Spartak Moscow

Sun 13 Sep3-0Finished

FC Rostov

⚽ Premier League

Spartak Moscow vs FC Rostov Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Spartak Moscow vs FC Rostov in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Spartak Moscow 3-0 FC Rostov

Spartak Moscow vs FC Rostov finished 3-0. Spartak Moscow won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.26, landed.

Spartak Moscow face FC Rostov in the Premier League, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Spartak Moscow have 2 wins from their last 5, while FC Rostov have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Spartak Moscow won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Spartak Moscow win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.7-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Spartak Moscow vs FC Rostov with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.28

77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.70 – 1.10 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	6.7%	3.7%	1.3%	0.4%
1	10.3%	11.4%	6.3%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.8%	9.7%	5.3%	1.9%	0.5%
3	5.0%	5.5%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
4	2.1%	2.3%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Spartak Moscow winDrawFC Rostov win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Spartak Moscow vs FC Rostov comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Spartak Moscow win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Spartak Moscow 50%Draw 27%FC Rostov 23%

50%27%23%

50%

Spartak Moscow Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Spartak Moscow and FC Rostov. Wins shown from Spartak Moscow’s perspective: Spartak Moscow 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-13	Spartak Moscow	3 – 0	FC Rostov	W
2026-04-12	FC Rostov	1 – 1	Spartak Moscow	D

📈 Recent form

Spartak Moscow

Spartak Moscow come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to FC Rostov. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Dynamo.

WSpartak Moscow 1-0 FakelPremier League
WSpartak Moscow 3-0 FC RostovPremier League
LDynamo 2-1 Spartak MoscowPremier League
WSpartak Moscow 3-1 Rodina MoskvaCup
DSpartak Moscow 1-1 FC OrenburgPremier League

FC Rostov

FC Rostov come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Fakel. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Dynamo.

LFC Rostov 0-3 DynamoPremier League
LSpartak Moscow 3-0 FC RostovPremier League
WFC Rostov 3-1 FakelPremier League
WFC Rostov 2-0 CSKA MoscowCup
LFC Krasnodar 1-0 FC RostovPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Spartak Moscow

R. LitvinovNot in squad
C. MartinsNot in squad
D. ZorinAchilles Tendon Injury

FC Rostov

D. ChistyakovKnock
O. SakoSuspended (cards)
I. ZhbanovNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Spartak Moscow at 50% to win and FC Rostov at 23%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Spartak Moscow win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Spartak Moscow Win	50%	57%	@ 1.68
Draw	27%	24%	@ 3.94
FC Rostov Win	23%	19%	@ 5.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	74%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	69%	71%	@ 1.35
Over 2.5	53%	51%	@ 1.90
Under 2.5	47%	49%	@ 1.97
Over 3.5	31%	29%	@ 3.23
Under 1.5	23%	26%	@ 3.73

📈 How the market moved

Spartak Moscow 57%Draw 24%FC Rostov 19%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs FC Rostov?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Spartak Moscow vs FC Rostov?

Our model makes a Spartak Moscow win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline for Spartak Moscow vs FC Rostov.

What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow vs FC Rostov?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.70 for Spartak Moscow and 1.10 for FC Rostov. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Spartak Moscow and FC Rostov play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.