Modena

Sun 20 Sep2-1Finished

Empoli

⚽ Serie B

Modena vs Empoli Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Modena vs Empoli in the Serie B. Kick-off Sunday 20 September 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Modena 2-1 Empoli

Modena vs Empoli finished 2-1. Modena won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Modena face Empoli in the Serie B, kicking off Sunday 20 September 2026, 17:30 UTC. Recent form: Modena have 2 wins from their last 4, while Empoli have 2 wins from their last 4. The bookmaker market makes a Modena win the most likely result at 56%, implying a 1.8-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Modena vs Empoli with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Modena win	56%
Draw	26%
Empoli win	18%
Over 2.5 goals	49%
Both teams to score	50%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.75 – 0.90 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	6.4%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
1	12.4%	11.1%	5.0%	1.5%	0.3%
2	10.8%	9.7%	4.4%	1.3%	0.3%
3	6.3%	5.7%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
4	2.8%	2.5%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Modena winDrawEmpoli win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Modena vs Empoli. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Modena win is the most likely result at 56%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 51%. Both teams to score: yes at 50%.

📊 Key numbers

Modena 56%Draw 26%Empoli 18%

56%26%18%

56%

Modena Win

51%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Modena

Modena come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Cremonese. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Avellino.

WModena 2-1 EmpoliSerie B
DSudtirol 1-1 ModenaSerie B
LModena 0-1 AvellinoSerie B
WCremonese 0-3 ModenaSerie B
WBenevento 1-2 ModenaSerie B

Empoli

Empoli come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Carrarese. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Modena.

LModena 2-1 EmpoliSerie B
LEmpoli 0-1 ArezzoSerie B
WCarrarese 0-1 EmpoliSerie B
LMantova 3-1 EmpoliSerie B
WEmpoli 1-0 CremoneseSerie B

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Modena at 56% to win and Empoli at 18%, with the draw at 26%. The bookmaker market makes a Modena win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Modena Win	56%	@ 1.67
Draw	26%	@ 3.60
Empoli Win	18%	@ 5.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Modena or Draw at 1.14 (82% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Modena or Draw	82%	@ 1.14
Empoli or Draw	44%	@ 2.20

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.8-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	73%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	71%	@ 1.33
Under 2.5	51%	@ 1.85
Over 2.5	49%	@ 1.95
Over 3.5	29%	@ 3.25
Under 1.5	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	50%	@ 1.91
BTTS No	50%	@ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

Modena 56%Draw 26%Empoli 18%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Modena vs Empoli?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Modena win is the most likely result at 56%.

Who is the favourite for Modena vs Empoli?

Our model makes a Modena win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 1.8-0.9 scoreline for Modena vs Empoli.

What is the predicted score for Modena vs Empoli?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.75 for Modena and 0.90 for Empoli. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Modena and Empoli play?

Kick-off is Sunday 20 September 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.