1. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg
Sat 10 Oct4-4Finished
VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg

⚽ 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg in the 2. Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Result: 1. FC Nürnberg 4-4 VfL Wolfsburg

1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg finished 4-4. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

1. FC Nürnberg face VfL Wolfsburg in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: 1. FC Nürnberg have 4 wins from their last 5, while VfL Wolfsburg have 3 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a 1. FC Nürnberg win the most likely result at 38%, implying a 1.8-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
1. FC Nürnberg win 38%
Draw 24%
VfL Wolfsburg win 38%
Over 2.5 goals 67%
Both teams to score 69%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.75 – 1.75 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 3.0% 5.3% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2%
1 5.3% 9.2% 8.1% 4.7% 2.1%
2 4.6% 8.1% 7.1% 4.1% 1.8%
3 2.7% 4.7% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1%
4 1.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5%
Projected score: 1-1
1. FC Nürnberg winDrawVfL Wolfsburg win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg. Based on the bookmaker odds, a 1. FC Nürnberg win is the most likely result at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 67%. Both teams to score: yes at 69%.

📊 Key numbers

1. FC Nürnberg 38%Draw 24%VfL Wolfsburg 38%
38%24%38%
38%
1. FC Nürnberg Win
67%
Over 2.5 goals
69%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

1. FC Nürnberg

1. FC Nürnberg come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to FC Ingolstadt 04. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • D1. FC Nürnberg 4-4 VfL Wolfsburg2. Bundesliga
  • W1. FC Nürnberg 3-1 FC Ingolstadt 04Friendlies Clubs
  • WKarlsruher SC 0-1 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
  • W1. FC Nürnberg 2-1 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
  • DHolstein Kiel 2-2 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 17 and conceding 11. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to SV Darmstadt 98. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at FC St. Pauli.

  • D1. FC Nürnberg 4-4 VfL Wolfsburg2. Bundesliga
  • WVfL Wolfsburg 4-1 HavelseFriendlies Clubs
  • WVfL Wolfsburg 5-1 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
  • LFC St. Pauli 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg2. Bundesliga
  • DVfL Wolfsburg 4-4 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices 1. FC Nürnberg at 38% to win and VfL Wolfsburg at 38%, with the draw at 24%. The bookmaker market makes a 1. FC Nürnberg win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
1. FC Nürnberg Win 38% @ 2.45
VfL Wolfsburg Win 38% @ 2.45
Draw 24% @ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is 1. FC Nürnberg or Draw at 1.53 (62% market).

Selection Market % Odds
1. FC Nürnberg or Draw 62% @ 1.53
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw 62% @ 1.53

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.8-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 85% @ 1.11
Over 2.5 67% @ 1.40
Under 3.5 51% @ 1.80
Over 3.5 49% @ 1.91
Under 2.5 33% @ 2.88
Under 1.5 15% @ 6.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 69%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 69% @ 1.36
BTTS No 31% @ 3.00

📈 How the market moved

21%31%42%10/0510/0610/0710/0810/0910/10

1. FC Nürnberg 38%Draw 25%VfL Wolfsburg 37%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a 1. FC Nürnberg win is the most likely result at 38%.

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg?

Our model makes a 1. FC Nürnberg win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.8 scoreline for 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg.

What is the predicted score for 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.75 for 1. FC Nürnberg and 1.75 for VfL Wolfsburg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do 1. FC Nürnberg and VfL Wolfsburg play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.