Cadiz
Leganes⚽ Segunda División
Cadiz vs Leganes Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cadiz vs Leganes in the Segunda División. Kick-off Saturday 03 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.
Result: Cadiz 4-0 Leganes
Cadiz vs Leganes finished 4-0. Cadiz won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Cadiz face Leganes in the Segunda División, kicking off Saturday 03 October 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Cadiz have no wins from their last 5, while Leganes have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Cadiz won 2. The bookmaker market makes a Leganes win the most likely result at 38%, implying a 1.1-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cadiz vs Leganes with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 33% |
| Draw | 30% |
| Leganes win | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.0% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Cadiz vs Leganes. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Leganes win is the most likely result at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 59%. Both teams to score: no at 52%.
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Cadiz and Leganes. Wins shown from Cadiz’s perspective: Cadiz 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Cadiz | 4 – 0 | Leganes | W |
| 2026-05-24 | Cadiz | 3 – 0 | Leganes | W |
📈 Recent form
Cadiz come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Leganes. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Girona.
- WCadiz 4-0 LeganesSegunda División
- DTenerife 1-1 CadizSegunda División
- LCadiz 1-2 GironaSegunda División
- LCadiz 0-1 Las PalmasSegunda División
- LAlmeria 3-2 CadizSegunda División
Leganes come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Granada CF. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Cadiz.
- LCadiz 4-0 LeganesSegunda División
- LLeganes 0-2 CastellónSegunda División
- WLeganes 3-2 Granada CFSegunda División
- LTenerife 2-0 LeganesSegunda División
- DLas Palmas 0-0 LeganesSegunda División
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Cadiz at 33% to win and Leganes at 38%, with the draw at 30%. The bookmaker market makes a Leganes win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes Win | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Cadiz Win | 33% | @ 2.88 |
| Draw | 29% | @ 3.20 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Leganes or Draw at 1.40 (67% market).
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes or Draw | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Cadiz or Draw | 62% | @ 1.50 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.1-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 59% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 78% | @ 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | @ 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | @ 2.30 |
| Under 1.5 | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | @ 4.33 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 51% | @ 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 49% | @ 1.91 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Cadiz or Leganes is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes +1.5 | 85% | 1.12 |
| Leganes +1.25 | 83% | 1.14 |
| Cadiz +1.75 | 83% | 1.14 |
| Cadiz +1.5 | 83% | 1.15 |
| Cadiz +1.25 | 80% | 1.18 |
| Cadiz +1 | 79% | 1.21 |
| Leganes +0.75 | 74% | 1.28 |
| Cadiz +0.75 | 69% | 1.38 |
| Leganes +0.5 | 67% | 1.42 |
| Cadiz +0.5 | 62% | 1.52 |
| Leganes +0.25 | 61% | 1.55 |
| Cadiz +0.25 | 56% | 1.71 |
| Leganes 0 | 53% | 1.79 |
| Cadiz 0 | 47% | 2.06 |
| Leganes -0.25 | 44% | 2.16 |
| Cadiz -0.25 | 39% | 2.46 |
| Leganes -0.5 | 38% | 2.52 |
| Cadiz -0.5 | 33% | 2.88 |
| Leganes -0.75 | 31% | 3.12 |
| Cadiz -0.75 | 26% | 3.67 |
| Leganes -1 | 21% | 4.44 |
| Leganes -1.25 | 20% | 4.80 |
| Leganes -1.5 | 17% | 5.50 |
| Cadiz -1.25 | 17% | 5.75 |
| Leganes -1.75 | 17% | 5.75 |
| Cadiz -1.5 | 15% | 6.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cadiz vs Leganes?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Leganes win is the most likely result at 38%.
Who is the favourite for Cadiz vs Leganes?
Our model makes a Leganes win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.2 scoreline for Cadiz vs Leganes.
What is the predicted score for Cadiz vs Leganes?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.10 for Cadiz and 1.20 for Leganes. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Cadiz and Leganes play?
Kick-off is Saturday 03 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
