BaltikaBaltika
Mon 24 Aug1-1Finished
RubinRubin

⚽ Premier League

Baltika vs Rubin Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Baltika vs Rubin in the Premier League. Kick-off Monday 24 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Result: Baltika 1-1 Rubin

Baltika vs Rubin finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Baltika face Rubin in the Premier League, kicking off Monday 24 August 2026, 17:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Rubin won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Rubin win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 0.8-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Baltika vs Rubin with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

πŸ”₯ Best Bet

Model pick
Under 2.5 @ 1.60
66%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.76 – 1.29 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 12.9% 16.6% 10.7% 4.6% 1.5%
1 9.8% 12.6% 8.1% 3.5% 1.1%
2 3.7% 4.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
3 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Projected score: 0-1
Baltika winDrawRubin win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Baltika vs Rubin comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.60, with a 66% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Rubin win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean under 2.5 (66%).

πŸ“Š Key numbers

Baltika 20%Draw 33%Rubin 47%
20%33%47%
47%
Rubin Win
66%
Under 2.5 goals

πŸ” Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Baltika and Rubin. Wins shown from Baltika’s perspective: 1 drawn · Rubin 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-08-24 Baltika 1 – 1 Rubin D
2026-05-02 Baltika 0 – 1 Rubin L

πŸ“ˆ Recent form

Baltika

Baltika come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Rodina Moskva. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Zenit.

  • LBaltika 2-3 ZenitPremier League
  • DFakel 2-2 BaltikaPremier League
  • LBaltika 0-1 LokomotivPremier League
  • DBaltika 0-0 Krylia SovetovCup
  • WRodina Moskva 0-3 BaltikaPremier League
Rubin

Rubin come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Dinamo Makhachkala. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • DRodina Moskva 1-1 RubinPremier League
  • DCSKA Moscow 1-1 RubinPremier League
  • DRubin 1-1 AkhmatPremier League
  • DFC Orenburg 1-1 RubinCup
  • WRubin 3-1 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League

πŸ₯ Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Baltika
  • A. FilinKnee Injury
  • M. ShnaptsevNot in squad
Rubin
  • U. DrezgicKnee Injury
  • A. GritsaenkoNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Baltika at 20% to win and Rubin at 47%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes a Rubin win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Rubin Win 47% 25% @ 3.92
Draw 33% 30% @ 3.24
Baltika Win 20% 46% @ 2.10

πŸ“ˆ Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.8-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 85% 79% @ 1.21
Under 2.5 66% 60% @ 1.60
Over 1.5 61% 66% @ 1.44
Under 1.5 39% 34% @ 2.84
Over 2.5 34% 40% @ 2.39
Over 3.5 15% 21% @ 4.48

πŸ“ˆ How the market moved

20%35%50%08/1908/2008/2108/2208/2308/24

Baltika 46%Draw 30%Rubin 25%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Baltika vs Rubin?

Our model's main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.60, with a 66% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 60%.

Who is the favourite for Baltika vs Rubin?

Our model makes a Rubin win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 0.8-1.3 scoreline for Baltika vs Rubin.

What is the predicted score for Baltika vs Rubin?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.76 for Baltika and 1.29 for Rubin. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Baltika and Rubin play?

Kick-off is Monday 24 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.