akhmat vs FC Rostov.

What is the predicted score for Akhmat vs FC Rostov?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.84 for Akhmat and 1.13 for FC Rostov. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Akhmat and FC Rostov play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.