Ascoli

Sat 17 Oct1-1Finished

Empoli

⚽ Serie B

Ascoli vs Empoli Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Ascoli vs Empoli in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Ascoli 1-1 Empoli

Ascoli vs Empoli finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Ascoli face Empoli in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Ascoli have 2 wins from their last 5, while Empoli have 1 win from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes an Ascoli win the most likely result at 49%, implying a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Ascoli vs Empoli with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Ascoli win	49%
Draw	28%
Empoli win	23%
Over 2.5 goals	50%
Both teams to score	53%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.60 – 1.05 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	7.4%	3.9%	1.4%	0.4%
1	11.3%	11.9%	6.2%	2.2%	0.6%
2	9.0%	9.5%	5.0%	1.7%	0.5%
3	4.8%	5.1%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.9%	2.0%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Ascoli winDrawEmpoli win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Ascoli vs Empoli. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Ascoli win is the most likely result at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 50%. Both teams to score: yes at 53%.

📊 Key numbers

Ascoli 49%Draw 28%Empoli 23%

49%28%23%

49%

Ascoli Win

50%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Ascoli

Ascoli come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Avellino. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Padova.

DAscoli 1-1 EmpoliSerie B
DSudtirol 0-0 AscoliSerie B
WAscoli 3-1 AvellinoSerie B
LPadova 1-0 AscoliSerie B
WAscoli 1-0 BeneventoSerie B

Empoli

Empoli come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Carrarese. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at home to Palermo.

DAscoli 1-1 EmpoliSerie B
LEmpoli 2-4 PalermoSerie B
LModena 2-1 EmpoliSerie B
LEmpoli 0-1 ArezzoSerie B
WCarrarese 0-1 EmpoliSerie B

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Ascoli at 49% to win and Empoli at 23%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes an Ascoli win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Ascoli Win	49%	@ 1.85
Draw	28%	@ 3.30
Empoli Win	23%	@ 4.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Ascoli or Draw at 1.22 (77% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Ascoli or Draw	77%	@ 1.22
Empoli or Draw	51%	@ 1.91

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	@ 1.25
Under 3.5	71%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	50%	@ 1.90
Under 2.5	50%	@ 1.90
Over 3.5	29%	@ 3.25
Under 1.5	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	@ 1.75
BTTS No	47%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Ascoli 50%Draw 28%Empoli 22%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ascoli vs Empoli?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Ascoli win is the most likely result at 49%.

Who is the favourite for Ascoli vs Empoli?

Our model makes an Ascoli win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for Ascoli vs Empoli.

What is the predicted score for Ascoli vs Empoli?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.60 for Ascoli and 1.05 for Empoli. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Ascoli and Empoli play?

Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.