Baltika

Sun 6 Sep0-1Finished

Lokomotiv

⚽ Premier League

Baltika vs Lokomotiv Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Baltika vs Lokomotiv in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 17:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Baltika 0-1 Lokomotiv

Baltika vs Lokomotiv finished 0-1. Lokomotiv won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Baltika face Lokomotiv in the Premier League, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 17:45 UTC. Recent form: Baltika have 3 wins from their last 5, while Lokomotiv have no wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Lokomotiv won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Baltika win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.2-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Baltika vs Lokomotiv with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.30

82%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.24 – 0.97 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.0%	10.6%	5.2%	1.7%	0.4%
1	13.6%	13.2%	6.4%	2.1%	0.5%
2	8.4%	8.2%	4.0%	1.3%	0.3%
3	3.5%	3.4%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.1%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Baltika winDrawLokomotiv win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Baltika vs Lokomotiv comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Baltika win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (62%).

📊 Key numbers

Baltika 40%Draw 33%Lokomotiv 27%

40%33%27%

40%

Baltika Win

62%

Under 2.5 goals

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Baltika and Lokomotiv. Wins shown from Baltika’s perspective: Lokomotiv 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-06	Baltika	0 – 1	Lokomotiv	L
2026-05-10	Lokomotiv	1 – 0	Baltika	L

📈 Recent form

Baltika

Baltika come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Rodina Moskva. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Zenit.

LBaltika 2-3 ZenitPremier League
DFakel 2-2 BaltikaPremier League
LBaltika 0-1 LokomotivPremier League
DBaltika 0-0 Krylia SovetovCup
WRodina Moskva 0-3 BaltikaPremier League

Lokomotiv

Lokomotiv come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Baltika. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Zenit.

DLokomotiv 1-1 Krylia SovetovPremier League
LZenit 2-1 LokomotivPremier League
WBaltika 0-1 LokomotivPremier League
DAkron 0-0 LokomotivCup
LLokomotiv 0-1 DynamoPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Baltika

A. FilinKnee Injury

Lokomotiv

No absentees reported.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Baltika at 40% to win and Lokomotiv at 27%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes a Baltika win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Baltika Win	40%	47%	@ 2.03
Draw	33%	28%	@ 3.45
Lokomotiv Win	27%	25%	@ 3.90

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	82%	74%	@ 1.30
Over 1.5	65%	73%	@ 1.31
Under 2.5	62%	53%	@ 1.82
Over 2.5	38%	47%	@ 2.07
Under 1.5	35%	27%	@ 3.51
Over 3.5	18%	26%	@ 3.61

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Baltika vs Lokomotiv?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Baltika vs Lokomotiv?

Our model makes a Baltika win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.0 scoreline for Baltika vs Lokomotiv.

What is the predicted score for Baltika vs Lokomotiv?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.24 for Baltika and 0.97 for Lokomotiv. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Baltika and Lokomotiv play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 17:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.