Metz

Sat 17 Oct3-2Finished

Sochaux

⚽ Ligue 2

Metz vs Sochaux Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Metz vs Sochaux in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 12:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Metz 3-2 Sochaux

Metz vs Sochaux finished 3-2. Metz won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Metz face Sochaux in the Ligue 2, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 12:00 UTC. Recent form: Metz have 1 win from their last 5, while Sochaux have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Metz won 2. The bookmaker market makes a Metz win the most likely result at 51%, implying a 1.6-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Metz vs Sochaux with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Metz win	51%
Draw	28%
Sochaux win	21%
Over 2.5 goals	49%
Both teams to score	50%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.65 – 1.00 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	7.1%	3.5%	1.2%	0.3%
1	11.7%	11.7%	5.8%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.6%	9.6%	4.8%	1.6%	0.4%
3	5.3%	5.3%	2.6%	0.9%	0.2%
4	2.2%	2.2%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Metz winDrawSochaux win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Metz vs Sochaux. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Metz win is the most likely result at 51%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 51%. Both teams to score: yes at 50%.

📊 Key numbers

Metz 51%Draw 28%Sochaux 21%

51%28%21%

51%

Metz Win

51%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Metz and Sochaux. Wins shown from Metz’s perspective: Metz 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-17	Metz	3 – 2	Sochaux	W
2026-07-22	Metz	4 – 1	Sochaux	W

📈 Recent form

Metz

Metz come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Rodez. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at Dijon.

WMetz 3-2 SochauxLigue 2
LDijon 4-2 MetzLigue 2
DMetz 2-2 Saint EtienneLigue 2
LRED Star FC 93 1-0 MetzLigue 2
WMetz 4-1 RodezLigue 2

Sochaux

Sochaux come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Nantes. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Metz.

LMetz 3-2 SochauxLigue 2
DSochaux 1-1 BoulogneLigue 2
DLaval 1-1 SochauxLigue 2
WSochaux 1-0 NantesLigue 2
DPAU 1-1 SochauxLigue 2

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Metz at 51% to win and Sochaux at 21%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes a Metz win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Metz Win	51%	@ 1.75
Draw	28%	@ 3.20
Sochaux Win	21%	@ 4.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Metz or Draw at 1.20 (79% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Metz or Draw	79%	@ 1.20
Sochaux or Draw	49%	@ 1.91

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.6-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	73%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	71%	@ 1.33
Under 2.5	51%	@ 1.85
Over 2.5	49%	@ 1.95
Over 3.5	29%	@ 3.25
Under 1.5	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	50%	@ 1.83
BTTS No	50%	@ 1.83

📈 How the market moved

Metz 53%Draw 26%Sochaux 21%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Metz vs Sochaux?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Metz win is the most likely result at 51%.

Who is the favourite for Metz vs Sochaux?

Our model makes a Metz win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.0 scoreline for Metz vs Sochaux.

What is the predicted score for Metz vs Sochaux?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.65 for Metz and 1.00 for Sochaux. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Metz and Sochaux play?

Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 12:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.