Empoli

Sat 10 Oct2-4Finished

Palermo

⚽ Serie B

Empoli vs Palermo Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Empoli vs Palermo in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Empoli 2-4 Palermo

Empoli vs Palermo finished 2-4. Palermo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Empoli face Palermo in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Empoli have 2 wins from their last 5, while Palermo have 4 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Palermo win the most likely result at 48%, implying a 1.1-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Empoli vs Palermo with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Empoli win	26%
Draw	26%
Palermo win	48%
Over 2.5 goals	53%
Both teams to score	55%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.15 – 1.65 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	10.0%	8.3%	4.6%	1.9%
1	7.0%	11.5%	9.5%	5.2%	2.2%
2	4.0%	6.6%	5.5%	3.0%	1.2%
3	1.5%	2.5%	2.1%	1.2%	0.5%
4	0.4%	0.7%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Empoli winDrawPalermo win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Empoli vs Palermo. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Palermo win is the most likely result at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 53%. Both teams to score: yes at 55%.

📊 Key numbers

Empoli 26%Draw 26%Palermo 48%

26%26%48%

48%

Palermo Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Empoli

Empoli come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Carrarese. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at home to Palermo.

LEmpoli 2-4 PalermoSerie B
LModena 2-1 EmpoliSerie B
LEmpoli 0-1 ArezzoSerie B
WCarrarese 0-1 EmpoliSerie B
LMantova 3-1 EmpoliSerie B

Palermo

Palermo come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Mantova. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WEmpoli 2-4 PalermoSerie B
WPalermo 2-1 PadovaSerie B
DAvellino 1-1 PalermoSerie B
WPalermo 3-1 SampdoriaSerie B
WPalermo 5-2 MantovaCoppa Italia

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Empoli at 26% to win and Palermo at 48%, with the draw at 26%. The bookmaker market makes a Palermo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Palermo Win	48%	@ 1.95
Empoli Win	26%	@ 3.60
Draw	26%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Palermo or Draw at 1.25 (74% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Palermo or Draw	74%	@ 1.25
Empoli or Draw	52%	@ 1.83

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.1-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	@ 1.22
Under 3.5	69%	@ 1.36
Over 2.5	53%	@ 1.80
Under 2.5	47%	@ 2.00
Over 3.5	31%	@ 3.00
Under 1.5	23%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	55%	@ 1.70
BTTS No	45%	@ 2.05

📈 How the market moved

Empoli 25%Draw 27%Palermo 49%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Empoli vs Palermo?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Palermo win is the most likely result at 48%.

Who is the favourite for Empoli vs Palermo?

Our model makes a Palermo win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.6 scoreline for Empoli vs Palermo.

What is the predicted score for Empoli vs Palermo?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Empoli and 1.65 for Palermo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Empoli and Palermo play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.