KosovoKosovo
Sun 4 Oct1-1Finished
AustriaAustria

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Kosovo vs Austria Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Kosovo vs Austria in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Sunday 04 October 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Result: Kosovo 1-1 Austria

Kosovo vs Austria finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Kosovo face Austria in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Sunday 04 October 2026, 16:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Austria won 1, 1 drawn. The bookmaker market makes an Austria win the most likely result at 45%, implying a 1.1-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Kosovo vs Austria with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Kosovo win 28%
Draw 28%
Austria win 45%
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 56%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.15 – 1.55 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 6.7% 10.4% 8.1% 4.2% 1.6%
1 7.7% 12.0% 9.3% 4.8% 1.9%
2 4.4% 6.9% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1%
3 1.7% 2.6% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Kosovo winDrawAustria win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Kosovo vs Austria. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Austria win is the most likely result at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 51%. Both teams to score: yes at 56%.

📊 Key numbers

Kosovo 28%Draw 28%Austria 45%
28%28%45%
45%
Austria Win
51%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Kosovo and Austria. Wins shown from Kosovo’s perspective: 1 drawn · Austria 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-10-04 Kosovo 1 – 1 Austria D
2026-09-27 Austria 3 – 1 Kosovo L

📈 Recent form

Kosovo

Kosovo come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Andorra. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Austria.

  • DKosovo 1-1 AustriaUEFA Nations League
  • DIsrael 0-0 KosovoUEFA Nations League
  • LAustria 3-1 KosovoUEFA Nations League
  • WKosovo 1-0 Rep. Of IrelandUEFA Nations League
  • WKosovo 3-0 AndorraFriendlies
Austria

Austria come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Kosovo. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • DKosovo 1-1 AustriaUEFA Nations League
  • DRep. Of Ireland 2-2 AustriaUEFA Nations League
  • WAustria 3-1 KosovoUEFA Nations League
  • WAustria 3-1 IsraelUEFA Nations League
  • WAustria 1-0 TunisiaFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Kosovo at 28% to win and Austria at 45%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes an Austria win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Austria Win 45% @ 2.10
Kosovo Win 28% @ 3.40
Draw 28% @ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Austria or Draw at 1.30 (72% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Austria or Draw 72% @ 1.30
Kosovo or Draw 55% @ 1.70

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.1-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 75% @ 1.25
Under 3.5 69% @ 1.36
Over 2.5 51% @ 1.85
Under 2.5 49% @ 1.95
Over 3.5 31% @ 3.00
Under 1.5 25% @ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 56% @ 1.67
BTTS No 44% @ 2.10

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kosovo vs Austria?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Austria win is the most likely result at 45%.

Who is the favourite for Kosovo vs Austria?

Our model makes an Austria win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.6 scoreline for Kosovo vs Austria.

What is the predicted score for Kosovo vs Austria?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Kosovo and 1.55 for Austria. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Kosovo and Austria play?

Kick-off is Sunday 04 October 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.