DynamoDynamo
Sun 23 Aug3-1Finished
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva

⚽ Premier League

Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 12:15 UTC.

Result: Dynamo 3-1 Rodina Moskva

Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva finished 3-1. Dynamo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Dynamo face Rodina Moskva in the Premier League, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 12:15 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.54
74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.52 – 1.07 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 7.5% 8.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
1 11.4% 12.2% 6.5% 2.3% 0.6%
2 8.7% 9.3% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5%
3 4.4% 4.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
4 1.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Dynamo winDrawRodina Moskva win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.54, with a 74% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%).

Limited model coverage
Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

52%
Under 2.5 goals

📈 Recent form

Dynamo

Dynamo come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 1. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at FC Rostov. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WFC Rostov 0-3 DynamoPremier League
  • WDynamo 1-0 FC OrenburgPremier League
  • WDynamo 2-1 Spartak MoscowPremier League
  • WDynamo 3-0 AkhmatCup
  • WLokomotiv 0-1 DynamoPremier League
Rodina Moskva

Rodina Moskva come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Krylia Sovetov.

  • DRodina Moskva 1-1 RubinPremier League
  • LKrylia Sovetov 2-1 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
  • LDinamo Makhachkala 2-0 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
  • LSpartak Moscow 3-1 Rodina MoskvaCup
  • LRodina Moskva 0-3 BaltikaPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Dynamo
  • A. LunevNot in squad
Rodina Moskva

No absentees reported.

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 74% 62% @ 1.54
Over 1.5 73% 80% @ 1.19
Under 2.5 52% 39% @ 2.46
Over 2.5 48% 61% @ 1.57
Under 1.5 27% 20% @ 4.85
Over 3.5 26% 38% @ 2.54

📈 How the market moved

7%41%75%08/1908/2008/2108/2208/23

Dynamo 71%Draw 18%Rodina Moskva 11%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.54, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.

What is the predicted score for Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.52 for Dynamo and 1.07 for Rodina Moskva. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Dynamo and Rodina Moskva play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 12:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.