FC Rostov

Sat 5 Sep3-1Finished

Fakel

⚽ Premier League

FC Rostov vs Fakel Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Rostov vs Fakel in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: FC Rostov 3-1 Fakel

FC Rostov vs Fakel finished 3-1. FC Rostov won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FC Rostov face Fakel in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 16:00 UTC. Recent form: FC Rostov have 1 win from their last 5, while Fakel have no wins from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, FC Rostov won 2, Fakel won 1. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Rostov vs Fakel with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 2.5 @ 1.61

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.66 – 1.07 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	17.7%	19.0%	10.1%	3.6%	1.0%
1	11.7%	12.5%	6.7%	2.4%	0.6%
2	3.9%	4.1%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%
3	0.8%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

FC Rostov winDrawFakel win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Rostov vs Fakel comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.61, with a 75% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (75%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

75%

Under 2.5 goals

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between FC Rostov and Fakel. Wins shown from FC Rostov’s perspective: FC Rostov 2 · Fakel 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-05	FC Rostov	3 – 1	Fakel	W
2026-07-15	FC Rostov	2 – 1	Fakel	W
2026-07-07	Fakel	3 – 1	FC Rostov	L

📈 Recent form

FC Rostov

FC Rostov come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Fakel. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Dynamo.

LFC Rostov 0-3 DynamoPremier League
LSpartak Moscow 3-0 FC RostovPremier League
WFC Rostov 3-1 FakelPremier League
WFC Rostov 2-0 CSKA MoscowCup
LFC Krasnodar 1-0 FC RostovPremier League

Fakel

Fakel come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Spartak Moscow.

LSpartak Moscow 1-0 FakelPremier League
DFakel 2-2 BaltikaPremier League
LFC Rostov 3-1 FakelPremier League
DFakel 1-1 FC KrasnodarCup
LFakel 0-1 ZenitPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

FC Rostov

R. YatimovNot in squad

Fakel

No absentees reported.

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.7-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 75% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	90%	79%	@ 1.21
Under 2.5	75%	60%	@ 1.61
Over 1.5	52%	67%	@ 1.43
Under 1.5	48%	33%	@ 2.85
Over 2.5	25%	40%	@ 2.37
Over 3.5	10%	21%	@ 4.47

📈 How the market moved

FC Rostov 51%Draw 28%Fakel 21%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Rostov vs Fakel?

Our model's main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.61, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 60%.

What is the predicted score for FC Rostov vs Fakel?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.66 for FC Rostov and 1.07 for Fakel. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Rostov and Fakel play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.