Oviedo
Eibar⚽ Segunda División
Oviedo vs Eibar Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Oviedo vs Eibar in the Segunda División. Kick-off Monday 12 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.
Oviedo face Eibar in the Segunda División, kicking off Monday 12 October 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Oviedo have 2 wins from their last 5, while Eibar have 5 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes an Oviedo win the most likely result at 42%, implying a 1.3-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Oviedo vs Eibar with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 42% |
| Draw | 30% |
| Eibar win | 28% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.5% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 8.1% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Oviedo vs Eibar. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Oviedo win is the most likely result at 42%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 58%. Both teams to score: yes at 50%.
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Oviedo come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Valladolid. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Eldense.
- LEldense 4-1 OviedoSegunda División
- WOviedo 2-0 Sporting GijonSegunda División
- LSabadell 3-1 OviedoSegunda División
- WValladolid 0-3 OviedoSegunda División
- DOviedo 0-0 BurgosSegunda División
Eibar come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Granada CF. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WAlbacete 1-3 EibarSegunda División
- WEibar 3-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
- WEldense 1-2 EibarSegunda División
- WEibar 3-0 Granada CFSegunda División
- WFC Andorra 0-1 EibarSegunda División
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Oviedo at 42% to win and Eibar at 28%, with the draw at 30%. The bookmaker market makes an Oviedo win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo Win | 42% | @ 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| Eibar Win | 28% | @ 3.30 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Oviedo or Draw at 1.33 (72% market).
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo or Draw | 72% | @ 1.33 |
| Eibar or Draw | 58% | @ 1.62 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 77% | @ 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | @ 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | @ 2.25 |
| Under 1.5 | 31% | @ 3.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | @ 4.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 50%.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 50% | @ 1.83 |
| BTTS No | 50% | @ 1.83 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Oviedo or Eibar is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo +1.25 | 86% | 1.10 |
| Oviedo +1 | 85% | 1.12 |
| Eibar +1.75 | 84% | 1.12 |
| Eibar +1.5 | 79% | 1.19 |
| Oviedo +0.5 | 72% | 1.32 |
| Oviedo +0.25 | 67% | 1.43 |
| Eibar +0.75 | 65% | 1.46 |
| Oviedo 0 | 60% | 1.60 |
| Eibar +0.5 | 58% | 1.64 |
| Eibar +0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Oviedo -0.25 | 49% | 1.96 |
| Oviedo -0.5 | 42% | 2.29 |
| Eibar 0 | 40% | 2.37 |
| Oviedo -0.75 | 35% | 2.75 |
| Eibar -0.25 | 33% | 2.86 |
| Eibar -0.5 | 28% | 3.38 |
| Oviedo -1.5 | 21% | 4.50 |
| Oviedo -1.75 | 16% | 6.00 |
| Eibar -1 | 15% | 6.25 |
| Eibar -1.25 | 14% | 6.80 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Oviedo vs Eibar?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Oviedo win is the most likely result at 42%.
Who is the favourite for Oviedo vs Eibar?
Our model makes an Oviedo win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline for Oviedo vs Eibar.
What is the predicted score for Oviedo vs Eibar?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.30 for Oviedo and 1.05 for Eibar. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Oviedo and Eibar play?
Kick-off is Monday 12 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
