Croatia

Sat 3 Oct16:00Upcoming

England

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Croatia vs England Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Croatia vs England in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Saturday 03 October 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Croatia face England in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Saturday 03 October 2026, 16:00 UTC. The bookmaker market makes an England win the most likely result at 55%, implying a 1.1-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Croatia vs England with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Croatia win	21%
Draw	24%
England win	55%
Over 2.5 goals	58%
Both teams to score	58%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.10 – 1.90 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.0%	9.5%	9.0%	5.7%	2.7%
1	5.5%	10.4%	9.9%	6.3%	3.0%
2	3.0%	5.7%	5.4%	3.4%	1.6%
3	1.1%	2.1%	2.0%	1.3%	0.6%
4	0.3%	0.6%	0.5%	0.3%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Croatia winDrawEngland win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Croatia vs England. Based on the bookmaker odds, an England win is the most likely result at 55%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 58%. Both teams to score: yes at 58%.

📊 Key numbers

Croatia 21%Draw 24%England 55%

21%24%55%

55%

England Win

58%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Croatia

Croatia come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Czechia. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Spain.

LSpain 4-1 CroatiaUEFA Nations League
WCzechia 1-2 CroatiaUEFA Nations League
WCroatia 2-1 SloveniaFriendlies
LCroatia 0-2 BelgiumFriendlies
LBrazil 3-1 CroatiaFriendlies

England

England come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Costa Rica. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Spain.

WCzechia 0-2 EnglandUEFA Nations League
LEngland 2-3 SpainUEFA Nations League
WEngland 3-0 Costa RicaFriendlies
WEngland 1-0 New ZealandFriendlies
LEngland 0-1 JapanFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Croatia at 21% to win and England at 55%, with the draw at 24%. The bookmaker market makes an England win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
England Win	55%	@ 1.73
Draw	24%	@ 4.00
Croatia Win	21%	@ 4.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is England or Draw at 1.18 (79% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
England or Draw	79%	@ 1.18
Croatia or Draw	45%	@ 2.05

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.1-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	@ 1.18
Under 3.5	62%	@ 1.50
Over 2.5	58%	@ 1.62
Under 2.5	42%	@ 2.25
Over 3.5	38%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	42%	@ 2.20

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Croatia vs England?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an England win is the most likely result at 55%.

Who is the favourite for Croatia vs England?

Our model makes an England win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.9 scoreline for Croatia vs England.

What is the predicted score for Croatia vs England?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.10 for Croatia and 1.90 for England. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Croatia and England play?

Kick-off is Saturday 03 October 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.