DijonDijon
Mon 12 Oct18:45Upcoming
MetzMetz

โšฝ Ligue 2

Dijon vs Metz Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Dijon vs Metz in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Monday 12 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Dijon face Metz in the Ligue 2, kicking off Monday 12 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Dijon have 2 wins from their last 5, while Metz have 1 win from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Metz win the most likely result at 38%, implying a 1.4-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Dijon vs Metz with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Dijon win 34%
Draw 28%
Metz win 38%
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%

๐ŸŽฏ Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.40 – 1.45 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 5.8% 8.4% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
1 8.1% 11.7% 8.5% 4.1% 1.5%
2 5.7% 8.2% 6.0% 2.9% 1.0%
3 2.6% 3.8% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
4 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Dijon winDrawMetz win

๐Ÿง  Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Dijon vs Metz. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Metz win is the most likely result at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 59%.

๐Ÿ“Š Key numbers

Dijon 34%Draw 28%Metz 38%
34%28%38%
38%
Metz Win
55%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
BTTS yes

๐Ÿ“ˆ Recent form

Dijon

Dijon come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Annecy. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Saint Etienne.

  • WAnnecy 1-2 DijonLigue 2
  • WDijon 3-2 LavalLigue 2
  • DBoulogne 1-1 DijonLigue 2
  • LDijon 2-3 Saint EtienneLigue 2
  • DClermont Foot 1-1 DijonLigue 2
Metz

Metz come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Rodez. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at RED Star FC 93.

  • DMetz 2-2 Saint EtienneLigue 2
  • LRED Star FC 93 1-0 MetzLigue 2
  • WMetz 4-1 RodezLigue 2
  • DAnnecy 1-1 MetzLigue 2
  • DMetz 1-1 LavalLigue 2

โšฝ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Dijon at 34% to win and Metz at 38%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes a Metz win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Metz Win 38% @ 2.38
Dijon Win 34% @ 2.60
Draw 28% @ 3.20

๐Ÿ”€ Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Metz or Draw at 1.44 (66% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Metz or Draw 66% @ 1.44
Dijon or Draw 62% @ 1.50

๐Ÿ“ˆ Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.4-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 78% @ 1.20
Under 3.5 65% @ 1.44
Over 2.5 55% @ 1.70
Under 2.5 45% @ 2.10
Over 3.5 35% @ 2.62
Under 1.5 22% @ 4.33

๐Ÿฅ… Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 59% @ 1.57
BTTS No 41% @ 2.25

โš–๏ธ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Dijon or Metz is a clear favourite.

Selection Market % Odds
Metz +1.75 86% 1.10
Dijon +1.75 84% 1.12
Metz +1.5 83% 1.15
Metz +1.25 81% 1.17
Dijon +1.5 79% 1.19
Dijon +1.25 77% 1.22
Dijon +1 75% 1.26
Metz +0.75 72% 1.32
Dijon +0.75 67% 1.41
Metz +0.5 66% 1.45
Dijon +0.5 61% 1.57
Metz +0.25 60% 1.58
Dijon +0.25 55% 1.75
Metz 0 54% 1.78
Dijon 0 46% 2.06
Metz -0.25 45% 2.10
Dijon -0.25 40% 2.41
Metz -0.5 39% 2.40
Dijon -0.5 34% 2.75
Metz -0.75 33% 2.88
Dijon -0.75 28% 3.40
Metz -1 25% 3.81
Metz -1.25 23% 4.15
Metz -1.5 21% 4.50
Dijon -1.25 19% 5.00
Dijon -1.5 17% 5.50
Metz -1.75 16% 6.00
Dijon -1.75 14% 7.00

๐Ÿ“ˆ How the market moved

23%33%43%10/0710/0810/0910/1010/1110/12

Dijon 34%Draw 28%Metz 38%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

โ“ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dijon vs Metz?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Metz win is the most likely result at 38%.

Who is the favourite for Dijon vs Metz?

Our model makes a Metz win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.4 scoreline for Dijon vs Metz.

What is the predicted score for Dijon vs Metz?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.40 for Dijon and 1.45 for Metz. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Dijon and Metz play?

Kick-off is Monday 12 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.