OviedoOviedo
Mon 12 Oct16:30Upcoming
EibarEibar

⚽ Segunda División

Oviedo vs Eibar Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Oviedo vs Eibar in the Segunda División. Kick-off Monday 12 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Oviedo face Eibar in the Segunda División, kicking off Monday 12 October 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Oviedo have 2 wins from their last 5, while Eibar have 5 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes an Oviedo win the most likely result at 42%, implying a 1.3-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Oviedo vs Eibar with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Oviedo win 42%
Draw 30%
Eibar win 28%
Over 2.5 goals 42%
Both teams to score 50%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.30 – 1.05 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 9.5% 10.0% 5.3% 1.8% 0.5%
1 12.4% 13.0% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6%
2 8.1% 8.5% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4%
3 3.5% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Oviedo winDrawEibar win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Oviedo vs Eibar. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Oviedo win is the most likely result at 42%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 58%. Both teams to score: yes at 50%.

📊 Key numbers

Oviedo 42%Draw 30%Eibar 28%
42%30%28%
42%
Oviedo Win
58%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Oviedo

Oviedo come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Valladolid. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Eldense.

  • LEldense 4-1 OviedoSegunda División
  • WOviedo 2-0 Sporting GijonSegunda División
  • LSabadell 3-1 OviedoSegunda División
  • WValladolid 0-3 OviedoSegunda División
  • DOviedo 0-0 BurgosSegunda División
Eibar

Eibar come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Granada CF. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WAlbacete 1-3 EibarSegunda División
  • WEibar 3-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
  • WEldense 1-2 EibarSegunda División
  • WEibar 3-0 Granada CFSegunda División
  • WFC Andorra 0-1 EibarSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Oviedo at 42% to win and Eibar at 28%, with the draw at 30%. The bookmaker market makes an Oviedo win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Oviedo Win 42% @ 2.25
Draw 30% @ 3.10
Eibar Win 28% @ 3.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Oviedo or Draw at 1.33 (72% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Oviedo or Draw 72% @ 1.33
Eibar or Draw 58% @ 1.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Under 3.5 77% @ 1.22
Over 1.5 69% @ 1.36
Under 2.5 58% @ 1.62
Over 2.5 42% @ 2.25
Under 1.5 31% @ 3.00
Over 3.5 23% @ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 50% @ 1.83
BTTS No 50% @ 1.83

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Oviedo or Eibar is a clear favourite.

Selection Market % Odds
Oviedo +1.25 86% 1.10
Oviedo +1 85% 1.12
Eibar +1.75 84% 1.12
Eibar +1.5 79% 1.19
Oviedo +0.5 72% 1.32
Oviedo +0.25 67% 1.43
Eibar +0.75 65% 1.46
Oviedo 0 60% 1.60
Eibar +0.5 58% 1.64
Eibar +0.25 51% 1.89
Oviedo -0.25 49% 1.96
Oviedo -0.5 42% 2.29
Eibar 0 40% 2.37
Oviedo -0.75 35% 2.75
Eibar -0.25 33% 2.86
Eibar -0.5 28% 3.38
Oviedo -1.5 21% 4.50
Oviedo -1.75 16% 6.00
Eibar -1 15% 6.25
Eibar -1.25 14% 6.80

📈 How the market moved

23%35%48%10/0710/0810/0910/1010/1110/12

Oviedo 42%Draw 31%Eibar 28%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oviedo vs Eibar?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Oviedo win is the most likely result at 42%.

Who is the favourite for Oviedo vs Eibar?

Our model makes an Oviedo win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline for Oviedo vs Eibar.

What is the predicted score for Oviedo vs Eibar?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.30 for Oviedo and 1.05 for Eibar. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Oviedo and Eibar play?

Kick-off is Monday 12 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.