Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Krasnodarβ½ Premier League
Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Krasnodar Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Krasnodar in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 14:30 UTC.
Result: Dinamo Makhachkala 0-1 FC Krasnodar
Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Krasnodar finished 0-1. FC Krasnodar won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Dinamo Makhachkala face FC Krasnodar in the Premier League, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 14:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, FC Krasnodar won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Krasnodar win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 0.9-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Krasnodar with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
π₯ Best Bet
π― Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| 2 | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
π§ Model summary
Our prediction for Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Krasnodar comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.37, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Krasnodar win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%).
π Key numbers
π Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Dinamo Makhachkala and FC Krasnodar. Wins shown from Dinamo Makhachkalaβs perspective: FC Krasnodar 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 0 – 1 | FC Krasnodar | L |
| 2026-04-26 | FC Krasnodar | 2 – 1 | Dinamo Makhachkala | L |
π Recent form
Dinamo Makhachkala come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Rodina Moskva. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to CSKA Moscow.
- LDinamo Makhachkala 1-3 CSKA MoscowPremier League
- LAkhmat 3-2 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
- WDinamo Makhachkala 2-0 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
- LZenit 3-0 Dinamo MakhachkalaCup
- LRubin 3-1 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
FC Krasnodar come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to FC Rostov.
- DFC Orenburg 0-0 FC KrasnodarPremier League
- DFC Krasnodar 1-1 AkronPremier League
- DKrylia Sovetov 2-2 FC KrasnodarPremier League
- DFakel 1-1 FC KrasnodarCup
- WFC Krasnodar 1-0 FC RostovPremier League
π₯ Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- I. ShumakhovKnee Injury
- N. VoroninNot in squad
- N. KrivtsovNot in squad
β½ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Dinamo Makhachkala at 19% to win and FC Krasnodar at 54%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a FC Krasnodar win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Krasnodar Win | 54% | 49% | @ 1.97 |
| Draw | 27% | 30% | @ 3.21 |
| Dinamo Makhachkala Win | 19% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
π Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 70% | @ 1.37 |
| Under 3.5 | 72% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 57% | @ 1.69 |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 43% | @ 2.21 |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 24% | @ 4.01 |
| Under 1.5 | 26% | 30% | @ 3.13 |
π How the market moved
β Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Krasnodar?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.37, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.
Who is the favourite for Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Krasnodar?
Our model makes a FC Krasnodar win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.8 scoreline for Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Krasnodar.
What is the predicted score for Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Krasnodar?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.91 for Dinamo Makhachkala and 1.75 for FC Krasnodar. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Dinamo Makhachkala and FC Krasnodar play?
Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 14:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
