CadizCadiz
Sat 3 Oct4-0Finished
LeganesLeganes

⚽ Segunda División

Cadiz vs Leganes Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cadiz vs Leganes in the Segunda División. Kick-off Saturday 03 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Result: Cadiz 4-0 Leganes

Cadiz vs Leganes finished 4-0. Cadiz won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Cadiz face Leganes in the Segunda División, kicking off Saturday 03 October 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Cadiz have no wins from their last 5, while Leganes have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Cadiz won 2. The bookmaker market makes a Leganes win the most likely result at 38%, implying a 1.1-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cadiz vs Leganes with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Cadiz win 33%
Draw 30%
Leganes win 38%
Over 2.5 goals 41%
Both teams to score 48%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.10 – 1.20 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 10.0% 12.0% 7.2% 2.9% 0.9%
1 11.0% 13.2% 7.9% 3.2% 1.0%
2 6.1% 7.3% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
3 2.2% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Cadiz winDrawLeganes win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Cadiz vs Leganes. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Leganes win is the most likely result at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 59%. Both teams to score: no at 52%.

📊 Key numbers

Cadiz 33%Draw 30%Leganes 38%
33%30%38%
38%
Leganes Win
59%
Under 2.5 goals
52%
BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Cadiz and Leganes. Wins shown from Cadiz’s perspective: Cadiz 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-10-03 Cadiz 4 – 0 Leganes W
2026-05-24 Cadiz 3 – 0 Leganes W

📈 Recent form

Cadiz

Cadiz come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Leganes. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Girona.

  • WCadiz 4-0 LeganesSegunda División
  • DTenerife 1-1 CadizSegunda División
  • LCadiz 1-2 GironaSegunda División
  • LCadiz 0-1 Las PalmasSegunda División
  • LAlmeria 3-2 CadizSegunda División
Leganes

Leganes come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Granada CF. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Cadiz.

  • LCadiz 4-0 LeganesSegunda División
  • LLeganes 0-2 CastellónSegunda División
  • WLeganes 3-2 Granada CFSegunda División
  • LTenerife 2-0 LeganesSegunda División
  • DLas Palmas 0-0 LeganesSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Cadiz at 33% to win and Leganes at 38%, with the draw at 30%. The bookmaker market makes a Leganes win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Leganes Win 38% @ 2.50
Cadiz Win 33% @ 2.88
Draw 29% @ 3.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Leganes or Draw at 1.40 (67% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Leganes or Draw 67% @ 1.40
Cadiz or Draw 62% @ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.1-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Under 3.5 78% @ 1.20
Over 1.5 66% @ 1.40
Under 2.5 59% @ 1.60
Over 2.5 41% @ 2.30
Under 1.5 34% @ 2.75
Over 3.5 22% @ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS No 51% @ 1.80
BTTS Yes 49% @ 1.91

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Cadiz or Leganes is a clear favourite.

Selection Market % Odds
Leganes +1.5 85% 1.12
Leganes +1.25 83% 1.14
Cadiz +1.75 83% 1.14
Cadiz +1.5 83% 1.15
Cadiz +1.25 80% 1.18
Cadiz +1 79% 1.21
Leganes +0.75 74% 1.28
Cadiz +0.75 69% 1.38
Leganes +0.5 67% 1.42
Cadiz +0.5 62% 1.52
Leganes +0.25 61% 1.55
Cadiz +0.25 56% 1.71
Leganes 0 53% 1.79
Cadiz 0 47% 2.06
Leganes -0.25 44% 2.16
Cadiz -0.25 39% 2.46
Leganes -0.5 38% 2.52
Cadiz -0.5 33% 2.88
Leganes -0.75 31% 3.12
Cadiz -0.75 26% 3.67
Leganes -1 21% 4.44
Leganes -1.25 20% 4.80
Leganes -1.5 17% 5.50
Cadiz -1.25 17% 5.75
Leganes -1.75 17% 5.75
Cadiz -1.5 15% 6.25

📈 How the market moved

25%36%47%09/2909/3010/0110/0210/03

Cadiz 32%Draw 30%Leganes 37%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cadiz vs Leganes?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Leganes win is the most likely result at 38%.

Who is the favourite for Cadiz vs Leganes?

Our model makes a Leganes win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.2 scoreline for Cadiz vs Leganes.

What is the predicted score for Cadiz vs Leganes?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.10 for Cadiz and 1.20 for Leganes. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cadiz and Leganes play?

Kick-off is Saturday 03 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.