Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
Sun 23 Aug0-1Finished
FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar

⚽ Premier League

Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Krasnodar Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Krasnodar in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 14:30 UTC.

Result: Dinamo Makhachkala 0-1 FC Krasnodar

Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Krasnodar finished 0-1. FC Krasnodar won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Dinamo Makhachkala face FC Krasnodar in the Premier League, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 14:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, FC Krasnodar won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Krasnodar win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 0.9-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Krasnodar with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

πŸ”₯ Best Bet

Model pick
Over 1.5 @ 1.37
74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.91 – 1.75 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 7.0% 12.2% 10.7% 6.2% 2.7%
1 6.4% 11.1% 9.7% 5.7% 2.5%
2 2.9% 5.1% 4.4% 2.6% 1.1%
3 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Projected score: 0-1
Dinamo Makhachkala winDrawFC Krasnodar win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Krasnodar comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.37, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Krasnodar win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%).

πŸ“Š Key numbers

Dinamo Makhachkala 19%Draw 27%FC Krasnodar 54%
19%27%54%
54%
FC Krasnodar Win
50%
Under 2.5 goals

πŸ” Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Dinamo Makhachkala and FC Krasnodar. Wins shown from Dinamo Makhachkala’s perspective: FC Krasnodar 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-08-23 Dinamo Makhachkala 0 – 1 FC Krasnodar L
2026-04-26 FC Krasnodar 2 – 1 Dinamo Makhachkala L

πŸ“ˆ Recent form

Dinamo Makhachkala

Dinamo Makhachkala come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Rodina Moskva. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to CSKA Moscow.

  • LDinamo Makhachkala 1-3 CSKA MoscowPremier League
  • LAkhmat 3-2 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
  • WDinamo Makhachkala 2-0 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
  • LZenit 3-0 Dinamo MakhachkalaCup
  • LRubin 3-1 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
FC Krasnodar

FC Krasnodar come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to FC Rostov.

  • DFC Orenburg 0-0 FC KrasnodarPremier League
  • DFC Krasnodar 1-1 AkronPremier League
  • DKrylia Sovetov 2-2 FC KrasnodarPremier League
  • DFakel 1-1 FC KrasnodarCup
  • WFC Krasnodar 1-0 FC RostovPremier League

πŸ₯ Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Dinamo Makhachkala
  • I. ShumakhovKnee Injury
  • N. VoroninNot in squad
FC Krasnodar
  • N. KrivtsovNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Dinamo Makhachkala at 19% to win and FC Krasnodar at 54%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a FC Krasnodar win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
FC Krasnodar Win 54% 49% @ 1.97
Draw 27% 30% @ 3.21
Dinamo Makhachkala Win 19% 21% @ 4.50

πŸ“ˆ Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 74% 70% @ 1.37
Under 3.5 72% 76% @ 1.25
Under 2.5 50% 57% @ 1.69
Over 2.5 50% 43% @ 2.21
Over 3.5 28% 24% @ 4.01
Under 1.5 26% 30% @ 3.13

πŸ“ˆ How the market moved

15%36%56%08/1808/1908/2008/2108/2208/23

Dinamo Makhachkala 21%Draw 30%FC Krasnodar 49%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Krasnodar?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.37, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Krasnodar?

Our model makes a FC Krasnodar win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.8 scoreline for Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Krasnodar.

What is the predicted score for Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Krasnodar?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.91 for Dinamo Makhachkala and 1.75 for FC Krasnodar. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Dinamo Makhachkala and FC Krasnodar play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 14:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.