Burgos

Sun 27 Sep1-0Finished

Eldense

⚽ Segunda División

Burgos vs Eldense Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Burgos vs Eldense in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 27 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Burgos 1-0 Eldense

Burgos vs Eldense finished 1-0. Burgos won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Burgos face Eldense in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 27 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Burgos have 2 wins from their last 5, while Eldense have 1 win from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Burgos win the most likely result at 50%, implying a 1.5-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Burgos vs Eldense with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Burgos win	50%
Draw	28%
Eldense win	22%
Over 2.5 goals	44%
Both teams to score	48%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.50 – 0.95 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	8.2%	3.9%	1.2%	0.3%
1	12.9%	12.3%	5.8%	1.8%	0.4%
2	9.7%	9.2%	4.4%	1.4%	0.3%
3	4.9%	4.6%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.8%	1.7%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Burgos winDrawEldense win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Burgos vs Eldense. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Burgos win is the most likely result at 50%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 56%. Both teams to score: no at 52%.

📊 Key numbers

Burgos 50%Draw 28%Eldense 22%

50%28%22%

50%

Burgos Win

56%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Burgos

Burgos come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to AD Ceuta FC. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Sporting Gijon.

WBurgos 1-0 EldenseSegunda División
WLas Palmas 1-2 BurgosSegunda División
WBurgos 3-1 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
DOviedo 0-0 BurgosSegunda División
LSporting Gijon 1-0 BurgosSegunda División

Eldense

Eldense come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Sporting Gijon. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Burgos.

LBurgos 1-0 EldenseSegunda División
LEldense 1-2 EibarSegunda División
WSporting Gijon 0-1 EldenseSegunda División
DEldense 0-0 MallorcaSegunda División
LLeganes 1-0 EldenseSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Burgos at 50% to win and Eldense at 22%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes a Burgos win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Burgos Win	50%	@ 1.90
Draw	28%	@ 3.40
Eldense Win	22%	@ 4.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Burgos or Draw at 1.22 (78% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Burgos or Draw	78%	@ 1.22
Eldense or Draw	50%	@ 1.91

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.5-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	75%	@ 1.25
Over 1.5	69%	@ 1.36
Under 2.5	56%	@ 1.67
Over 2.5	44%	@ 2.15
Under 1.5	31%	@ 3.00
Over 3.5	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	51%	@ 1.80
BTTS Yes	49%	@ 1.91

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Burgos or Eldense is a clear favourite.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Eldense +2	86%	1.10
Burgos +0.75	83%	1.15
Eldense +1.75	79%	1.19
Burgos +0.5	77%	1.24
Eldense +1.5	74%	1.28
Burgos +0.25	74%	1.28
Eldense +1.25	70%	1.35
Burgos 0	69%	1.40
Eldense +1	66%	1.45
Burgos -0.25	58%	1.66
Eldense +0.75	57%	1.68
Eldense +0.5	50%	1.91
Burgos -0.5	50%	1.94
Burgos -0.75	43%	2.22
Eldense +0.25	42%	2.25
Burgos -1	34%	2.79
Eldense 0	31%	3.04
Burgos -1.25	30%	3.21
Eldense -0.25	26%	3.60
Burgos -1.5	26%	3.65
Eldense -0.5	23%	4.11
Burgos -1.75	21%	4.50
Eldense -0.75	17%	5.50
Burgos -2	14%	6.80

📈 How the market moved

Burgos 49%Draw 28%Eldense 23%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Burgos vs Eldense?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Burgos win is the most likely result at 50%.

Who is the favourite for Burgos vs Eldense?

Our model makes a Burgos win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.5-0.9 scoreline for Burgos vs Eldense.

What is the predicted score for Burgos vs Eldense?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.50 for Burgos and 0.95 for Eldense. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Burgos and Eldense play?

Kick-off is Sunday 27 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.