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Wed 21 Oct4-1Finished

⚽ UEFA Champions League

Como vs Manchester United Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Como vs Manchester United in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Wednesday 21 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

Result: Como 4-1 Manchester United

Como vs Manchester United finished 4-1. Como won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Como face Manchester United in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Wednesday 21 October 2026, 16:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Como win the most likely result at 44%, implying a 1.7-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Como vs Manchester United with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Como win 44%
Draw 25%
Manchester United win 31%
Over 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 62%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.70 – 1.40 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 4.5% 6.3% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7%
1 7.7% 10.7% 7.5% 3.5% 1.2%
2 6.5% 9.1% 6.4% 3.0% 1.0%
3 3.7% 5.2% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
4 1.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Projected score: 1-1
Como winDrawManchester United win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Como vs Manchester United. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Como win is the most likely result at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 60%. Both teams to score: yes at 62%.

📊 Key numbers

Como 44%Draw 25%Manchester United 31%
44%25%31%
44%
Como Win
60%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Como

Como come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Manchester United. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Feyenoord.

  • WComo 4-1 Manchester UnitedUEFA Champions League
  • WFiorentina 1-3 ComoSerie A
  • LFeyenoord 3-2 ComoUEFA Champions League
  • DComo 0-0 AS RomaSerie A
  • LFrosinone 2-0 ComoSerie A
Manchester United

Manchester United come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Como.

  • LComo 4-1 Manchester UnitedUEFA Champions League
  • DLeeds 1-1 Manchester UnitedPremier League
  • LAtlético Madrid 2-0 Manchester UnitedUEFA Champions League
  • DManchester United 1-1 TottenhamPremier League
  • DFulham 1-1 Manchester UnitedPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 17 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Como
  • J. AddaiOff the roster
  • T. ChalobahInjury
  • A. DiaoThigh Injury
  • E. GoldanigaOff the roster
  • W. KambwalaOff the roster
  • M. KeanLeg Injury
  • A. LahdoOff the roster
  • J. RodriguezInjury
Manchester United
  • P. DorguHamstring Injury
  • A. HeavenIllness
  • K. MainooInjury
  • L. MartinezMuscle Injury
  • M. RashfordHip Injury
  • B. SeskoLeg Injury
  • L. ShawInjury
  • M. UgarteKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Como at 44% to win and Manchester United at 31%, with the draw at 25%. The bookmaker market makes a Como win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Como Win 44% @ 2.15
Manchester United Win 31% @ 3.10
Draw 25% @ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Como or Draw at 1.36 (69% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Como or Draw 69% @ 1.36
Manchester United or Draw 56% @ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 81% @ 1.17
Over 2.5 60% @ 1.57
Under 3.5 59% @ 1.62
Over 3.5 41% @ 2.30
Under 2.5 40% @ 2.38
Under 1.5 19% @ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 62% @ 1.50
BTTS No 38% @ 2.50

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Como or Manchester United is a clear favourite.

Selection Market % Odds
Manchester United +2 86% 1.10
Como +1.5 84% 1.12
Como +1.25 83% 1.14
Como +1 82% 1.16
Manchester United +1.75 80% 1.18
Manchester United +1.5 75% 1.26
Como +0.75 75% 1.27
Manchester United +1.25 73% 1.30
Manchester United +1 69% 1.38
Como +0.5 68% 1.40
Como +0.25 65% 1.48
Manchester United +0.75 61% 1.55
Como 0 59% 1.62
Manchester United +0.5 55% 1.72
Como -0.25 51% 1.91
Manchester United +0.25 49% 1.98
Como -0.5 45% 2.15
Manchester United 0 41% 2.31
Como -0.75 39% 2.46
Manchester United -0.25 35% 2.69
Manchester United -0.5 32% 3.02
Como -1 31% 3.10
Como -1.25 27% 3.53
Como -1.5 25% 3.70
Manchester United -0.75 25% 3.73
Como -1.75 20% 4.65
Manchester United -1 18% 5.25
Manchester United -1.25 17% 5.75
Manchester United -1.5 16% 6.00
Como -2 14% 7.00

📈 How the market moved

21%35%48%10/1610/1710/1810/1910/2010/21

Como 44%Draw 25%Manchester United 31%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Como vs Manchester United?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Como win is the most likely result at 44%.

Who is the favourite for Como vs Manchester United?

Our model makes a Como win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline for Como vs Manchester United.

What is the predicted score for Como vs Manchester United?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.70 for Como and 1.40 for Manchester United. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Como and Manchester United play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 21 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.