Malta

Sun 4 Oct1-0Finished

Andorra

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Malta vs Andorra Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Malta vs Andorra in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Sunday 04 October 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Malta 1-0 Andorra

Malta vs Andorra finished 1-0. Malta won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Malta face Andorra in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Sunday 04 October 2026, 16:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Malta won 2. The bookmaker market makes a Malta win the most likely result at 56%, implying a 1.5-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Malta vs Andorra with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Malta win	56%
Draw	29%
Andorra win	16%
Over 2.5 goals	38%
Both teams to score	38%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.50 – 0.70 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.1%	7.8%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%
1	16.6%	11.6%	4.1%	1.0%	0.2%
2	12.5%	8.7%	3.1%	0.7%	0.1%
3	6.2%	4.4%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
4	2.3%	1.6%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Malta winDrawAndorra win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Malta vs Andorra. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Malta win is the most likely result at 56%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams to score: no at 62%.

📊 Key numbers

Malta 56%Draw 29%Andorra 16%

56%29%16%

56%

Malta Win

62%

Under 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Malta and Andorra. Wins shown from Malta’s perspective: Malta 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-04	Malta	1 – 0	Andorra	W
2026-09-24	Andorra	1 – 2	Malta	W

📈 Recent form

Malta

Malta come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Liechtenstein. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WMalta 1-0 AndorraUEFA Nations League
DMalta 1-1 GibraltarUEFA Nations League
WMalta 2-0 LiechtensteinFriendlies
WAndorra 1-2 MaltaUEFA Nations League
WAzerbaijan 0-2 MaltaFriendlies

Andorra

Andorra come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 1 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Malta.

LMalta 1-0 AndorraUEFA Nations League
LLithuania 3-0 AndorraFriendlies
DGibraltar 0-0 AndorraUEFA Nations League
LAndorra 1-2 MaltaUEFA Nations League
LKosovo 3-0 AndorraFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Malta at 56% to win and Andorra at 16%, with the draw at 29%. The bookmaker market makes a Malta win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Malta Win	56%	@ 1.67
Draw	29%	@ 3.25
Andorra Win	16%	@ 6.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Malta or Draw at 1.11 (84% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Malta or Draw	84%	@ 1.11
Andorra or Draw	44%	@ 2.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.5-0.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	79%	@ 1.17
Over 1.5	62%	@ 1.50
Under 2.5	62%	@ 1.50
Under 1.5	38%	@ 2.50
Over 2.5	38%	@ 2.50
Over 3.5	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 62%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS Yes	38%	@ 2.50

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Malta vs Andorra?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Malta win is the most likely result at 56%.

Who is the favourite for Malta vs Andorra?

Our model makes a Malta win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 1.5-0.7 scoreline for Malta vs Andorra.

What is the predicted score for Malta vs Andorra?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.50 for Malta and 0.70 for Andorra. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Malta and Andorra play?

Kick-off is Sunday 04 October 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.