AkhmatAkhmat
Sun 13 Sep3-2Finished
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala

⚽ Premier League

Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Result: Akhmat 3-2 Dinamo Makhachkala

Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala finished 3-2. Akhmat won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.41, landed.

Akhmat face Dinamo Makhachkala in the Premier League, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: Akhmat have 1 win from their last 5, while Dinamo Makhachkala have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Akhmat won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Akhmat win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.6-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 1.5 @ 1.40
81%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.61 – 1.44 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 4.7% 6.8% 4.9% 2.4% 0.8%
1 7.6% 11.0% 7.9% 3.8% 1.4%
2 6.1% 8.8% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1%
3 3.3% 4.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Akhmat winDrawDinamo Makhachkala win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Akhmat win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%).

📊 Key numbers

Akhmat 40%Draw 27%Dinamo Makhachkala 33%
40%27%33%
40%
Akhmat Win
59%
Over 2.5 goals

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Akhmat and Dinamo Makhachkala. Wins shown from Akhmat’s perspective: Akhmat 1 · 1 drawn.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-13 Akhmat 3 – 2 Dinamo Makhachkala W
2026-05-10 Akhmat 1 – 1 Dinamo Makhachkala D

📈 Recent form

Akhmat

Akhmat come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Dinamo Makhachkala. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Akron.

  • LAkron 2-0 AkhmatPremier League
  • WAkhmat 3-2 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
  • DRubin 1-1 AkhmatPremier League
  • LDynamo 3-0 AkhmatCup
  • DAkhmat 3-3 Krylia SovetovPremier League
Dinamo Makhachkala

Dinamo Makhachkala come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Rodina Moskva. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to CSKA Moscow.

  • LDinamo Makhachkala 1-3 CSKA MoscowPremier League
  • LAkhmat 3-2 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
  • WDinamo Makhachkala 2-0 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
  • LZenit 3-0 Dinamo MakhachkalaCup
  • LRubin 3-1 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Akhmat

No absentees reported.

Dinamo Makhachkala
  • I. ShumakhovKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Akhmat at 40% to win and Dinamo Makhachkala at 33%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes an Akhmat win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Akhmat Win 40% 44% @ 2.18
Dinamo Makhachkala Win 33% 26% @ 3.74
Draw 27% 30% @ 3.24

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 81% 68% @ 1.40
Under 3.5 64% 77% @ 1.24
Over 2.5 59% 42% @ 2.29
Under 2.5 41% 58% @ 1.66
Over 3.5 36% 23% @ 4.25
Under 1.5 19% 32% @ 3.02

📈 How the market moved

21%35%50%09/0909/1009/1109/1209/13

Akhmat 44%Draw 30%Dinamo Makhachkala 26%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.

Who is the favourite for Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

Our model makes an Akhmat win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.4 scoreline for Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala.

What is the predicted score for Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.61 for Akhmat and 1.44 for Dinamo Makhachkala. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Akhmat and Dinamo Makhachkala play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.