Montpellier
Grenoble⚽ Ligue 2
Montpellier vs Grenoble Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Montpellier vs Grenoble in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 09 October 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Result: Montpellier 2-0 Grenoble
Montpellier vs Grenoble finished 2-0. Montpellier won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Montpellier face Grenoble in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 09 October 2026, 18:00 UTC. Recent form: Montpellier have 2 wins from their last 5, while Grenoble have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Montpellier won 2. The bookmaker market makes a Montpellier win the most likely result at 58%, implying a 1.7-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Montpellier vs Grenoble with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| Montpellier win | 58% |
| Draw | 26% |
| Grenoble win | 16% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.2% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.0% | 11.2% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 11.9% | 9.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Montpellier vs Grenoble. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Montpellier win is the most likely result at 58%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 54%. Both teams to score: no at 54%.
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Montpellier and Grenoble. Wins shown from Montpellier’s perspective: Montpellier 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Montpellier | 2 – 0 | Grenoble | W |
| 2026-04-17 | Montpellier | 2 – 1 | Grenoble | W |
📈 Recent form
Montpellier come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Grenoble. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Saint Etienne.
- WMontpellier 2-0 GrenobleLigue 2
- DReims 1-1 MontpellierLigue 2
- WMontpellier 1-0 PAULigue 2
- LSaint Etienne 3-1 MontpellierLigue 2
- DMontpellier 0-0 BoulogneLigue 2
Grenoble come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Rodez. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Montpellier.
- LMontpellier 2-0 GrenobleLigue 2
- DGrenoble 0-0 Stade Lausanne-OuchyFriendlies Clubs
- DGrenoble 1-1 Clermont FootLigue 2
- WRodez 0-1 GrenobleLigue 2
- LGrenoble 1-2 AnnecyLigue 2
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Montpellier at 58% to win and Grenoble at 16%, with the draw at 26%. The bookmaker market makes a Montpellier win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Montpellier Win | 58% | @ 1.55 |
| Draw | 26% | @ 3.50 |
| Grenoble Win | 16% | @ 5.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Montpellier or Draw at 1.12 (84% market).
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Montpellier or Draw | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Grenoble or Draw | 42% | @ 2.25 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.7-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 73% | @ 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | @ 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | @ 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | @ 2.05 |
| Under 1.5 | 28% | @ 3.40 |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | @ 3.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 54% | @ 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 46% | @ 2.00 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Montpellier or Grenoble is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Montpellier +0.5 | 83% | 1.14 |
| Montpellier +0.25 | 81% | 1.18 |
| Grenoble +2 | 79% | 1.20 |
| Montpellier 0 | 78% | 1.22 |
| Grenoble +1.75 | 72% | 1.32 |
| Montpellier -0.25 | 67% | 1.41 |
| Grenoble +1.5 | 65% | 1.45 |
| Grenoble +1.25 | 60% | 1.57 |
| Montpellier -0.5 | 60% | 1.61 |
| Grenoble +1 | 54% | 1.76 |
| Montpellier -0.75 | 54% | 1.77 |
| Grenoble +0.75 | 46% | 2.07 |
| Montpellier -1 | 46% | 2.08 |
| Grenoble +0.5 | 40% | 2.39 |
| Montpellier -1.25 | 40% | 2.41 |
| Montpellier -1.5 | 35% | 2.75 |
| Grenoble +0.25 | 33% | 2.92 |
| Montpellier -1.75 | 28% | 3.40 |
| Grenoble 0 | 22% | 4.32 |
| Montpellier -2 | 21% | 4.57 |
| Grenoble -0.25 | 19% | 5.01 |
| Grenoble -0.5 | 17% | 5.75 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Montpellier vs Grenoble?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Montpellier win is the most likely result at 58%.
Who is the favourite for Montpellier vs Grenoble?
Our model makes a Montpellier win the most likely result at 58%. It projects an expected 1.7-0.8 scoreline for Montpellier vs Grenoble.
What is the predicted score for Montpellier vs Grenoble?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.70 for Montpellier and 0.80 for Grenoble. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Montpellier and Grenoble play?
Kick-off is Friday 09 October 2026, 18:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
