Rep. Of Ireland
Israel⚽ UEFA Nations League
Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Sunday 04 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Result: Rep. Of Ireland 1-1 Israel
Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Rep. Of Ireland face Israel in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Sunday 04 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Rep. Of Ireland won 1, 1 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Rep. Of Ireland win the most likely result at 44%, implying a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| Rep. Of Ireland win | 44% |
| Draw | 28% |
| Israel win | 28% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.6% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 8.5% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Rep. Of Ireland win is the most likely result at 44%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 50%.
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Rep. Of Ireland and Israel. Wins shown from Rep. Of Ireland’s perspective: Rep. Of Ireland 1 · 1 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Rep. Of Ireland | 1 – 1 | Israel | D |
| 2026-09-27 | Israel | 0 – 3 | Rep. Of Ireland | W |
📈 Recent form
Rep. Of Ireland come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Israel. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Kosovo.
- DRep. Of Ireland 1-1 IsraelUEFA Nations League
- DRep. Of Ireland 2-2 AustriaUEFA Nations League
- WIsrael 0-3 Rep. Of IrelandUEFA Nations League
- LKosovo 1-0 Rep. Of IrelandUEFA Nations League
- DCanada 1-1 Rep. Of IrelandFriendlies
Israel come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Albania. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Rep. Of Ireland.
- DRep. Of Ireland 1-1 IsraelUEFA Nations League
- DIsrael 0-0 KosovoUEFA Nations League
- LIsrael 0-3 Rep. Of IrelandUEFA Nations League
- LAustria 3-1 IsraelUEFA Nations League
- WAlbania 0-1 IsraelFriendlies
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Rep. Of Ireland at 44% to win and Israel at 28%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes a Rep. Of Ireland win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rep. Of Ireland Win | 44% | @ 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | @ 3.30 |
| Israel Win | 28% | @ 3.40 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Rep. Of Ireland or Draw at 1.28 (72% market).
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rep. Of Ireland or Draw | 72% | @ 1.28 |
| Israel or Draw | 56% | @ 1.73 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 75% | @ 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | @ 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | @ 2.08 |
| Under 1.5 | 29% | @ 3.25 |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | @ 3.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 50%.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 50% | @ 1.83 |
| BTTS No | 50% | @ 1.83 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Rep. Of Ireland win is the most likely result at 44%.
Who is the favourite for Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel?
Our model makes a Rep. Of Ireland win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel.
What is the predicted score for Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.40 for Rep. Of Ireland and 1.05 for Israel. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Rep. Of Ireland and Israel play?
Kick-off is Sunday 04 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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