Baltika

Sun 16 Aug1-2Finished

Spartak Moscow

⚽ Premier League

Baltika vs Spartak Moscow Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Baltika vs Spartak Moscow in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Baltika 1-2 Spartak Moscow

Baltika vs Spartak Moscow finished 1-2. Spartak Moscow won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Baltika face Spartak Moscow in the Premier League, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Spartak Moscow win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.0-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Baltika vs Spartak Moscow with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.36

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.02 – 1.62 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	11.6%	9.4%	5.1%	2.0%
1	7.3%	11.8%	9.6%	5.2%	2.1%
2	3.7%	6.0%	4.9%	2.6%	1.1%
3	1.3%	2.0%	1.7%	0.9%	0.4%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Baltika winDrawSpartak Moscow win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Baltika vs Spartak Moscow comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Spartak Moscow win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Baltika 22%Draw 28%Spartak Moscow 49%

22%28%49%

49%

Spartak Moscow Win

51%

Under 2.5 goals

📈 Recent form

Baltika

Baltika come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Rodina Moskva. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Zenit.

LBaltika 2-3 ZenitPremier League
DFakel 2-2 BaltikaPremier League
LBaltika 0-1 LokomotivPremier League
DBaltika 0-0 Krylia SovetovCup
WRodina Moskva 0-3 BaltikaPremier League

Spartak Moscow

Spartak Moscow come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to FC Rostov. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Dynamo.

WSpartak Moscow 1-0 FakelPremier League
WSpartak Moscow 3-0 FC RostovPremier League
LDynamo 2-1 Spartak MoscowPremier League
WSpartak Moscow 3-1 Rodina MoskvaCup
DSpartak Moscow 1-1 FC OrenburgPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Baltika

A. FilinKnee Injury
M. ShnaptsevNot in squad

Spartak Moscow

D. ZorinAchilles Tendon Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Baltika at 22% to win and Spartak Moscow at 49%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Spartak Moscow win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Spartak Moscow Win	49%	47%	@ 2.04
Draw	28%	28%	@ 3.44
Baltika Win	22%	25%	@ 3.84

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	74%	70%	@ 1.36
Under 3.5	73%	75%	@ 1.27
Under 2.5	51%	55%	@ 1.74
Over 2.5	49%	45%	@ 2.14
Over 3.5	27%	25%	@ 3.88
Under 1.5	26%	30%	@ 3.19

📈 How the market moved

Baltika 25%Draw 28%Spartak Moscow 47%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Baltika vs Spartak Moscow?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Baltika vs Spartak Moscow?

Our model makes a Spartak Moscow win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.6 scoreline for Baltika vs Spartak Moscow.

What is the predicted score for Baltika vs Spartak Moscow?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.02 for Baltika and 1.62 for Spartak Moscow. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Baltika and Spartak Moscow play?

Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.