Mallorca

Sun 11 Oct3-1Finished

Las Palmas

⚽ Segunda División

Mallorca vs Las Palmas Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Mallorca vs Las Palmas in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Mallorca 3-1 Las Palmas

Mallorca vs Las Palmas finished 3-1. Mallorca won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Mallorca face Las Palmas in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Mallorca have 2 wins from their last 5, while Las Palmas have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Mallorca won 4, 1 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Mallorca win the most likely result at 58%, implying a 1.9-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Mallorca vs Las Palmas with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Mallorca win	58%
Draw	25%
Las Palmas win	17%
Over 2.5 goals	53%
Both teams to score	52%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.85 – 0.90 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.4%	5.8%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
1	11.8%	10.6%	4.8%	1.4%	0.3%
2	10.9%	9.8%	4.4%	1.3%	0.3%
3	6.7%	6.1%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
4	3.1%	2.8%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Mallorca winDrawLas Palmas win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Mallorca vs Las Palmas. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Mallorca win is the most likely result at 58%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 53%. Both teams to score: yes at 52%.

📊 Key numbers

Mallorca 58%Draw 25%Las Palmas 17%

58%25%17%

58%

Mallorca Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Mallorca and Las Palmas. Wins shown from Mallorca’s perspective: Mallorca 4 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-11	Mallorca	3 – 1	Las Palmas	W
2025-02-16	Mallorca	3 – 1	Las Palmas	W
2024-11-23	Las Palmas	2 – 3	Mallorca	W
2024-05-11	Mallorca	1 – 0	Las Palmas	W
2023-08-12	Las Palmas	1 – 1	Mallorca	D

📈 Recent form

Mallorca

Mallorca come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Las Palmas. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Almeria.

WMallorca 3-1 Las PalmasSegunda División
DGirona 0-0 MallorcaSegunda División
LMallorca 0-1 AlmeriaSegunda División
WMallorca 2-0 SabadellSegunda División
DEldense 0-0 MallorcaSegunda División

Las Palmas

Las Palmas come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Cadiz. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Mallorca.

LMallorca 3-1 Las PalmasSegunda División
DLas Palmas 2-2 ValladolidSegunda División
LEibar 3-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
LLas Palmas 1-2 BurgosSegunda División
WCadiz 0-1 Las PalmasSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Mallorca at 58% to win and Las Palmas at 17%, with the draw at 25%. The bookmaker market makes a Mallorca win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Mallorca Win	58%	@ 1.60
Draw	25%	@ 3.75
Las Palmas Win	17%	@ 5.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Mallorca or Draw at 1.14 (83% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Mallorca or Draw	83%	@ 1.14
Las Palmas or Draw	42%	@ 2.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.9-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	@ 1.25
Under 3.5	69%	@ 1.36
Over 2.5	53%	@ 1.80
Under 2.5	47%	@ 2.00
Over 3.5	31%	@ 3.00
Under 1.5	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	51%	@ 1.80
BTTS No	49%	@ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

Mallorca 61%Draw 22%Las Palmas 17%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mallorca vs Las Palmas?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Mallorca win is the most likely result at 58%.

Who is the favourite for Mallorca vs Las Palmas?

Our model makes a Mallorca win the most likely result at 58%. It projects an expected 1.9-0.9 scoreline for Mallorca vs Las Palmas.

What is the predicted score for Mallorca vs Las Palmas?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.85 for Mallorca and 0.90 for Las Palmas. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Mallorca and Las Palmas play?

Kick-off is Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.