Las Palmas

Sun 20 Sep1-2Finished

Burgos

⚽ Segunda División

Las Palmas vs Burgos Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Las Palmas vs Burgos in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 20 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Las Palmas 1-2 Burgos

Las Palmas vs Burgos finished 1-2. Burgos won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Las Palmas face Burgos in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 20 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Las Palmas have 3 wins from their last 5, while Burgos have 2 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Las Palmas win the most likely result at 47%, implying a 1.4-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Las Palmas vs Burgos with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Las Palmas win	47%
Draw	28%
Burgos win	25%
Over 2.5 goals	44%
Both teams to score	48%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.45 – 1.00 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	8.6%	4.3%	1.4%	0.4%
1	12.5%	12.5%	6.3%	2.1%	0.5%
2	9.1%	9.1%	4.5%	1.5%	0.4%
3	4.4%	4.4%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.6%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Las Palmas winDrawBurgos win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Las Palmas vs Burgos. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Las Palmas win is the most likely result at 47%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 56%. Both teams to score: no at 52%.

📊 Key numbers

Las Palmas 47%Draw 28%Burgos 25%

47%28%25%

47%

Las Palmas Win

56%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Las Palmas

Las Palmas come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at AD Ceuta FC. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Burgos.

LLas Palmas 1-2 BurgosSegunda División
WCadiz 0-1 Las PalmasSegunda División
DLas Palmas 0-0 LeganesSegunda División
LGirona 5-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
WAD Ceuta FC 0-2 Las PalmasSegunda División

Burgos

Burgos come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to AD Ceuta FC. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Sporting Gijon.

WLas Palmas 1-2 BurgosSegunda División
WBurgos 3-1 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
DOviedo 0-0 BurgosSegunda División
LSporting Gijon 1-0 BurgosSegunda División
WBurgos 3-2 CordobaSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Las Palmas at 47% to win and Burgos at 25%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes a Las Palmas win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Las Palmas Win	47%	@ 2.00
Draw	28%	@ 3.40
Burgos Win	25%	@ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Las Palmas or Draw at 1.25 (75% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Las Palmas or Draw	75%	@ 1.25
Burgos or Draw	53%	@ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	75%	@ 1.25
Over 1.5	69%	@ 1.36
Under 2.5	56%	@ 1.67
Over 2.5	44%	@ 2.15
Under 1.5	31%	@ 3.00
Over 3.5	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	51%	@ 1.80
BTTS Yes	49%	@ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

Las Palmas 47%Draw 29%Burgos 24%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Las Palmas vs Burgos?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Las Palmas win is the most likely result at 47%.

Who is the favourite for Las Palmas vs Burgos?

Our model makes a Las Palmas win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline for Las Palmas vs Burgos.

What is the predicted score for Las Palmas vs Burgos?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.45 for Las Palmas and 1.00 for Burgos. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Las Palmas and Burgos play?

Kick-off is Sunday 20 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.