This page was published before our methodology update of 17 September 2026. It may show labels such as "value", "expected value" or "AI Confidence", which we no longer use: in our own testing the bookmaker market was a better forecast than our model. Read the update

Betting Tips 11 May 2026

Accumulator picks, 11 May 2026
  • Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65
  • Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.71
  • Over 2.0 Goals @ 1.50
Combined odds: 4.23
Model is our estimated probability, Market is the probability implied by the odds, and Value is the difference between the two. A higher model probability does not always mean higher value.

🎯 Accumulator picks: high probability

These 3 selections together form the accumulator above.

Benfica vs SC Braga
Primeira Liga · Kickoff 19:15 UTC
@ 1.65Over 2.5 Goals

49% Medium AI Confidence

Model 49.0%Market 60.6%Value -19.1%

Benfica's perfect home record (11W-5D-0L) meets Braga's attacking prowess (60 goals scored). Both teams averaging 2+ goals per game with expected total well above 2.7 threshold.

Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer · Kickoff 1:00: UTC
@ 1.71Over 2.5 Goals

45% Medium AI Confidence

Model 44.9%Market 58.5%Value -23.2%

Historical H2H shows high-scoring encounters with both teams capable of finding the net. Expected goals total supports over 2.5 in this playoff atmosphere match.

Millwall vs Hull City
Championship · Kickoff 19:00 UTC
@ 1.50Over 2.0 Goals

36% Low AI Confidence

Model 35.6%Market 66.7%Value -46.6%

Millwall's strong home form meets Hull's attacking capabilities (70 goals scored this season). Both teams' recent matches trending towards multiple goals.

📌 Extra value picks

Separate single bets, not part of the accumulator. Higher variance than the accumulator, selected purely on odds versus model probability.

Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom
Ekstraklasa · Kickoff 17:00 UTC
@ 1.98Over 2.5

71% High AI Confidence

Model 70.8%Market 50.5%Value +40.2%

Value: +20.3%

Tottenham vs Leeds
Premier League · Kickoff 19:00 UTC
@ 1.93Leeds DC X2

68% High AI Confidence

Model 68.1%Market 51.8%Value +31.4%

Value: +16.4%

Estrela vs Famalicao
Primeira Liga · Kickoff 19:15 UTC
@ 1.98Famalicao Win

54% Medium AI Confidence

Model 54.3%Market 50.5%Value +7.5%

ML model (3/3 agree) predicts away win, picking safest available market in that direction.

Napoli vs Bologna
Serie A · Kickoff 18:45 UTC
@ 1.54Napoli Win

52% Medium AI Confidence

Model 52.0%Market 64.9%Value -19.9%

ML model (3/3 agree) predicts home win, picking safest available market in that direction.

GIL Vicente vs Arouca
Primeira Liga · Kickoff 19:15 UTC
@ 1.84Over 2.5 Goals

35% Low AI Confidence

Model 35.2%Market 54.3%Value -35.2%

GIL Vicente's solid home record against defensively poor Arouca (62 GA). Head-to-head history shows goal-heavy encounters with both teams finding the net regularly.

Results for 11 May 2026
Benfica vs SC Braga Over 2.5 Goals 2-2 Won
Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo Over 2.5 Goals 1-4 Won
Millwall vs Hull City Over 2.0 Goals 0-2 Lost
Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom Over 2.5 0-0 Lost
Tottenham vs Leeds Leeds DC X2 1-1 Won
Estrela vs Famalicao Famalicao Win 0-0 Lost
Napoli vs Bologna Napoli Win 2-3 Lost
GIL Vicente vs Arouca Over 2.5 Goals 1-3 Won
Net result: -0.87 units
Accumulator: did not land

All selections are generated by our own prediction models. Odds shown were available at publication and can move. 18+ only, gamble responsibly.

Daily Sport Pick
Written by
Daily Sport Pick
Daily Sport Pick provides free daily football betting tips powered by AI analysis and statistical data. Our picks combine league form, head-to-head records, and value assessment to bring you the best selections every day.