Akhmat

Sat 29 Aug3-3Finished

Krylia Sovetov

⚽ Premier League

Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Akhmat 3-3 Krylia Sovetov

Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov finished 3-3. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Akhmat face Krylia Sovetov in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Akhmat have 1 win from their last 5, while Krylia Sovetov have no wins from their last 4. In their last 2 meetings, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Akhmat win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.1-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.36

85%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.07 – 0.95 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.3%	12.6%	6.0%	1.9%	0.5%
1	14.2%	13.5%	6.4%	2.0%	0.5%
2	7.6%	7.2%	3.4%	1.1%	0.3%
3	2.7%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.7%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Akhmat winDrawKrylia Sovetov win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 85% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Akhmat win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 (67%).

📊 Key numbers

Akhmat 36%Draw 35%Krylia Sovetov 29%

36%35%29%

36%

Akhmat Win

67%

Under 2.5 goals

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Akhmat and Krylia Sovetov. Wins shown from Akhmat’s perspective: 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-29	Akhmat	3 – 3	Krylia Sovetov	D
2026-04-11	Krylia Sovetov	2 – 2	Akhmat	D

📈 Recent form

Akhmat

Akhmat come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Dinamo Makhachkala. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Akron.

LAkron 2-0 AkhmatPremier League
WAkhmat 3-2 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
DRubin 1-1 AkhmatPremier League
LDynamo 3-0 AkhmatCup
DAkhmat 3-3 Krylia SovetovPremier League

Krylia Sovetov

Krylia Sovetov come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Rodina Moskva.

DLokomotiv 1-1 Krylia SovetovPremier League
WKrylia Sovetov 2-1 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
DKrylia Sovetov 2-2 FC KrasnodarPremier League
DBaltika 0-0 Krylia SovetovCup
DAkhmat 3-3 Krylia SovetovPremier League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Akhmat at 36% to win and Krylia Sovetov at 29%, with the draw at 35%. Our model makes an Akhmat win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Akhmat Win	36%	51%	@ 1.89
Draw	35%	26%	@ 3.70
Krylia Sovetov Win	29%	23%	@ 4.11

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	85%	70%	@ 1.36
Under 2.5	67%	49%	@ 1.97
Over 1.5	60%	74%	@ 1.28
Under 1.5	40%	26%	@ 3.72
Over 2.5	33%	51%	@ 1.90
Over 3.5	15%	30%	@ 3.22

📈 How the market moved

Akhmat 51%Draw 26%Krylia Sovetov 23%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 85% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov?

Our model makes an Akhmat win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.1-0.9 scoreline for Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov.

What is the predicted score for Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.07 for Akhmat and 0.95 for Krylia Sovetov. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Akhmat and Krylia Sovetov play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.