FakelFakel
Sat 10 Oct0-5Finished
LokomotivLokomotiv

⚽ Premier League

Fakel vs Lokomotiv Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fakel vs Lokomotiv in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 12:15 UTC.

Result: Fakel 0-5 Lokomotiv

Fakel vs Lokomotiv finished 0-5. Lokomotiv won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Fakel face Lokomotiv in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 12:15 UTC. Recent form: Fakel have no wins from their last 5, while Lokomotiv have 1 win from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Lokomotiv win the most likely result at 38%, implying a 1.1-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fakel vs Lokomotiv with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Fakel win 33%
Draw 29%
Lokomotiv win 38%
Over 2.5 goals 44%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.15 – 1.25 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 9.1% 11.3% 7.1% 3.0% 0.9%
1 10.4% 13.0% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1%
2 6.0% 7.5% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6%
3 2.3% 2.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Fakel winDrawLokomotiv win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Fakel vs Lokomotiv. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Lokomotiv win is the most likely result at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 56%.

📊 Key numbers

Fakel 33%Draw 29%Lokomotiv 38%
33%29%38%
38%
Lokomotiv Win
56%
Under 2.5 goals

📈 Recent form

Fakel

Fakel come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to FC Vitebsk. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at home to Lokomotiv.

  • LFakel 0-5 LokomotivPremier League
  • WFakel 1-0 FC VitebskFriendlies Clubs
  • LSpartak Moscow 1-0 FakelPremier League
  • DFakel 2-2 BaltikaPremier League
  • LFC Rostov 3-1 FakelPremier League
Lokomotiv

Lokomotiv come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at Fakel. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Zenit.

  • WFakel 0-5 LokomotivPremier League
  • WLokomotiv 2-0 FC OrenburgFriendlies Clubs
  • DLokomotiv 1-1 Krylia SovetovPremier League
  • LZenit 2-1 LokomotivPremier League
  • WBaltika 0-1 LokomotivPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 2 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Fakel
  • M. BardachevSuspended (red card)
Lokomotiv
  • A. SilyanovNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Fakel at 33% to win and Lokomotiv at 38%, with the draw at 29%. The bookmaker market makes a Lokomotiv win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Lokomotiv Win 38% @ 2.54
Fakel Win 33% @ 2.97
Draw 29% @ 3.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.1-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Under 3.5 76% @ 1.26
Over 1.5 70% @ 1.37
Under 2.5 57% @ 1.70
Over 2.5 43% @ 2.21
Under 1.5 30% @ 3.17
Over 3.5 24% @ 4.04

📈 How the market moved

25%34%42%10/0510/0610/0710/0810/0910/10

Fakel 33%Draw 29%Lokomotiv 38%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fakel vs Lokomotiv?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Lokomotiv win is the most likely result at 38%.

Who is the favourite for Fakel vs Lokomotiv?

Our model makes a Lokomotiv win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.2 scoreline for Fakel vs Lokomotiv.

What is the predicted score for Fakel vs Lokomotiv?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Fakel and 1.25 for Lokomotiv. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Fakel and Lokomotiv play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 12:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.