Castellón

Sun 4 Oct1-1Finished

AD Ceuta FC

⚽ Segunda División

Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 04 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.

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Result: Castellón 1-1 AD Ceuta FC

Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Castellón face AD Ceuta FC in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 04 October 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Castellón have 5 wins from their last 5, while AD Ceuta FC have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, 2 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Castellón win the most likely result at 76%, implying a 2.8-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Castellón win	76%
Draw	16%
AD Ceuta FC win	8%
Over 2.5 goals	70%
Both teams to score	52%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.75 – 0.85 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.7%	2.3%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
1	7.5%	6.4%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
2	10.3%	8.8%	3.7%	1.1%	0.2%
3	9.5%	8.1%	3.4%	1.0%	0.2%
4	6.5%	5.5%	2.4%	0.7%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

Castellón winDrawAD Ceuta FC win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Castellón win is the most likely result at 76%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 70%. Both teams to score: yes at 52%.

📊 Key numbers

Castellón 76%Draw 16%AD Ceuta FC 8%

76%16%

76%

Castellón Win

70%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Castellón and AD Ceuta FC. Wins shown from Castellón’s perspective: 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-04	Castellón	1 – 1	AD Ceuta FC	D
2026-05-09	AD Ceuta FC	1 – 1	Castellón	D

📈 Recent form

Castellón

Castellón come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Tenerife. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DCastellón 1-1 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
WLeganes 0-2 CastellónSegunda División
WCastellón 5-0 TenerifeSegunda División
WGirona 1-2 CastellónSegunda División
WCastellón 2-0 AlbaceteSegunda División

AD Ceuta FC

AD Ceuta FC come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Burgos.

DCastellón 1-1 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
DAD Ceuta FC 1-1 ValladolidSegunda División
LBurgos 3-1 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
LMallorca 3-0 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
LAD Ceuta FC 0-2 Las PalmasSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Castellón at 76% to win and AD Ceuta FC at 8%, with the draw at 16%. The bookmaker market makes a Castellón win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Castellón Win	76%	@ 1.22
Draw	15%	@ 6.00
AD Ceuta FC Win	8%	@ 11.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Castellón or Draw at 1.05 (92% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Castellón or Draw	92%	@ 1.05
AD Ceuta FC or Draw	24%	@ 4.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.8-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	@ 1.10
Over 2.5	70%	@ 1.36
Over 3.5	50%	@ 1.83
Under 3.5	50%	@ 1.83
Under 2.5	30%	@ 3.10
Under 1.5	14%	@ 7.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	51%	@ 1.80
BTTS No	49%	@ 1.91

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Castellón or AD Ceuta FC is a clear favourite.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Castellón +0.25	86%	1.10
Castellón 0	85%	1.12
Castellón -0.25	83%	1.15
Castellón -0.5	75%	1.26
Castellón -1	73%	1.31
Castellón -1.25	65%	1.48
Castellón -1.5	58%	1.65
Castellón -1.75	53%	1.79
AD Ceuta FC +2	53%	1.81
Castellón -2	47%	2.04
AD Ceuta FC +1.75	47%	2.06
AD Ceuta FC +1.5	42%	2.27
AD Ceuta FC +1.25	35%	2.69
AD Ceuta FC +1	27%	3.48
AD Ceuta FC +0.5	25%	3.70
AD Ceuta FC +0.25	17%	5.50
AD Ceuta FC 0	15%	6.25
AD Ceuta FC -0.25	14%	6.80

📈 How the market moved

Castellón 77%Draw 15%AD Ceuta FC 8%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Castellón win is the most likely result at 76%.

Who is the favourite for Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC?

Our model makes a Castellón win the most likely result at 76%. It projects an expected 2.8-0.8 scoreline for Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC.

What is the predicted score for Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.75 for Castellón and 0.85 for AD Ceuta FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Castellón and AD Ceuta FC play?

Kick-off is Sunday 04 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.