⚽ Premier League

Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Akhmat face Krylia Sovetov in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Akhmat have 1 win from their last 5, while Krylia Sovetov have 0 wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Akhmat win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.1-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.35

85%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.07 – 0.95 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.3%	12.6%	6.0%	1.9%	0.5%
1	14.2%	13.5%	6.4%	2.0%	0.5%
2	7.6%	7.2%	3.4%	1.1%	0.3%
3	2.7%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.7%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Akhmat winDrawKrylia Sovetov win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.35, the selection our model is most confident in at 85%. On the match result, the model rates an Akhmat win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 (67%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.95 (+30.9% model value).

Best value

Under 2.5 at odds 1.95, 67% model probability, +30.9% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Akhmat 36%Draw 35%Krylia Sovetov 29%

36%35%29%

36%

Akhmat Win

67%

Under 2.5 goals

+30.9%

Best value: Under 2.5

📈 Recent form

Akhmat

Akhmat come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to FC Rostov. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at FC Krasnodar.

WAkhmat 4-1 FC RostovPremier League
WAkhmat 2-1 FakelCup
LFC Krasnodar 1-0 AkhmatPremier League
DFakel 0-0 AkhmatPremier League
LAkhmat 1-2 Spartak MoscowPremier League

Krylia Sovetov

Krylia Sovetov come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Dinamo Makhachkala. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to Dinamo Makhachkala.

DKrylia Sovetov 0-0 ZenitCup
LKrylia Sovetov 1-4 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
LKrylia Sovetov 0-2 BaltikaPremier League
WDinamo Makhachkala 1-2 Krylia SovetovCup
DCSKA Moscow 1-1 Krylia SovetovPremier League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Akhmat at 36% to win and Krylia Sovetov at 29%, with the draw at 35%. Our model makes an Akhmat win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	35%	@ 3.64	+28.1%
Krylia Sovetov Win	29%	@ 4.00	+15.0%
Akhmat Win	36%	@ 1.89	-31.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	40%	@ 3.65	+46.2%
Under 2.5	67%	@ 1.95	+30.9%
Under 3.5	85%	@ 1.35	+15.2%
Over 1.5	60%	@ 1.28	-23.3%
Over 2.5	33%	@ 1.88	-38.2%
Over 3.5	15%	@ 3.17	-53.6%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.35, with 85% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 1.95 (+30.9% value).

Who is the favourite for Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov?

Our model makes an Akhmat win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.1-0.9 scoreline for Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov.

What is the predicted score for Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.07 for Akhmat and 0.95 for Krylia Sovetov. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Akhmat and Krylia Sovetov play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.