Carrarese

Sat 17 Oct2-1Finished

Modena

⚽ Serie B

Carrarese vs Modena Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Carrarese vs Modena in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Carrarese 2-1 Modena

Carrarese vs Modena finished 2-1. Carrarese won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Carrarese face Modena in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Carrarese have 1 win from their last 5, while Modena have 3 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Modena win the most likely result at 52%, implying a 1.0-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Carrarese vs Modena with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Carrarese win	21%
Draw	27%
Modena win	52%
Over 2.5 goals	51%
Both teams to score	53%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.00 – 1.70 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	11.4%	9.7%	5.5%	2.3%
1	6.7%	11.4%	9.7%	5.5%	2.3%
2	3.4%	5.7%	4.9%	2.8%	1.2%
3	1.1%	1.9%	1.6%	0.9%	0.4%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Carrarese winDrawModena win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Carrarese vs Modena. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Modena win is the most likely result at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 51%. Both teams to score: yes at 53%.

📊 Key numbers

Carrarese 21%Draw 27%Modena 52%

21%27%52%

52%

Modena Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Carrarese

Carrarese come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Padova. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Benevento.

WCarrarese 2-1 ModenaSerie B
WPadova 0-2 CarrareseSerie B
LCarrarese 0-1 BeneventoSerie B
LCatanzaro 1-0 CarrareseSerie B
LCarrarese 0-1 EmpoliSerie B

Modena

Modena come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Hellas Verona. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Carrarese.

LCarrarese 2-1 ModenaSerie B
WModena 3-2 Hellas VeronaSerie B
WModena 2-1 EmpoliSerie B
DSudtirol 1-1 ModenaSerie B
LModena 0-1 AvellinoSerie B

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Carrarese at 21% to win and Modena at 52%, with the draw at 27%. The bookmaker market makes a Modena win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Modena Win	52%	@ 1.80
Draw	27%	@ 3.40
Carrarese Win	21%	@ 4.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Modena or Draw at 1.18 (79% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Modena or Draw	79%	@ 1.18
Carrarese or Draw	48%	@ 1.95

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.0-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	@ 1.25
Under 3.5	69%	@ 1.36
Over 2.5	51%	@ 1.85
Under 2.5	49%	@ 1.95
Over 3.5	31%	@ 3.00
Under 1.5	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	@ 1.75
BTTS No	47%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Carrarese 20%Draw 27%Modena 53%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Carrarese vs Modena?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Modena win is the most likely result at 52%.

Who is the favourite for Carrarese vs Modena?

Our model makes a Modena win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.7 scoreline for Carrarese vs Modena.

What is the predicted score for Carrarese vs Modena?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 1.00 for Carrarese and 1.70 for Modena. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Carrarese and Modena play?

Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.